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Top 250 Dynasty Prospects for 2021

ian anderson fantasy baseball rankings pitchers draft sleepers MLB injury news

The 2020 baseball season was unlike any year we’ve ever seen with its shortened season and schedule that can perhaps be best described as organized chaos. The absence of a minor league season played havoc with prospect prognosticators.

The 2021 season — and perhaps beyond — will continue to present unique challenges as the pandemic continues to rage on and Major League Baseball barrels ahead with its plan to significantly reduce the number of minor league affiliates for each MLB club. But the 2020 season also showed us that prospects can thrive under unique circumstances — such the alternate training site — and a number of prospects reached the Majors in 2020 after spending 2019 in A-ball, essentially skipping Double-A and Triple-A baseball.

Despite the unusual 2020 season, one thing stayed the same. Young players continue to have more and more of an impact on the game. Look at the teams that reached the second round of the playoffs. The San Diego Padres are loaded with talented first- and second-year players. The same can be said for the Atlanta Braves, Miami Marlins, Tampa Bay Rays, Houston Astros, and even the Los Angeles Dodgers. Grizzled veterans no longer dominate the rosters of playoff contenders. With that in mind, we unveil our first look at the Top 250 Dynasty Prospects for 2021.

Be sure to check all of our preseason fantasy baseball rankings for Roto, Points, H2H, dynasty, best ball, prospects and more:

 

Top 250 MLB Prospect Rankings

Ranking Player Pos Team Age ETA
1 Jarred Kelenic OF SEA 21 2021
2 Wander Franco SS TB 19 2021
3 MacKenzie Gore SP SD 21 2021
4 Nate Pearson SP TOR 24 2020
5 Sixto Sanchez SP MIA 22 2020
6 Spencer Torkelson 1B DET 21 2022
7 Andrew Vaughn 1B CWS 22 2021
8 Julio Rodriguez OF SEA 19 2022
9 Ian Anderson SP ATL 22 2020
10 Spencer Howard SP PHI 24 2020
11 Adley Rutschman C BAL 22 2022
12 Austin Martin IF/OF TOR 21 2022
13 Dylan Carlson OF STL 21 2020
14 Zac Veen OF COL 18 2023
15 Nick Gonzales 2B/SS PIT 21 2022
16 Joey Bart C SF 23 2020
17 Alex Kirilloff OF MIN 22 2021
18 Jo Adell OF LAA 21 2020
19 Luis Patino SP SD 20 2020
20 Marco Luciano SS SF 19 2023
21 CJ Abrams SS SD 19 2023
22 Asa Lacy SP KC 21 2021
23 Max Meyer SP MIA 21 2021
24 Matt Manning SP DET 22 2021
25 Riley Greene OF DET 19 2022
26 Casey Mize SP DET 23 2020
27 Bobby Witt Jr. SS KC 20 2022
28 Grayson Rodriguez SP BAL 20 2022
29 Shane Baz SP TB 21 2022
30 Jasson Dominguez OF NYY 17 2024
31 Ryan Mountcastle OF BAL 23 2020
32 Tarik Skubal SP DET 23 2020
33 Nick Madrigal 2B CWS 23 2020
34 Garrett Crochet P CWS 21 2020
35 Brailyn Marquez SP CHC 21 2021
36 Triston McKenzie SP CLE 23 2020
37 Nolan Gorman 3B STL 20 2022
38 Daulton Varsho C/OF ARZ 24 2020
39 Ronny Mauricio SS NYM 19 2023
40 Kristian Robinson OF ARZ 19 2023
41 Francisco Alvarez C NYM 18 2023
42 Corbin Carroll OF ARZ 20 2023
43 Alek Thomas OF ARZ 20 2022
44 Robert Hassell III OF SD 19 2023
45 Edward Cabrera SP MIA 22 2021
46 Logan Gilbert SP SEA 22 2021
47 Geraldo Perdomo SS ARZ 20 2021
48 Braxton Garrett SP MIA 23 2020
49 Emerson Hancock SP SEA 21 2022
50 Josh Jung 3B TEX 22 2021
51 Trevor Rogers SP MIA 22 2020
52 Noelvi Marte SS SEA 18 2023
53 Jordan Groshans 3B/SS TOR 20 2022
54 Orelvis Martinez SS TOR 18 2023
55 Vidal Brujan 2B TB 22 2021
56 Deivi Garcia SP NYY 21 2020
57 Shane McClanahan SP TB 23 2021
58 Clarke Schmidt SP NYY 24 2020
59 Xavier Edwards 2B/SS TB 21 2022
60 Nolan Jones 3B CLE 22 2021
61 Trevor Larnach OF MIN 23 2021
62 Matthew Liberatore SP STL 20 2022
63 Daniel Lynch SP KC 23 2021
64 Jackson Kowar SP KC 23 2021
65 A.J. Puk SP OAK 25 2019
66 Brandon Marsh OF LAA 22 2021
67 Reid Detmers SP LAA 21 2021
68 George Kirby SP SEA 22 2022
69 Jazz Chisholm SS MIA 22 2020
70 Nick Lodolo SP CIN 22 2021
71 Brice Turang SS MIL 20 2022
72 Brennen Davis OF CHC 20 2022
73 Oneil Cruz SS PIT 21 2021
74 Austin Hendrick OF CIN 19 2023
75 Hunter Greene SP CIN 21 2021
76 Brennan Malone SP PIT 20 2023
77 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B PIT 23 2020
78 Heliot Ramos OF SF 21 2021
79 J.J. Bleday OF MIA 22 2021
80 Hunter Bishop OF SF 22 2022
81 Jose Garcia SS CIN 22 2020
82 Tyler Stephenson C CIN 24 2020
83 Tyler Soderstrom C OAK 18 2023
84 Robert Puason SS OAK 18 2024
85 Cristian Pache OF ATL 21 2020
86 Jordan Balazovic SP MIN 22 2021
87 Royce Lewis OF/SS MIN 21 2021
88 Jared Kelley SP CWS 18 2023
89 Drew Waters OF ATL 21 2021
90 Pete Crow-Armstrong OF NYM 18 2023
91 Jackson Rutledge SP WAS 21 2021
92 Mick Abel SP PHI 19 2023
93 Alek Manoah SP TOR 22 2022
94 Brendan McKay SP TB 24 2019
95 DL Hall SP BAL 22 2022
96 Jordyn Adams OF LAA 20 2022
97 Taylor Trammell OF SEA 23 2021
98 Kyren Paris SS LAA 18 2023
99 Tucker Davidson SP ATL 24 2021
100 Kody Hoese 3B LAD 23 2022
101 Brendan Rodgers 2B/SS COL 24 2019
102 Luis Campusano C SD 21 2020
103 Josiah Gray SP LAD 22 2021
104 Keibert Ruiz C LAD 22 2020
105 Jeremiah Jackson SS/3B LAA 20 2022
106 Patrick Bailey C SF 21 2022
107 Forrest Whitley SP HOU 23 2021
108 Justin Dunn SP SEA 25 2020
109 Leody Taveras OF TEX 22 2020
110 Sam Huff C TEX 22 2020
111 Tyler Freeman SS CLE 21 2021
112 George Valera OF CLE 19 2023
113 Jeter Downs SS BOS 22 2021
114 Simeon Woods Richardon SP TOR 19 2021
115 Brett Baty 3B NYM 20 2022
116 James Karinchak RP CLE 25 2020
117 Andres Gimenez SS NYM 22 2020
118 Seth Corry SP SF 21 2022
119 Seth Beer 1B/OF ARZ 24 2021
120 Levi Kelly SP ARZ 21 2023
121 Michael Toglia 1B COL 22 2022
122 Bobby Miller SP LAD 21 2022
123 Cole Wilcox SP SD 21 2023
124 Alejandro Kirk C TOR 21 2020
125 Triston Casas 1B BOS 20 2022
126 Heston Kjerstad OF BAL 21 2023
127 Joshua Lowe OF TB 22 2021
128 Randy Arozarena OF TB 25 2019
129 Bobby Dalbec 1B BOS 25 2020
130 Matthew Allan SP NYM 19 2023
131 Jesus Sanchez OF MIA 22 2020
132 Kyle Muller SP ATL 22 2021
133 Bryson Stott SS PHI 22 2022
134 David Peterson SP NYM 25 2020
135 Cade Cavalli SP WAS 22 2022
136 Brent Rooker OF MIN 25 2020
137 Erick Pena OF KC 17 2024
138 Michael Kopech SP CWS 24 2018
139 Dane Dunning SP CWS 25 2020
140 Ed Howard SS CHC 19 2024
141 Jordan Walker 3B STL 18 2024
142 Garrett Mitchell OF MIL 22 2023
143 Zack Thompson SP STL 22 2022
144 Quinn Priester SP PIT 20 2023
145 Ryan Weathers SP SD 20 2022
146 Sean Hjelle SP SF 23 2021
147 Brusdar Graterol RP LAD 22 2020
148 Adrian Morejon SP SD 21 2019
149 Diego Cartaya C LAD 19 2023
150 Luis Toribio 3B SF 19 2023
151 Luis Gil SP NYY 22 2021
152 Austin Wells C/OF NYY 21 2023
153 Aaron Bracho 2B CLE 19 2023
154 J.T. Ginn SP NYM 21 2023
155 Thomas Szapucki SP NYM 24 2021
156 Jhoan Duran SP MIN 22 2021
157 Aaron Sabato 1B MIN 21 2022
158 Albert Abreu SP NYY 24 2020
159 Brayan Rocchio SS CLE 19 2023
160 Bo Naylor C CLE 20 2022
161 Kevin Alcantara OF NYY 18 2024
162 Travis Swaggerty OF PIT 23 2021
163 Jonathan India 3B CIN 23 2021
164 Adbert Alzolay SP CHC 25 2019
165 Hans Crouse SP TEX 22 2021
166 Bryan Abreu P HOU 23 2019
167 Cole Winn SP TEX 20 2022
168 Maximo Acosta SS TEX 17 2024
169 Ronaldo Hernandez C TB 22 2021
170 Logan Davidson SS OAK 22 2022
171 Gunnar Henderson SS BAL 19 2023
172 Dean Kremer SP BAL 24 2020
173 Gilberto Jimenez OF BOS 20 2022
174 Nick Bitsko SP TB 18 2024
175 Bryan Mata SP BOS 21 2021
176 Tanner Houck SP BOS 24 2020
177 Gabriel Moreno C TOR 20 2022
178 Daniel Cabrera OF DET 22 2023
179 Ethan Hankins SP CLE 20 2022
180 Jonathan Stiever SP CWS 23 2020
181 Ryan Jeffers C MIN 23 2020
182 Isaac Paredes 3B DET 21 2020
183 Parker Meadows OF DET 20 2022
184 Keegan Akin SP BAL 25 2020
185 Ryan Vilade 3B/OF COL 21 2021
186 Adam Kloffenstein SP TOR 20 2022
187 Ryan Jensen SP CHC 22 2022
188 Tristen Lutz OF MIL 22 2022
189 Aaron Ashby SP MIL 22 2021
190 Carmen Mlodzinski SP PIT 21 2023
191 Liover Peguero OF PIT 19 2020
192 Ryan Rolison SP COL 23 2021
193 Chris McMahon SP COL 21 2023
194 Casey Schmitt 3B SF 21 2023
195 Alexander Canario OF SF 20 2023
196 Khalil Lee OF KC 22 2021
197 Francisco Morales SP PHI 20 2022
198 Jerar Encarnacion 3B MIA 22 2022
199 Miguel Hiraldo 3B TOR 20 2023
200 Joe Ryan SP TB 24 2022
201 Greg Jones SS TB 22 2022
202 Masyn Winn SP STL 18 2024
203 Cole Roederer OF CHC 21 2022
204 Miguel Amaya C CHC 21 2022
205 Jared Jones SP PIT 19 2024
206 Lane Thomas OF STL 25 2019
207 Edward Olivares OF KC 24 2020
208 Daniel Espino SP CLE 19 2023
209 Chris Vallimont SP MIN 23 2021
210 Dillon Dingler C DET 22 2023
211 Misael Urbina OF MIN 18 2023
212 Daz Cameron OF DET 23 2020
213 D’Shawn Knowles OF LAA 19 2023
214 Daulton Jefferies SP OAK 25 2020
215 Freudis Nova SS HOU 20 2022
216 Justin Foscue 2B TEX 21 2023
217 Luis Matos OF SF 18 2023
218 Corbin Martin SP ARZ 24 2021
219 Bryce Jarvis SP ARZ 22 2022
220 Grant Lavigne 1B COL 21 2022
221 Luis Rodriguez OF LAD 21 2024
222 Michael Busch 2B LAD 22 2022
223 Colton Welker 3B/1B COL 22 2021
224 Jorge Mateo OF/SS SD 25 2020
225 Aaron Schunk 3B COL 23 2023
226 Mark Vientos 3B NYM 20 2022
227 David Calabrese OF LAA 17 2024
228 Trent Devereaux OF LAA 20 2023
229 Chris Rodriguez SP LAA 22 2022
230 Anderson Tejeda IF TEX 22 2020
231 Sherten Apostel 3B TEX 21 2020
232 Keoni Cavaco SS MIN 19 2023
233 Anthony Volpe SS NYY 19 2023
234 Arol Vera SS LAA 18 2024
235 Alexander Vizcaino SP NYY 23 2022
236 Drew Romo C COL 19 2024
237 Hudson Head OF SD 19 2023
238 Justin Lange SP SD 19 2024
239 Carlos Rodriguez OF MIL 19 2024
240 Drew Rasmussen P MIL 25 2020
241 Matthew Thompson SP CWS 20 2023
242 Jeremy Pena SS HOU 23 2021
243 Jairo Solis SP HOU 20 2021
244 Estevan Florial OF NYY 22 2020
245 Clayton Beeter SP LAD 21 2023
246 Luis Garcia SS PHI 19 2022
247 Andry Lara SP WAS 17 2023
248 Isaiah Greene OF NYM 19 2024
249 Landon Knack SP LAD 23 2023
250 Thomas Hatch SP TOR 26 2020
251 Casey Martin SS Phillies 21 2023

 

The Top 10 

1. Jarred Kelenic, OF, Mariners: During our recent Top 50 redraft prospects for 2021 update, I referred to Kelenic as the next coming of Mike Trout and I don’t think that’s an exaggeration. He’s made huge strides in his development at a young age and prospects to be a five-tool talent.

2. Wander Franco, SS, Rays: It was a bit of a surprise to not see Franco arrive in Tampa Bay this season but with such a strong stranglehold on the American League East, there was no reason to push his development. He’s a gifted hitter whose only real need is to continue to get stronger so that his plus bat speed can produce more over-the-fence pop.

3. MacKenzie Gore, SP, Padres: Gore is another player that was projected to arrive in the latter half of the shortened 2020 season but he remained at the alternate training site. The talented lefty has all the makings of a frontline starter: size, stuff, moxie, and command/control.

5. Sixto Sanchez, SP, Marlins: Sanchez made huge strides in 2020 and had little issues with big-league hitters during his seven regular-season starts. He can touch 100 mph with his heater and backs it up with a plus change-up. The breaking ball needs continued work but his ability to induce a high number of ground-ball outs gives him another valuable weapon.

6. Spencer Torkelson, 1B, Tigers: With a number of top hitting prospects graduating to the Major Leagues in the second half of the year, Torkelson takes a noticeable jump up the list despite having yet to play a true pro game. The first overall selection of the 2020 draft has plus-plus power potential but I do have some concerns with how much swing-and-miss he’ll show given his relatively high career strikeout rate in college (only Aaron Sabato had a higher career strikeout rate among college first-round picks in 2020). There is perhaps Pete Alonso upside here but even the Mets first baseman struck out significantly less in college.

7. Andrew Vaughn, 1B, White Sox: Vaughn was the third overall selection of the 2019 draft but is a slightly different player than his fellow first baseman right above. He doesn’t have nearly the raw power that Torkelson possesses but he’s a better all-around player and much more likely to hit for average while producing strong on-base numbers and generating 20+ home runs.

8. Julio Rodriguez, OF, Mariners: There weren’t many people talking about Rodriguez as recently as April 2019 when I first highlighted him as an intriguing bat to watch and his rise to top prospect since then has been swift — even with a litany of injuries throwing up roadblocks. His inability to stay healthy is somewhat worrisome but he’s a very advanced bat for his age (19) who has a chance to hit for both power and average.

9. Ian Anderson, SP, Braves: I ranked Ian Anderson as the 30th best prospect in baseball back in March, which I felt was aggressive at the time but he’s blown that ranking away with a dominating first taste of MLB action. The big right-hander has likely been underestimated in the past because he doesn’t possess a blazing fastball or a deep repertoire but his strong command/control helps everything play up. Long-term, he’s probably a little more of No. 2 starter than a true ace but he’s going to be very, very good.

 

Prospects 11-30 

12. Austin Martin, IF/OF, Blue Jays: I personally preferred Martin to Spencer Torkelson as the top college hitter in the draft. While Torkelson arguably has the higher ceiling, Martin is a safer bet to be an above-average MLB hitter and impacts the game in more ways than the Tigers’ prospect. There is some question about how much power Martin will produce but I think he’ll eventually offer 20-homer pop while hitting for average, producing strong on-base numbers and showing well at multiple defensive positions.

14. Zac Veen, OF, Rockies: I had Veen ranked as the top player available in the 2020 draft — that’s how much I love his bat… and his selection by the Colorado Rockies only increases his offensive potential. The last time I was absolutely convinced that a prep bat was going to be an impact hitter was 2012 when I loudly advocated for Carlos Correa to go first overall (which he did, but it was considered an overdraft at the time to save money).

15. Nick Gonzales, 2B, Pirates: Gonzales is going to be a stud for Pittsburgh and I would have been tempted to select him with the Top 5 of the 2020 draft. He’s going to regularly threaten to hit .300 and should produce a ton of extra-base hits. He showed home-run skills in college but was playing in the collegiate equivalent of Coors Field so that made it a little more challenging to predict his future power potential.

17. Alex Kirilloff, OF, Twins: Kirilloff spent 2020 at the alternate training site but he should be a strong bet to spend most — if not all — of 2021 in the Majors. He’s had some injury issues but he should hit for both power and average.

19. Luis Patino, SP, Padres: Some people have already allowed Patino’s modest results in 2020 to cast doubt on his future impact (I claimed him off waivers in one of my fantasy leagues) but don’t despair. Patino held his own at the MLB level as a 20-year-old with just 7.2 innings of experience above A-ball. Once he gets his feet back under him and shows more of the control that he had in the minors, Patino will be a stud.

23. Max Meyer, SP, Marlins: The Marlins showed flashes of their amazing, young pitching depth with the arrivals of Sixto Sanchez, Trevor Rodgers, and Braxton Garrett but Meyer, selected third overall in 2020, has a chance to challenge Sanchez as the top arm in the system.

25. Riley Greene, OF, Tigers: When I first started to promote Greene as one of the top bats in baseball I received a lot of “Huh, really?” Then he blew up in spring training and continued to impress all season long at the alternate training site. He should hit for both power and average in the middle of the Tigers’ lineup and will pair beautifully with slugger Spencer Torkelson.

27. Bobby Witt Jr, SS, Royals: I’ve had my reservations with Witt Jr. since his prep days. He’s athletic and comes from good bloodlines but he’s struggled with making consistent contact. He generated strong reports out of the alternate training site so I’m a little more optimistic but he comes with a little more “bust” potential for me than a lot of other prospect watchers.

30. Jasson Dominguez, OF, Yankees: A player like Dominguez is incredibly difficult to rank because he comes with so much hype but has yet to actually play even one pro game — and missed out on an entire year of competitive game action. He’s the epitome of a boom-or-bust prospect.

 

Prospects 31-50

31. Ryan Mountcastle, OF, Orioles: The alternate training site environment worked wonders for Mountcastle in 2020 as his value as a hitter took a huge jump. He’s become a more patient hitter, which has helped his natural talent play up.

32. Tarik Skubal, SP, Tigers: My early season predictions that Skubal would outperform Casey Mize came true but the right-hander will still likely outperform the left-hander over the long haul. However, once he solves his command issues — and he showed improvements as the year went on — the Tigers should have something valuable here in Skubal.

35. Brailyn Marquez, SP, Cubs: Marquez had one disastrous start at the MLB level in 2020 but showed a brief flash of his future potential by hitting 99 mph a number of times in two-thirds of an inning. If he can rein in his control and continue to polish his secondary stuff, this hard-throwing youngster has a strong future.

36. Triston McKenzie, SP, Indians: McKenzie was a tough pitcher to rank coming into 2020 given that he hadn’t pitched in a year-and-a-half. The fastball velocity was down a bit from his pre-injury days but he was still a very good MLB pitcher for the Indians and has the chance to settle in as a very good mid-rotation starter — possibly more if he recovers some of his velocity.

38. Daulton Varsho, C/OF, Diamondbacks: It was a rough offensive season for Varsho but, in fairness to the rookie, he received inconsistent playing time. I remain high on his fantasy value given his strong minor-league offensive performances as well as his defensive versatility. I just hope his development isn’t hindered by the organization’s seemingly directionless approach to running a baseball club.

41. Francisco Alvarez, C, Mets: Alvarez is one of the top catching prospects in baseball and has significant upside as a hitter. He has a chance to produce strong on-base numbers and good power but he’ll need to watch his conditioning. Just 18, he’s already listed at 220 pounds.

44. Robert Hassell III, OF, Padres: After Zac Veen, I considered Hassell III to be the next best prep hitter in the draft. The big concern with this prospect is his future power output but I remain convinced that he has a solid shot to generate at least 20 home runs a season while hitting for a high average.

48. Emerson Hancock, SP, Marines: I have my concerns about Hancock’s overall potential. He was a successful college pitcher but I don’t love his delivery and fear that he’ll be prone to significant platoon splits.

49. Josh Jung, 3B, Rangers: I thought Jung had one of the best bats in the 2019 draft and fully supported the Rangers’ aggressive grab at eighth overall despite concerns he may have to move from third base to first base. If minor league baseball returns in 2021, I can see Jung being a huge riser on this list.

 

Prospects 51-75

52. Jordan Groshans, SS/3B, Blue Jays: The stunted 2020 season was quite possibly a blessing in disguise for Groshans, whose 2019 season ended almost before it got started due to a serious foot injury. With no daily grind this year, it likely gave the young infielder’s injury more time to fully heal. With a mature approach, I expected big things in 2021.

53. Orelvis Martines, SS, Blue Jays: Toronto has a strong minor league system and Martinez is one of the best prospects no one is talking about yet. He hit seven home runs in 40 rookie ball games in 2019 — as a 17-year-old. And he did it with a BB-K of 14-29, which is almost as impressive as the power output. As long as there was no rust added with the non-existent minor league season in 2020, Martinez could really take off in 2021.

55. Deivi Garcia, SP, Yankees: Garcia showed glimpses of his potential at the MLB level in 2020. His lack of size is a concern and I think he’ll also need to rely more heavily on his plus curveball going forward.

56. Shane McClanahan, SP, Rays: McClanahan’s potential has always been undermined by below-average control but he made huge strides in that area in 2019 and likely would have reached the Majors in 2020 if we had experienced a normal season. Given the Rays’ solid pitching depth, there is a chance that McClanahan ends up as a high-leverage reliever but I think he’ll settle in as a mid-rotation starter with the ability to hit the upper-90s with his heater and back it up with a strong breaking ball.

59. Nolan Jones, 3B, Indians: Jones is an on-base machine with plus raw power but he’s spent the majority of his pro career hitting too many balls on the ground. The 2020 season provided a great opportunity for Jones to work on his swing with a number of different coaches so I’m eager to see how he looks in 2021.

74. Hunter Greene, SP, Reds: This ranking of Greene could end up being too passive but he’s coming off Tommy John surgery and has thrown just 72.2 innings in four years. Reports on his recovery have been very positive and the video I’ve seen has been impressive.

 

Prospects 76-100

76. Ke’Bryan Hayes, 3B, Pirates: Hayes had a very strong MLB debut and the time spent in the alternate training site clearly did him well. But I’m somewhat skeptical of his ability to continue to be an impact bat at the hot corner given his ground-ball rate of nearly 50% and .450 BABIP.

78. J.J. Bleday, OF, Marlins: I’ve given Bleday a cautious ranking for a few reasons. I’m always cautious when ranking players who built their value on one strong college season. As well, Bleday has shown contact issues and the long layoff from competitive action could hurt a player like this. On the plus side, he receives glowing reports on his make-up.

86. Royce Lewis, IF/OF, Twins: Lewis continues to receive a lot of love but I have my reservations about his ability to be a consistently-above-average offensive player. He’s a no-doubt big leaguer but I see his value coming more from his defensive versatility and good base running. On the plus side, he’s still young and very athletic so he could turn things around in a hurry.

87. Jared Kelley, SP, White Sox: Garrett Crochet made all the headlines prior to his unfortunate injury but I wouldn’t be shocked if Kelley has a better overall career — or just as good — especially if he makes strides with his breaking ball.

97. Kyren Paris, SS, Angels: I was super-high on Paris as the 2019 draft approached and has him as a first-round talent. He was ultimately nabbed in the second round by the Angels and I’ve remained encouraged with his early-career results. He’s another name that could start to really rise up in 2021.

98. Tucker Davidson, SP, Braves: Ian Anderson’s 2020 performance suggests he was underrated by many and Davidson may be the 2021 version of an underrated Braves’ pitching prospect. With that said, his ceiling likely isn’t as high but he’s shown the potential to develop into a solid mid-rotation starter thanks to his strong fastball and ground-ball tendencies. With additional polish to his secondary stuff, Davidson could really take off.

 

Prospects 101-150

101. Luis Campusano, C, Padres: Campusano has a chance to be a very strong hitting catcher but the Padres’ acquisition of Austin Nola has a chance to impact the rookie’s playing time.

102. Josiah Gray, SP, Dodgers: I yelled as loud as I could in supporting Tony Gonsolin in 2020 and he had an outstanding season. Gray is my Dodgers pick for 2021. The ceiling with Gray isn’t quite as high but he should settle in as a very valuable No. 3/4 starter for a very good team. Like the Yankees, never underestimate the Dodgers' ability to develop very good prospects.

103. Keibert Ruiz, C, Dodgers: For Ruiz to really shine, it will likely take a trade from the Dodgers, which could very possibly come this winter. I think he’ll continue to be a player that performs better at the MLB level under the bright lights rather than in minor league stadiums with 1,000 spectators.

123. Alejandro Kirk, C, Blue Jays: I was aggressive with my pre-season ranking of Kirk and he’s more than justified my faith in him. He’s a very advanced hitter for his age and should hit for both power and average. He’ll probably end up spending more time at DH than catcher (but he’s not a bad defensive catcher) and should hit for power and average. He really needs to lose some weight, though, and could have a shorter career than many if he can’t get in better shape.

125. Heston Kjerstad, OF, Orioles: Kjerstad was a massive overdraft by the Orioles in 2020 and they didn’t do nearly enough with the money they saved to make the pick worth it. I saw him more of a second-round talent; he's not worthy of a roster spot -- even in keeper leagues with deep rosters -- until he shows some excellent results in pro ball.

127. Randy Arozarena, OF, Rays: I’ve always been a big Arozarena supporter but even I was surprised by his power output (which I’m not convinced is sustainable). Even if he’s more of a 15-20 homer guy, Arozarena is a well-rounded player who can do a little bit of everything.

135. Brent Rooker, OF/1B, Twins: I had Rooker pegged as someone that could really surprise in 2020 and he was well on his way to doing just that before he suffered a broken arm after being hit by a pitch. He may not hit for a high average but he should produce good walk rates and lots of power.

140. Jordan Walker, 3B, Cardinals: The Cardinals ran a 2020 draft very similarly to the way I would have. Walker was originally ranked by most draft analysts as more of a supplemental first-round or second-round pick but I had him as a no-doubt first-rounder which is where St. Louis nabbed him. I love his swing and approach and see a player capable of hitting for both power and average.

 

Prospects 151-200

152. Aaron Bracho, 2B, Indians: Bracho did a little bit of everything during his pro debut in 2019 at an 18-year-old in rookie ball. He’s a naturally gifted hitter who walked more than he struck out and showed more power than expected.

155. Jhoan Duran, SP, Twins: If he can flesh out his repertoire a little bit and find a reliable third offering, Duran has a chance to be a good starting pitcher. If he ends up with just two reliable pitches then he may end up as a very good high-leverage reliever.

156. Aaron Sabato, 1B, Twins: Sabato was a bit of a surprise as a first-round pick in 2020 by the Twins but he reportedly generates excellent exit velocities that caught the team’s attention. I have concerns about the swing-and-miss he showed during his college career.

162. Jonathan India, 3B, Reds: It’s been a disappointing pro career to date for India, who was once considered a similar talent to Alec Bohm. He needs to show significant improvements in 2021.

171. Dean Kremer, SP, Orioles: Kremer had a solid start to his MLB career in 2020 and looks poised to develop into a very good No. 4 starter. His stuff is difficult to pick up and he should continue to produce solid strikeout numbers.

173. Nick Bitsko, SP, Rays: Bitsko is likely to be a long-term project but he could end up being well worth the wait. He has an excellent pitcher’s frame, promising stuff and he’s in an organization that really knows how to develop pitching.

175. Tanner Houck, SP, Red Sox: Houck entered the 2020 season with his prospect value at an all-time low. It looked like his MLB future may lie in the bullpen after a rough 2019 but he clearly benefited from his time at the alternate training site. He has No. 3 starter upside.

176. Gabriel Moreno, C, Blue Jays: Teams would be wise to target this athletic catcher in trade talks with Toronto, an organization that is desperate for good starting pitching. Moreno has shown flashes of developing into a good hitting catcher with solid bat speed but he needs to continue to get stronger.

193. Casey Schmitt, 3B, Giants: Schmitt is a name that you won’t see on many other — if any — lists but I was a huge fan of him coming into the 2020 amateur draft. I think the Giants got a real steal in this second-round pick as I had him ranked as more of a supplemental first-round guy. There’s some work to be done on the offensive side of things but I see some real potential here in a couple of years.

197. Jerar Encarnacion, OF, Marlins: Encarnacion is still somewhat raw as a hitter and shows significant swing-and-miss to his game but he has a chance to produce plus power.

198. Miguel Hiraldo, 3B/SS, Blue Jays: Another strong offensive infield prospect for the Blue Jays, Hiraldo has a chance to produce above-average pop. He’s also consistently hit .300 despite an aggressive approach at the plate.

 

Prospects 201-250

201. Masyn Winn, SP/IF, Cardinals: The Cardinals had an outstanding draft in 2020 and took a number of players that I had ranked higher than the consensus. Winn will take some time to develop but he’s an ultra-athletic, two-way player with a high ceiling. I think he’ll end up spending most of his time on the mound in the long run.

204. Jared Jones, SP, Pirates: Another two-way talent from the 2020 draft, Jones is raw but has significant upside on the mound. He can get into the mid-to-upper 90s with his heater and shows a good breaking ball.

209. Dillon Dingler, C, Tigers: I was the low man on Dingler heading into the 2020 draft. I just don’t see a ton of offensive potential and think he was a serious over-draft at 38. The Tigers have also struggled to develop catchers selected out of the college ranks in previous years.

211. Daz Cameron, OF, Tigers: Cameron has long been considered a prospect but it’s been slow going with the bat. Still, Cameron should get a chance to play thanks to his plus outfield defense and good speed. He could eventually hit for improved power.

217. Corbin Martin, SP, Diamondbacks: A bit of a forgotten man after undergoing Tommy John surgery in 2019 and getting traded from Houston to Arizona, Martin could surprise a lot of people in 2021 and beyond. He has the potential to develop into a very good mid-rotation starter if he bounces back with his pre-surgery stuff.

219. Grant Lavigne, 1B, Rockies: Lavigne had a disappointing 2019 season and the layoff in 2020 may not help, but I’m not ready to write off this young slugger just yet. If he spent his downtime working on improving his launch angle and hits significantly fewer balls on the ground moving forward then there is a significant upside here.

224. Aaron Schunk, 3B, Rockies: Schunk is a real sleeper to keep tabs on. He’s shown the ability to hit for average with raw power potential — and playing in Coor Field could really help him tap into that pop.

226. David Calabrese, OF, Angels: A deep sleeper, Calabrese is a relatively advanced prep bat out of Canada who has plus speed. He also reportedly has excellent make-up and the drive to be a star.

243. Estevan Florial, OF, Yankees: Florial lost significant value as a prospect over the past couple of years but has started to regain some of his previous shine. And as a general rule, I never underestimate the Yankees’ ability to develop players.

247. Isaiah Greene, OF, Mets: Greene was one of my favorite 2020 prep bats and the Mets got a real steal here. He might be a long-term project but I think he’ll be worth the wait.

249. Thomas Hatch, P, Blue Jays: Hatch got his first taste of MLB action in 2020 but it came out of the bullpen. It was a solid fit but this right-hander has shown continued improvements that could help him settle in as a No. 3/4 starter.



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