Cole Custer Could Be Valuable If Haas Has Intermediate Speed

Although Cole Custer's career-defining moment in the Cup Series came when he made a four-wide pass for the win as a rookie at Kentucky Speedway in 2020 and Las Vegas is likewise a flat 1.5-mile track, he hasn't been too strong at Las Vegas, as his best finish is 16th and he has never led […]

Despite Decent Run Last Fall, Cody Ware Still Isn't Worth Considering

Cody Ware qualified 35th for Sunday's race at Las Vegas. After missing the fall 2023 and winter 2024 races at Las Vegas after his arrest and suspension by NASCAR, he earned a career-best finish at the track when he finished 21st, and it wasn't that unrepresentative of a result as his average running position of […]

Power-Steering Failure Foils Tyler Reddick's Bid For Potential Victory

Tyler Reddick never led at Phoenix on Sunday but he had strong speed as he moved into the top five on the 10th lap and remained there for most of the race, spending long portions of it running second to either William Byron or eventual winner Christopher Bell. However, in the third stage, his power […]

William Byron Recovers From Being Trapped A Lap Down To Finish Sixth

After winning the pole for Sunday's race at Phoenix, William Byron led 83 of the race's 94 laps. Although it looked like Joey Logano was faster in the early stages of the race and they exchanged the lead four times, Byron began to dominate after Logano was penalized for jumping the second restart. However, Byron […]

Josh Berry Gives Wood Brothers Team Best Run Since 2021

Josh Berry had one of the best runs for a Wood Brothers driver in years in Sunday's Phoenix race. After starting fourth, Berry ran in the top five for almost the entire first stage but fell to 29th after a loose lug nut during the race's fourth caution. Luckily, he managed to evade the multi-car […]

Tyler Reddick's DFS Value Likely Hinges On How Much He Leads

Tyler Reddick has lately seemed to exchange some of his blinding speed from previous years for a nearly robotic consistency. Phoenix hasn't been one of his best tracks as short tracks and one mile ovals tend not to suit him, but he's still earned four top tens in his last six starts including two third-place […]

Despite Strong Phoenix Record, Chase Briscoe Qualifies Inexplicably Poorly

Chase Briscoe got the reprieve of a lifetime when his 100 point penalty at the Daytona 500 was rescinded last Wednesday. On paper, Briscoe should be extremely valuable for DFS lineups since he is starting 30th (worse than he has ever qualified here) but he has also earned top tens in four of his ten […]

Bubba Wallace's Phoenix Record Is Not Great

Although short tracks have become arguably Bubba Wallace's best track type in terms of finishes, Phoenix isn't a short track and Wallace usually qualifies poorly and runs in the upper midfield here. However, his 19th-place qualifying run yesterday was actually tied for the second-best of his career and he has finished between 7th and 16th […]

Daniel Suarez Seeks To Prove Himself At Phoenix After Embarrassing Austin Crash

After the embarrassment of crashing himself and his possible replacement, Connor Zilisch, out last week at Austin, Daniel Suárez will be eager to prove himself at Phoenix, but his 31st-place starting position is tied for the second-worst of his career here, and that came when he was driving for Gaunt Brothers Racing. However, his worst […]

Josh Berry Could Run Well At Phoenix

Josh Berry has a knack for qualifying in the NASCAR Cup Series although it often escapes notice. After seven top five qualifying runs in his rookie season and another at Atlanta this year, he starts on the outside of Row 2 at Phoenix today, the best starting position on a non-drafting oval for the No. […]

Erik Jones Qualifies Well At Phoenix But Rarely Finishes Well

Considering Erik Jones has been one of the weakest qualifiers in the NASCAR Cup Series in recent years, the fact that Jones qualified fifth for Sunday's race at Phoenix may come as a surprise. However, he has qualified in the top 10 nine times here, including thrice with Legacy Motor Club. But after being dropped […]

Noah Gragson The Most Underrated DFS Option

Noah Gragson may fade in the background more than any other NASCAR Cup Series driver lately, but his record at Phoenix is really solid as he finished 12th in both events last year and he was actually by far the highest-placed finisher for Stewart-Haas Racing in their final race in last year's finale. Although he […]

Shane Van Gisbergen Likely Too Inexperienced To Run Well At Phoenix

Shane van Gisbergen's season effectively lives or dies based on his road course performances to such an extent where his oval performances are something of an afterthought. He makes his first NASCAR Cup Series start at Phoenix today but he performed decently well here in the Xfinity Series, where he finished 6th and 12th in […]

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. One Of The Weakest DFS Options

Phoenix has been a pretty terrible track for Ricky Stenhouse Jr. He has only ever placed in the top 10 twice in 24 starts, with both coming in his relative glory days at Roush Fenway Racing in 2017. Since the move to the Next Gen chassis, he has never finished better than 19th and he […]

Justin Haley's Car Faster Than He Is At Phoenix

Justin Haley seems to have lucked out that the Spire Motorsports cars are significantly faster than they were last season (and even faster than the Rick Ware cars he had last year), but it doesn't seem to have much to do with him. Carson Hocevar and Michael McDowell have looked faster all year, and Saturday […]

Riley Herbst Likely To Finish Worse Than His Usual 17th At Phoenix

After an improbable three straight 17th-place finishes to start the season, Riley Herbst qualified one spot worse than that at Phoenix, which was actually his best qualifying position on a non-drafting oval in his Cup Series career to date. However, don't expect him to extend his streak a fourth week as Herbst developed very lowly […]

Zane Smith Likely To Outperform Phoenix Expectations Due To Ford Speed

Zane Smith starts 26th at Phoenix and on paper is not expected to do much because his best career finish at the track is 29th. However, he has switched from Spire Motorsports to Front Row Motorsports for 2025 and FRM has arguably been better at the track lately than Spire was last year. Michael McDowell […]

Cody Ware Not Very Valuable At Phoenix

Cody Ware qualified 35th for Sunday's race at Phoenix. Although Ware has finished better than he has started in every one of his Phoenix starts, except for the 2021 winter race where he crashed, there still isn't enough upside to actually consider him for DFS lineups. He has never finished better than 28th in a […]

Chase Elliott Recovers From Lap 1 Spinout To Finish Fourth

After starting third, Chase Elliott's race at Austin spun out of control literally after a bump from Ross Chastain dropped him to 36th. After making repairs on the Stage 1 caution, he didn't catch up to the field in time as he restarted over 10 seconds behind the other lead lap cars in Stage 2. […]

In Battle Between Last Two Race Winners, William Byron Comes Up Short

Last year's Circuit of the Americas winner William Byron came very close to repeating the feat despite starting 15th. He ran in the top ten all race as he immediately drove up to 9th by evading the lap 1 crash then steadily worked his way through the field until he was in the top five […]

Shane van Gisbergen Dominates First Two Stages But Fades In Third Stage

Shane van Gisbergen led five times for 23 laps at the Circuit of the Americas, first passing pole-sitter Tyler Reddick on Lap 9 and then exchanging the lead several times with Kyle Busch during the second stage. He seemed to be poised for victory after pitting from the lead in Stage 2 to flip the […]

A.J. Allmendinger Runs Well At Austin Until Late-Race Collapse

A.J. Allmendinger's first road=course race as a full-time NASCAR Cup Series driver since his win at the Charlotte Roval in 2023 was going quite swimmingly indeed as he started 12th and ran in the top 10 for the first 90 laps of the race, including leading two laps -- once on a pit-stop exchange on […]

Alex Bowman Recovers From COTA Penalty To Finish Ninth

Alex Bowman consistently ran between ninth and 12th in the first half of Sunday's race at Austin but was penalized on Lap 51 for cutting the course at Turn 5. After his pit stop, he fell to 34th but he steadily worked his way through the field during Stage 3 before eventually finishing ninth, exactly […]

William Byron Not The Favorite But Expect Him To Contend

After winning back-to-back poles at Austin, William Byron qualified a disappointing 15th for Sunday's Echopark Automotive Grand Prix. But don't expect him to stay there for long, as he fought a scrappy race-long battle with Sunday's's polesitter Tyler Reddick in 2023 before pretty much controlling the race last year. Although he was slow in the […]

Denny Hamlin Weirdly Mediocre At Austin Qualifying

Denny Hamlin, the driver of the No. 11 Toyota, fittingly qualified 11th at Circuit of the Americas, but curiously, the Joe Gibbs Racing car he drives has not seemed to be as fast on road courses (especially here) as the 23XI Racing cars he owns. While both of his drivers locked out the front row […]

Kyle Busch Should Have A Strong Run

Since switching to Richard Childress Racing, Kyle Busch has almost entirely lost any semblance of the surefire consistency he used to have. However, road courses seem to have been an exception as he had four top fives on road and street courses in 2023 and he still had two top tens on those tracks last […]

Michael McDowell Might Be A Good DFS Play

For all the hype Michael McDowell gets as a road-racing pro, Carson Hocevar really showed him up in Austin qualifying on Saturday as Hocevar qualified fourth to McDowell's 16th. Admittedly, that is the best McDowell has ever qualified here and he did finish better than he started in all his previous races except last year, […]

Joey Logano Might Have More Speed On Sunday

After having potentially race-winning speed in both drafting track races, Joey Logano starts the meat-and-potatoes portion of the NASCAR Cup Series season with a 23rd-place qualifying run at Austin. That sounds rather bad in a vacuum, but the Fords were absolutely miserable in qualifying as only Todd Gilliland qualified in the top 15 and Logano […]

Lack Of Road-Course Prowess And Justin Alexander Likely To Doom Austin Dillon

Road courses have always been Austin Dillon's worst track type as he only has two top-10 finishes in 37 starts and an average finish of 22.6, while he's been more competitive everywhere else. One of those top-10 finishes did come at the road course where the NASCAR Cup Series will be racing on Sunday in […]

Justin Haley An Overrated Road Racer

Justin Haley has a reputation as a strong road racer because of a couple genuinely strong runs at Chicago in 2023 and the Charlotte roval in 2022 that don't seem to be representative of his usual performance. His average finish at Austin is only 28.3. He did have a mechanical DNF in one of those […]