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Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (4/27/23)

Ryan Mountcastle fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers MLB injury news

Brenton Kemp's top MLB betting picks and best bets for today's MLB games on 4/27/23. His free picks against the spread, game totals, and other baseball bets.

It's another Thursday full of baseball action as we have 11 games on tap with plenty of afternoon action on the board. There's plenty of value to be had on a rock-solid slate and we're here again to help deliver some free MLB betting picks!

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Feel free to give me a follow on Twitter @BKemp17 with any questions or comments or plain ol' baseball talk! Now, let's dive into Thursday's free MLB betting picks and see if we can get on the right side of the ledger!

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Today's MLB Betting Picks - Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves

O/U: 8.5 | Moneyline: Braves (-198)
MIA: Braxton Garrett | ATL: Kyle Wright

The Miami Marlins enter Thursday's contest with the Braves as heavy underdogs but they might have a shot in this one as they take on Braves right-hander Kyle Wright.

Wright enjoyed a breakout season in 2022, tossing a stout 3.19 ERA across 30 starts. His peripherals all checked out in the process. However, it's been a different story this time around as Wright enters this one sporting a 5.93 ERA on the season along with a 5.82 FIP and 4.95 SIERA. The 27-year-old corrected some control issues last season but has had them rear their ugly head again in the form of an 11.9% BB% in three outings this season.

On the flip side, Braxton Garrett has been excellent for the visitors. The Marlins right-hander has turned in a 2.84 ERA in four outings (three starts) along with a 2.96 FIP and 3.56 SIERA. Garrett has yielded walks to just three of the 83 batters he's faced this season, so free passes will be at a premium to start this one.

While I don't mind the Marlins on the run line in this one, I am looking to shorten the game and focus on the starting pitching matchup that appears to greatly favor the Marlins even if Garrett is dealing with a dangerous Braves lineup. Let's nab some value Thursday in Atlanta.

Pick: Marlins F5 (+152, FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 Unit)

 

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Today's MLB Betting Picks - Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers

O/U: 8 | Moneyline: Orioles (-148)
BAL: Kyle Gibson | DET: Joey Wentz

The Orioles and Tigers get together for the second time in less than a week after the O's dealt the Tigers a three-game sweep over the weekend in Baltimore despite needing a walk-off in two of the three contests.

The Orioles will send right-hander Kyle Gibson to the mound for the opener and he's more or less been Kyle Gibson to this point. He owns a 3.60 ERA on the season with a middling 20.3% K% across five starts. His supporting figures aren't quite as solid as per his 4.46 FIP and 4.42 SIERA but Gibson carved the Tigers up for 6 1/3 innings of one-run ball with 11 strikeouts on the weekend against these same Tigers.

Taking on Gibson will be Tigers left-hander Joey Wentz. The rookie has shown flashes at times but enters this one sporting a 7.56 ERA across four starts. He too pitched against the Orioles in his last start and was touched up for five earned runs on six hits -- including a homer -- and a pair of walks in just four innings of work. The 25-year-old has surrendered three homers in 16 2/3 innings, good for an elevated 1.62 HR/9 figure alongside a tiny 28.8% ground-ball rate.

Wentz isn't the only lefty the Orioles have roughed up this season. They sit seventh with a .347 wOBA on the season against left-handed pitching. Conversely, the Tigers rank 29th with a .268 wOBA off of righties.

Finally, the Tigers' light-hitting bats will have a tough time getting to an Orioles bullpen that ranks third with a 2.88 ERA and second with a 20.1% K-BB% on the season. The O's should be able to take the series opener from Comerica Park in Detroit.

Pick: Orioles moneyline (-148, FanDuel Sportsbook, 1 Unit)

 

Good luck folks!



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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jaylen Waddle

Good to Go For Thursday Night Football
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Suffers "Little Knee Tweak," Checks Out OK
Jaylen Waddle

Expected to Play and be a "Big Factor" on Thursday Night
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Suffers Knee Injury During Thursday's Practice
Clayton Kershaw

Will Retire at the End of the Season
Malcolm Brogdon

Landry Shamet and Malcolm Brogdon Both Staying with the Knicks?
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Charles Bediako Agrees to a Training Camp Deal with Detroit
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Recovering From Eye Surgery, Uncertain for Training Camp
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DaQuan Jeffries Waived by the Hornets
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Eric Singleton Jr. Questionable For Saturday
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Limited in Training Camp
Lars Eller

Recovering From Abdominal Procedure
Nick Jensen

in Danger of Missing Start of Season
Brandon Montour

to Miss Two Weeks After Ankle Surgery
Gabriel Landeskog

a "Full Go" for the Season
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Out Week-to-Week
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Day-to-Day With Undisclosed Injury
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to Sit Out Training Camp
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to Miss a Couple of Weeks
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Signs Two-Year Extension
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to Be Waived by Mammoth
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Misses Start of Training Camp
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Out Until November
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Out for Start of Training Camp
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Expected to Be Out Until December
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Not Rushing His Return
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Keon Johnson Waived by Nets
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Day-to-Day With Back Tightness
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Returns to A's Lineup
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Sidelined on Wednesday with Toe Injury
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Questionable for Week 3 Against Buffalo
Joe Burrow

Bengals Not Closing the Door on Joe Burrow Returning This Year
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LaNorris Sellers to Play Against Missouri?
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Progress has "Plateaued"
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has "Outside Chance" to Return This Weekend
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Kaidon Salter Expected To Start for Colorado on Saturday
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Goes on 10-Day Injured List, Done for Season
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Ruled Out for Week 3 Due to Concussion
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Out Indefinitely After Foot and Shoulder Surgery
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Joins Knicks on Two-Way Contract
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Returns to Knicks on Exhibit 10 Contract
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Alex Len Signs Exhibit 9 Deal With Knicks
Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Expected to Take on Larger Offensive Role With Hawks
Thomas Sorber

Undergoes Surgery
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Has Five-Hit, Three-Homer Game Tuesday
Cal Raleigh

Sets Single-Season Home Run Record for a Switch-Hitter
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Out on Tuesday, Dealing With "Significant" Ankle Sprain
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Diego Pavia Refutes Report of Seeking Seventh Collegiate Season
Christian Kirk

Expected to Return in Week 3
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Diego Pavia Seeking Another Year of Eligibility
Tarik Skubal

on Track to Start Thursday
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Kevorian Barnes Questionable Against SMU
Bo Bichette

has Short-Term Knee Injury, Could Return for Postseason
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Kai Jones Links Up With EuroLeague Team
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Returns to Spurs
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Officially Active on Monday Night
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Activated Off Seven-Day Injured List
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Fine for Training Camp
Kirby Dach

on Track to Be Ready for Opening Night
Jose Altuve

Returns Against Rangers
J.J. McCarthy

Expected to Miss 2-4 Weeks With High-Ankle Sprain
J.J. McCarthy

Likely Out for Week 3 With High-Ankle Sprain
Jean Silva

Gets Finished For The First Time In His Career
Aaron Jones Sr.

Unlikely to Play in Week 3 Due to Hamstring Injury
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Returns To The Win Column
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Wins His Second UFC Fight
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Wins Back-To-Back Fights
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Extends His Win Streak With A Brutal TKO
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Earns his First Bristol Cup Series Victory
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