Avoid draft-day mistakes with RotoBaller’s top Fantasy Football Busts and player fade picks. Our experts spotlight overvalued players, risky ADPs, and bust candidates to help you draft smarter.

RB Committees Not to Avoid in 2021
Nobody likes a running back committee. Until you have to do so just out of pure logic. If we're offered the chance of drafting a bell-cow a la Christian McCaffrey in 2019, we're always going to pull the trigger no matter what the outcome ends up being. Just the fact that the man will carry the ball […]

Fool Me Once... Second-Year Running Backs Who'll Bust Again
Out of pretty much every NFL position, running back is the one where immediate success should be the most expected. It's a position with the shortest shelf life, so players need to prove themselves quickly. So when a player's rookie year doesn't go well, that's a bad sign. And while some players will have a […]

Touchdown Regression Candidates - Quarterback
Throwing a lot of touchdowns? Good! Throwing a lot of touchdowns at a rate that surpasses either your average level or the league average level? Good when it happens, but maybe not so good the next year, when you can come crashing back down to Earth. Not every quarterback is going to throw for Aaron […]

Dynasty Risers and Fallers: Thomas, Henderson, Tonyan
This column was written by Alan Seslowsky (@alanseslowksy) and provided to RotoBaller by our friends at RosterWatch. Each week, this column provides you with movement in the RosterWatch Dynasty Rankings. We highlight players who have gained or lost value recently. Tracking these player value trends assists dynasty players in identifying opportunities to improve their rosters, as […]

FFPC Best-Ball Overvalued/Undervalued Players
Whether you're ready to compete in the FFPC Best Ball Tournament or simply want to enter a few $5 Best Ball Slim leagues, you'll need to know which players to target in this high-stakes format. Not all best-ball leagues are the same in terms of scoring and that especially pertains to FFPC, which utilizes TE-premium scoring. […]

Boom or Bust WR Predictions: Aiyuk, Kupp, Golladay
Wide receiver is at least the second most important position in fantasy. In certain PPR formats, it can be as crucial as running back. One simple way to increase your chances of success is to focus on pass catchers working with reliable quarterbacks while crossing off those forced to dive for ducks or mutter at […]

Draft Busts and Avoids: 2021 RotoBaller Staff Picks
With fantasy football draft season on the horizon, the RotoBaller NFL staff is ready to share their thoughts on the biggest potential busts and draft landmines for 2021 fantasy football. Some of our top analysts have summarized their thoughts on the top players to fade in drafts based on inflated ADP, playing time concerns, or […]

Competitive Receiving Corps to Avoid in 2021 Drafts
We're talking about fantasy football here, and in fantasy, football volume is the key to rostering and fielding a winning team. While everything boils down to that concept, seeking volume calls for looking deeper than just the name and reputation of players. Put a wide receiver or tight end in a stacked offense (one featuring […]

Overvalued Backup Running Backs
Who doesn't love to draft a player late and see him blossom into a league winner? That can often be the case with running back handcuffs covering for starters that fall down to injury or enter the season holding out. Drafting a no. 2 running back late, or even getting him from waivers close to […]

Wide Receiver Target Fallers - Bear Down
What is a wide receiver without a target? A warm body on a gridiron, that's it. Each and every summer, we face the same question because most NFL franchises and also some players themselves decide to go try and test new assets and places. Every time a contract runs out, the possibility of finding a […]

Rookie Running Backs Destined for Committees
We all want to draft the rookie running back that comes out in Year 1 and produces at a top-24 pace. Sadly, that’s just not how things go. It’s rare that you have a season like 2020 where five first-year running backs turn in RB2 or better seasons. In fact, going back to 2012, there […]

Dynasty Risers and Fallers: Derrick Henry, Mike Williams, Melvin Gordon
This column was written by Alan Seslowsky (@alanseslowksy) and provided to RotoBaller by our friends at RosterWatch. Each week, this column provides you with movement in the RosterWatch Dynasty Rankings. We highlight players who have gained or lost value recently. Tracking these player value trends assists dynasty players in identifying opportunities to improve their rosters, as […]

ADP Arbitrage - Quarterback Draft Bargains
Let's finish up this series with a look at the all-important quarterback position. When you're done, you should look back at running back, wide receiver, and tight end ADP comps as well. While ADP is very informative and can help you be informed about where you should start worrying about potentially missing out on a player, […]

Early ADP Variations: ESPN Overvalued & Undervalued
The surest path to the prizes in fantasy football this year is landing one of the five elite quarterbacks: Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Kyler Murray, Lamar Jackson, or Dak Prescott. They’ll provide a sizable week-to-week scoring advantage, often with their legs as well as with their arms that warrant the draft cost and then some. […]

Dynasty Risers and Fallers: Hurts, Mattison, Gaskin
This column was written by Alan Seslowsky (@alanseslowksy) and provided to RotoBaller by our friends at RosterWatch. Each week, this column provides you with movement in the RosterWatch Dynasty Rankings. We highlight players who have gained or lost value recently. Tracking these player value trends assists dynasty players in identifying opportunities to improve their rosters, as […]

2021 Yardage Regression Candidates - Wide Receiver
While touchdowns are the most coveted play outcome for wide receivers in fantasy football, total receiving yards must be taken into serious consideration when deciding who to draft for the position. It is true that receivers have to work harder to rack up yards, and that they don't have an overly great value at only […]

Early Summer ADP Risers at Running Back
Ah, our old friend, ADP. Average Draft Position indicates the mean position where a player is drafted over more than one fantasy football draft. You can consider it as the price you have to pay to draft and get a player on your team. A high ADP (that is actually a low-numbered ADP) means that a […]

Early Summer ADP Fallers at Running Back
I am going to start this column by introducing the concept of ADP, which I'm pretty sure you are already familiar with. Just in case you're not, Average Draft Position (ADP) indicates the average position where a player is drafted over more than one fantasy football draft. You can consider it as the price you […]

Sophomore Slump - Breakout Rookies Who'll Bust in Year Two
Each year, rookies take the league by storm and post incredible numbers. Some explosive rookie campaigns are expected given the hype surrounding a player, but others are out of the blue. Nevertheless, sustaining that production heading into Year Two can fluctuate depending on many factors, such as whether the size of the role is the […]

Early Summer ADP Risers at Quarterback
We continue our look at early summer ADP risers and fallers in order to evaluate each position in-depth and find where value lies. In this series, the focus is on identifying significant fluctuation in draft stock since the start of May using data from FFPC drafts. We've already evaluated ADP risers at the all-important running back […]

Early Summer ADP Fallers at Tight End
In this series, I’ll highlight players at each skill position seeing significant fluctuation since the start of May using data from FFPC drafts. We've already evaluated ADP fallers at wide receiver, running back, and quarterback. Today, it's time to look at three tight end fallers.Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for […]

Early Fantasy Football ADPs to Like/Dislike
Kev Mahserejian (@RotoSurgeon) and fellow RotoBaller analyst Frank Ammirante (@FAmmiranteTFJ) dive into early draft season ADPs for fantasy football they like/dislike along with one player each that Kev and Frank view as a trap. Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (channel Sirius 210, XM 87) - every weekday morning between 6-7 AM ET, […]

Early Preseason ADP Fallers at Quarterback
I am going to start this column by introducing the concept of ADP, which I'm pretty sure you know what it is about. Average Draft Position (ADP) indicates the average position where a player is drafted over more than one fantasy football draft. You can consider it as the price you have to pay to […]

Early Summer ADP Fallers at Wide Receiver
I am going to start this column by introducing the idea of ADP, which I'm pretty sure you know what it is about. Average Draft Position (ADP) indicates the average position where a player is drafted over more than one fantasy football draft. You can consider it as the price you have to pay to […]

Dynasty Risers and Fallers: Ertz, Williams, Love
This column was written by Alan Seslowsky (@alanseslowksy) and provided to RotoBaller by our friends at RosterWatch. Each week, this column provides you with movement in the RosterWatch Dynasty Rankings. We highlight players who have gained or lost value recently. Tracking these player value trends assists dynasty players in identifying opportunities to improve their rosters, as […]

2021 Target Regression Candidates - Tight End
In the NFL and fantasy football, things can change as easily as the snap of a finger from campaign to campaign. One season, somebody breaks a record, and the next, they are fighting for targets and struggling to produce. Based on game script, chemistry, and availability of weapons, targets can fluctuate for pass-catchers. In a […]

2021 Target Regression Candidates - Wide Receiver
In the NFL and fantasy football, things can change as easily as the snap of a finger from campaign to campaign. One season, somebody breaks a record, and the next, they are fighting for targets and struggling to produce. Based on game script, chemistry, and availability of weapons, targets can fluctuate for pass-catchers. In a […]

2021 Yardage Regression Candidates - Tight End
While touchdowns are the most coveted play outcome for tight ends in fantasy football, total receiving yards must be taken into serious consideration when deciding who to draft for the position. It is true that receivers have to work harder to rack up yards, and that they don't have an overly great value at only […]

Dynasty Risers and Fallers: Jones, Tannehill, Gage
This column was written by Alan Seslowsky (@alanseslowksy) and provided to RotoBaller by our friends at RosterWatch. Each week, this column provides you with movement in the RosterWatch Dynasty Rankings. We highlight players who have gained or lost value recently. Tracking these player value trends assists dynasty players in identifying opportunities to improve their rosters, as […]