Chef's Special - NFL Best Bets for Week 14

December 12, 2020

Drew Deen's top expert betting picks for NFL Week 14. Drew finished the 2020 season with over 20 units in winnings and is already 76-43 start in 2020 for over 43 units.

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. 

The third hot streak of the season is fully underway with the picks going 15-1 over the past two weeks.  Outside of one cold stretch, the season has been incredible.  No underdogs this week, which makes me a little uneasy.  However, I really like a couple of spots with the Bucs coming off the bye week, and the Seahawks playing the Jets after a massive letdown spot against the Giants last week.  The betting card will be won or lost with the Bucs and Seahawks as this is only the 3rd play released all year with a risk amount of 4 units or greater.  These 4-5 unit plays have a record of 9-2 over the past two seasons.

The League seemed like a great choice as many of you (hopefully) are still hanging around and fighting for a championship in your leagues.  If you have never heard of the show, it is basically a comedy about a group of friends that take fantasy football way too seriously and treat their league more important than life itself.  For many shows, I prefer disconnecting from devices and avoiding multi-tasking, but this is actually one that you can have on in the background or not be fully engaged.

Before getting too far into the post, please refer to this post as an introductory piece before continuing. Also, be sure to check out the betting tools.

Introduction to Chef's Special Betting Picks

***Read only if it is your first week here***

This week I will layout a little more information for those of you that are reading for the first time. Last year I handicapped the entire season and had a solid year finishing up 20+ units. If you are new or unfamiliar with the terminology, I will explain (also use Google if you need it).

In a nutshell, it is a way to measure the size of a bet for players of all bankroll sizes. For example, @Uncle_Leo may have a standard bet size of $10, @GarageGuyChase may have a standard bet size of $25, and @ThunderDanDFS may have a standard bet size of $50.

The weight of a unit would mean different financial gain for all of these players but tracks how well someone is doing betting as a sports bettor. For all of you basic bois, let's use my results from last year as an example - see below:

• Example: 2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total Bets [7-2 on 4&5U plays]
• Mr. Uncle Leo would be the following: 22.5U x $10 = $225 in the green on the season
• Mr. Garage Guy would be the following: 22.5U x $25 = $562.50 in the green on the season
• Mr. Danny Boi would be the following: 22.5U x $50 = $1125 in the green on the season.

Everyone finished in the green. However, Mr. Danny Boi made more financially than the others on his unit scale. With that being said, I performed equally for all parties.

Drew Deen's (@ChefBoiRDeen) Week 14 Betting Card

Here, I will post my Week 14 betting picks. Staying consistent with your unit size is crucial. Without it, it will seem as if I am doing better or worse than I actually am because some wins/losses will be weighted differently than the others.

2019 NFL Best Bets (+22.5u) 64-54 Total [7-2 on 4&5U plays]

2020 NFL Best Bets (+43.45u) 76-43 Total [2-0 on 4&5U plays]

• 0-1.5U Risk Record: 48-33
• 1.51U - 3.99U Risk Record: 26-10
• 4-5U Risk Record: 2-0

No underdogs this week, which makes me a little uneasy.  However, I like a couple of spots a lot with the Bucs coming off the bye week, and the Seahawks playing the Jets after a massive letdown spot against the Giants last week.  The betting card will be won or lost with the Bucs and Seahawks as this is only the 3rd play released all year with a risk amount of 4 units or greater.  Check back Sunday morning for possible additions. 

• Titans/Jaguars Over 52 - Risk 1.2U to win 1U
• Colts -2.5 vs Raiders - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
• 49ers -3 vs WFT - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
• Bills ML vs Steelers - Risk 1.25U to win 1U
• Bucs/Seahawks 7pt Teaser (Bucs +0.5/Seahawks -6.5) - Risk 4U to win 3.1U
• Bucs/Chargers 6pt Teaser (Bucs -0.5/Chargers +7.5) - Risk 1.1U to win 1U
• Seahawks/Packers 7pt Teaser (Seahawks -6.5/Packers -1.5) - Risk 1.3U to win 1U
• Chargers/Packers 6.5pt Teaser (Chargers +8/Packers -2) - Risk 1.2U to win 1U

More Weekly Lineup Prep