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Week 1 NFL Matchups Analysis (Part 1) - Start/Sit for Fantasy Football

What's up RotoBallers. Below you will find part one of our Week 1 NFL matchups & fantasy football start/sit analysis for the 2016 NFL football season. Pierre Camus breaks down the first half of the Week 1 matchups to help you prepare your lineups to win this week. Be sure to also check out part two of this week's matchups analysis by Ben Ruppert (@Ben_Ruppert_21).

Each week of the NFL season, we will be breaking down individual matchups and providing you with some fantasy football advice and lineup recommendations based on matchups that we love, matchups that we hate, and some high-risk/high-reward players, as well. It’s essential to analyze the weekly NFL match-ups to find lineup sleepers and gems, while also avoiding those players who may turn out to be busts.

Editor's Note: Purchase a full season NFL Premium Pass (including DFS Premium), and also get MLB Premium + DFS for free through the playoffs. Premium DFS lineup picks, expert lineups, tools and more - seven days a week. You can see screenshots of our NFL Premium and MLB Premium and DFS tools. What are you waiting for?

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

 

Vikings @ Titans - Sunday 9/11 @ 1 PM EST

Matchups I Love

Tajae Sharpe (WR, TEN) - Trying to fight my unrequited man crush for fifth-round rookie Tajae Sharpe is simply an exercise in futility. With Kendall Wright presumably out for week one, don't be surprised if Marcus Mariota leans on his new safety blanket. Delanie Walker served that role last year, but Mariota has been way too bubbly about Sharpe this preseason to make me think it's just hype. That said, Sharpe should be used strictly as a third receiver or flex play in 12+ team PPR leagues.

Adrian Peterson (RB, MIN) - In the unlikely event that the Titans are up big and the Vikings decide to cut Sam Bradford loose in his first game wearing purple, this could come back to haunt me. Otherwise, I can safely predict that Peterson will be among the leaders in rushing yards to begin the year. The Titans weren't completely horrible against the run last year, finishing 21st in yardage allowed. Then again, they didn't have to face someone like AP every week as their divisional opponents lacked any semblance of a running game.

Matchups I Hate

Derrick Henry (RB, TEN) - Henry may very well steal the starting job away from DeMarco Murray and end up as Rookie of the Year. But it ain't gonna happen in Week 1. Murray is the starter, Henry is the backup. That important caveat aside, the Vikings defense allowed just five rushing TD to opponents all last season. He needs to be on your roster, just not in your starting lineup this particular week.

Sam Bradford (QB, MIN) - Not that you were itching to start Bradford anyway (if so, please consult a medical professional to receive treatment), but he hasn't been officially named the starter yet. For some reason, coach Mike Zimmer is playing the waiting game until Sunday morning to announce that the former #1 pick that they traded a first-rounder for might actually start. One week wearing a Vikings jersey is probably not enough to get comfortable in the offense and let's be honest - Bradford has never really been a fantasy starter in the first place.

Notable Players

DeMarco Murray (RB, TEN) - See Henry, Derrick above. Murray will have tough sledding against the Vikings D, but if there's a chance to score near the goal line, he should get first crack. He is an iffy RB2 for this matchup as we don't really have a clear idea of how many carries he will get in this offense.

Stefon Diggs (WR, MIN) - One of the more divisive sleeper picks of the preseason, you either dig Diggs or you don't. Personally, I'm not on that bandwagon and I was one of the lucky ones who snagged him mid-season last year. Seeing his production tail off once opponents realized he was their only option in the passing game makes me wary. Then again, with only Charles Johnson listed above Diggs on the depth chart, it would seem as if he's still currently their best option. He is an uninspiring WR3 in deep leagues.

Bears @ Texans - Sunday 9/11 @ 1 PM EST

Matchups I Love

DeAndre Hopkins (WR, HOU) - This space could be better used for other purposes, but I should perform my due diligence be reminding you that he is a fantasy stud and should be starting for you this week. The Bears actually allowed the fourth-fewest receiving yards to WR in 2015, but don't return a lot of experienced corners in 2016. Starter Kyle Fuller is not a lock to play and the Bears' secondary has been shaky all preseason. Expect big things right away from Hopkins.

Lamar Miller (RB, HOU) - It's time to unleash the Kraken. Or at least it would be if that were Lamar Miller's nickname. "Miller Time" is way too obvious. Either way, Miller should finally get the chance to be treated like a true feature back to ease Brock Osweiler into things. The Bears allowed 4.5 Y/A last season, 4th worst in the league. Miller averaged 4.6 Y/A over his career running behind mediocre offensive line play in Miami. If my online calculator is accurate, he needs to carry the ball 22 times to crack 100 yards. My calculator couldn't tell me whether he would score a touchdown or not, but my Magic 8 Ball said "Outlook is Good," for what it's worth.

Matchups I Hate

Jay Cutler (QB, CHI) - Cutler will get a big dose of JJ Watt early and often. The Texans were one of the stingiest teams against the pass last season, allowing the third fewest total passing yards. Their pass rush could be even more intimidating if Jadveon Clowney builds on a promising preseason to earn his #1 overall pick status. Without a proven running back to lighten the load, things could turn ugly for Cutler.

Kevin White (WR, CHI) - He would already make for a risky start in his first NFL action, but reports of White being limited in practice mid-week are even more disconcerting. The fact that it's a hamstring issue is enough to make him a player to avoid. Fantasy owners should wait to see him 100% and productive before using up valuable lineup space on White.

Notable Players

Alshon Jeffrey (WR, CHI) - If White doesn't go, Jeffrey will draw double teams on a regular basis. You don't need to necessarily bench him, but temper your expectations considerably.

Chargers @ Chiefs - Sunday 9/11 @ 1 PM EST

Matchups I Love

Danny Woodhead (RB, SD) - This PPR darling could see standard league value by sheer volume. Melvin Gordon is yet to prove himself and until he does, Woodhead is the back to own in SD. He didn't play particularly well against the Chiefs last year, but checkdowns should be frequent as Marcus Peters and crew suffocate the passing game.

Matchups I Hate

Philip Rivers (QB, SD) - Rivers hates the Chiefs. Or maybe the Chiefs hate him. I'm sure it's mutual, but either way he just hasn't performed well against this division rival recently. Rivers went 0-2 with a 0/2 TD/INT rate and 59% Comp% last year. Playing at Arrowhead makes Rivers a low-end QB2 this week.

Notable Players

Jamaal Charles (RB, KC) - Charles is looking more likely to miss week one altogether, which is a big letdown for Charles owners like myself who are expecting a bounceback season. It still may happen, but we'll have to wait and hope he returns to 100% sooner rather than later. In the meanwhile, you did remember to handcuff him with Charcandrick West and/or Spencer Ware, right?

Keenan Allen (WR, SD) - Allen faces a touch match-up against Defensive ROY Marcus Peters, but he will get his share of grabs if the Chargers fall behind by two scores or more. He can't be benched in fantasy leagues, but this is not the week to pony up for his services in DFS.

Raiders @ Saints - Sunday 9/11 @ 1 PM EST

Matchups I Love

Drew Brees (QB, NO) - Ignore all the talk about the offensive line and the preseason struggles. It's the preseason for God's sake. New Orleans re-signed Jahri Evans to shore up the O-line and the Saints have a younger, more athletic receiving corps than last year, boosted by the addition of tight end Coby Fleener and rookie Michael Thomas. Brees should be plugged in as a top-5 QB option each and every week.

Coby Fleener (TE, NO) - All the talk of Fleener struggling to get on the same page as Brees can be ignored for this week. The Saints face a team that allowed the third-most fantasy points to tight ends last year. Opposing TE put up 910 yards and 11 TD on the Raiders last year, which bodes well for a big-bodied target like Fleener in the red zone.

Clive Walford (TE, OAK) - Let the tight end lovefest continue. Walford is not a household name, but he could make an impact early. As bad as the Raiders D was against the tight end, guess which defense was the absolute worst? Of course, it's the Saints. Pretty much every Raiders skill player should make this list in week one, but Walford is the one you might not suspect. The three C's (Carr, Cooper, and Crabtree) are a given. So technically I love the entire Raiders offense, but you know, word count.

Matchups I Hate

Mark Ingram (RB, NO) - I believe Ingram as a RB1 is a big stretch as it is, but there's nothing about this matchup to indicate he is due for a breakout performance. The Raiders actually finished in the top half of league in Rush defense and Drew Brees will be too busy chucking the ball down the field to feed Ingram 20+ times. The Raiders will be right up there with them on the scoreboard and shootouts don't usually favor running backs.

Notable Players

Michael Thomas (WR, NO) - It will be interesting to see how much of Thomas we see on the field, compared to Brandon Coleman. Dynasty league owners already know about Thomas, but in New Orleans any receiver can quickly become fantasy relevant.

Packers @ Jaguars - Sunday 9/11 @ 1 PM EST

Matchups I Love

Randall Cobb (WR, GB) - #5 overall pick Jalen Ramsey will be thrown to the wolves immediately against the Packers talented receivers. Cobb may be the beneficary here in terms of matchups. Jordy Nelson is a full go for the game, but Cobb may draw more targets as Nelson works his way back.

Matchups I Hate

Blake Bortles (QB, JAX) - Green Bay isn't known for a stout defense, but they forced opposing QBs into a 20/16 QB/INT rate last season. The main area Bortles needs to improve is cutting down on turnovers, so it could be a challenging day for the third year signal caller.

Notable Players

Aaron Rodgers (QB, GB) -  It might be assumed that facing the Jags' inexperienced defense would work in Rodgers' favor, but the Pack may not feel obligated to throw as frequently if they can form any semblance of run game as they would prefer. That depends heavily on Eddie Lacy, which is a tricky proposition, but don't necessarily expect a huge game out of Rodgers.

Bucs @ Falcons - Sunday 9/11 @ 1 PM EST

Matchups I Love

Julio Jones (WR, ATL) - Jones will be targeted roughly 12,844,751 times this season in Kyle Shanahan's offense. He won't catch all of them, but he's about as safe a WR1 as you can get this week. With Antonio Brown facing Josh Norman on MNF, Jones could be the top fantasy scorer of the week.

Matchups I Hate

Devonta Freeman (RB, ATL) - Three factors come into play here. 1) The Bucs held opposing runners to 3.4 Y/A last year. 2) Freeman tapered off significantly in the second half last year, scoring just two TD and registering zero 100-yard games. 3) Tevin Coleman will be worked into the equation, cutting into Freeman's snaps. Don't be surprised if your second-round pick ends the day with 56 yards and no scores.

Jameis Winston (QB, TB) - Atlanta allowed 19 passing TD all last season, the exact same number as defending champions Denver, while forcing 15 INT. Winston is known to force the ball when trying to make big plays and could end up with more turnovers than TD.

Notable Players

Vincent Jackson (WR, TB) - Jackson has become an afterthought in fantasy circles after a disappointing 2015. His problem was injury-related, however, not a sudden decline in skills. Prior to last season, V-Jax posted four straight 1,000 yard efforts, three of which came in Tampa Bay. The Falcons were average against the pass, so Jackson could produce flex-worthy numbers.

Dolphins @ Seahawks - Sunday 9/11 @ 4 PM EST

Matchups I Love

Russell Wilson (QB, SEA) - Seeing as how I picked Wilson to be the NFL MVP this season, I will probably be putting him in this category every week. There is a legitimate reason to think he could shine, given Miami's weakness in the secondary. Wilson played particularly well at home in 2015 with a 17/2 TD/INT rate and 112.4 QBR. He is a bonafide QB1 with a chance to put up big point totals right off the bat.

Doug Baldwin (WR, SEA) - Many pundits are refusing to hop on the Baldwin bandwagon after his touchdown bonanza in the second half last year. I'm not suggesting he will go for three TD to start the season, but as mentioned above, if there is a weak spot in the Dolphins' defense it's definitely the secondary. Top corner Byron Maxwell is rehabbing his reputation after a disappointing year in Philly and Baldwin is likely to get the better of him a couple of times.

Jarvis Landry (WR, MIA) - Not that he has a particularly good match-up, but Landry figures to be targeted early and often in this one. If Miami falls behind by two scores or more in the first half, the passing game figures to be in full effect. Landry only finished with less than five catches on four occasions last year. With Devante Parker questionable to go, chances are Landry sees a heavy workload.

Matchups I Hate

Arian Foster/Jay Ajayi (RB, MIA) - Guess who's going to see more time on the field in week one, coming off a pre-season in which both barely saw game-time snaps. I don't know either and I have been covering the Dolphins weekly since May. Foster figures to start with Ajayi mixing in once in a while, but honestly neither is a good

Jimmy Graham (TE, SEA) - Graham remains a huge question mark until he shows that he is fully healthy on the field. Even so, he must build some chemistry with Wilson that wasn't there his first year in Seattle. Graham will need to produce before he can be fully trusted by fantasy owners. If he's your best tight end in a 12+ team league, hopefully you have another option. Don't be afraid to keep him benched at least for this week.

Notable Players

Ryan Tannehill (QB, MIA) - It's hard to recommend any offensive player for Miami other than the usually reliable Landry, but Tannehill could put up some yardage if they fall behind early. Adam Gase's offense promises to elevate the embattled quarterback's game, but it will likely take some time. Playing on the road against one of the top defenses in the loudest stadium in the league doesn't figure to be the week it will happen.

Christine Michael (RB, SEA) - Michael is a player to keep a very close eye on this week. If he can repeat his preseason success (113 YDS, 1 TD on 19 carries) then a timeshare with Thomas Rawls could become a reality. That doesn't necessarily help either one, but if Rawls' injury problems persist, Michael could become a viable starter down the road. If Rawls suits up this Sunday, Michael is probably not worth starting unless you are swinging for the fences in hopes of a big performance.

 




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Braelon Allen

Dynasty Stock Takes a Hit After Teammate's Extension
Josh Allen

Still the Top Dynasty QB in his Prime
Kyler Murray

Suddenly a Rising Dynasty Target in Minnesota
Logan Webb

on Track to Start Against Dodgers on Monday
Mike Matheson

Leads by Example in Game 2 Win
Jakub Dobes

Rebounds After Loss Yet Again for Montreal
Rachaad White

Undervalued in Dynasty Leagues Despite a Path to Upside
Alex Newhook

Sets Tone in Big Montreal Victory
Stephon Castle

Overcomes Shooting Struggles Friday
Jake Tonges

Should by Now Be Rostered by Every Kittle Dynasty Manager
Anthony Edwards

Carries Heavy Usage in Defeat
Chig Okonkwo

a Clear Breakout Candidate in Washington
Lukas Dostal

Gets Pulled in Game 3 Loss on Friday
Victor Wembanyama

Joins Historic Playoff Company
Mikal Bridges

Continues Postseason Surge with 23-Point Game
Aaron Jones Sr.

Still a Low-Cost, Short-Term Dynasty Target
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Keeps Scoring Role Alive
Romeo Doubs

' Buy Window Could Soon Be Wide Open
Joel Embiid

Held to 18 Points in 76ers Game 3 Loss
Brett Howden

Notches Sixth Goal of the Postseason
Jalen Brunson

Tallies 33 Points to Take 3-0 Series Lead
VEG

Mitch Marner Hat Trick Helps Vegas Take Series Lead
Pat Bryant

Working With Training Staff This Offseason
Jacoby Brissett

in Communication With Cardinals Despite Skipping Workouts
Daniel Jones

Could Take Part in 7-on-7 Drills at OTAs
Tyler Glasnow

Dodgers Put Tyler Glasnow on Injured List With Back Spasms
Sam Merrill

Iffy for Game 3 on Saturday
Anthony Edwards

Rejoins Starting Lineup Friday
Kevin Huerter

Likely to Remain Out Saturday
Jarred Vanderbilt

Considered Questionable for Saturday
Jalen Williams

Ruled Out for Game 3 Against Lakers
Ayo Dosunmu

Cleared to Play Friday
Anthony Edwards

Available Friday Night
Joel Embiid

is Returning for Game 3 on Friday
Brandon Ingram

Undergoes Heel Surgery
Josh Hart

is Available to Play in Game 3
OG Anunoby

is Downgraded to Out for Game 3 on Friday
Mitchell Robinson

is Returning for Game 3
Mats Zuccarello

Expected to Play Saturday
Joel Eriksson Ek

to Be a Game-Time Decision Saturday
Jonas Brodin

Still Out Saturday
Josh Manson

Could Return Saturday
Kaedan Korczak

Scratched for Game 3 Against Ducks
Radko Gudas

Likely to Remain Out Friday
Sam Carrick

Won't Play Friday
Isiah Pacheco

Can Isiah Pacheco Re-Establish His Dynasty Value in Detroit?
Rico Dowdle

Dynasty Ceiling Limited By Backfield Committee in Pittsburgh
Rashid Shaheed

a High-Risk, High-Reward Buy-Low Candidate for Dynasty Managers
Marcus Mariota

Is Marcus Mariota Worth Stashing as an Injury Replacement in Dynasty Leagues?
Jacoby Brissett

a Clear Sell-High Candidate for Dynasty Managers
Blake Snell

to Make Season Debut for Dodgers on Saturday
Najee Harris

Can Najee Harris Re-Establish Some Dynasty Value in 2026?
Cole Ragans

Royals Place Cole Ragans on Injured List With Elbow Impingement
Breece Hall

Jets Sign Breece Hall to Three-Year Extension Worth $45.75 Million
Sean Strickland

An Underdog At UFC 328
Khamzat Chimaev

Set For UFC 328 Main Event
Tatsuro Taira

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Joshua Van

Set For His First Title Defense
Alexander Volkov

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
MMA

Waldo Cortes-Acosta Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Nick Lodolo

Officially Activated, Making Season Debut on Friday
Denver Broncos

Broncos Sign GM George Paton to New Five-Year Deal
Brandon McManus

Packers Release Kicker Brandon McManus
New York Jets

Jets Talking to a "Number of Veteran Quarterbacks"
CFB

Walker Lyons Could be Go-To Target for Bear Bachmeier
Austin Reaves

Scores 31 Points in Game 2 Defeat
CFB

Ty Benefield a Potential Game-Changer for LSU Defense
Chet Holmgren

Anchors Thunder Past Lakers in Game 2
CFB

Hayden Lowe Set for Significant Role Following Miami's NFL Departures
CFB

Taylor Wein in Position for Big Season on Oklahoma's Defensive Line
CFB

Rasheem Biles an Instant Impact Player for Texas
Dan Vladar

Looks to Return to Winning Ways Thursday
Connor Dewar

Penguins Re-Sign Connor Dewar for Two Years
Mikko Rantanen

Played Through Torn MCL Late in the Season
Rasmus Dahlin

Ready to Go Friday
Alexander Nikishin

Set to Return Thursday
Christian Dvorak

Available Thursday
Owen Tippett

Remains Out Thursday
Roman Anthony

Heading for the Injured List
CFB

Sam Leavitt Expected to Be Full-Go for Fall Camp
Tarik Skubal

Could Return in 4-6 Weeks After Successful Elbow Surgery
Cole Ragans

Royals Hopeful That Cole Ragans Makes his Next Start
Mark Stone

Nets Late Power-Play Goal in Losing Effort
Emilio Pagán

Emilio Pagan has Grade 2 Hamstring Strain, Expected to Miss 4-8 Weeks
Joe Ryan

Listed as Scheduled Starter for Saturday Against Cleveland
Tyler Glasnow

Not Expected to Land on the Injured List
Framber Valdez

Suspension Reduced to Five Games
Framber Valdez

Suspended Six Games
Tyler Glasnow

Exits Early on Wednesday With Back Pain
CFB

Brauntae Johnson the Next Star in Notre Dame's Secondary?
CFB

Ethan Barbour a Name to Know in Georgia's Tight End Room
CFB

Payton Pierce Next Up at Linebacker for Ohio State
CFB

Javin Gordon to Play Significant Role for Tennessee?
CFB

Tanook Hines Stepping into WR1 Role for USC
CFB

Rueben Owens II has "Star Potential" in Fourth Campaign
Brandon Woodruff

has Fluid Drained From his Right Shoulder
Brandon Woodruff

to Resume Throwing on Saturday, Return Imminent?
Carlos Correa

to Have Season-Ending Ankle Surgery
Jacob Misiorowski

Listed as Friday's Probable Starter
Logan Webb

Dealing With Knee Discomfort
Carlos Correa

Expected to Miss Significant Time With Ankle Injury
Collin Morikawa

Withdraws From Truist Championship
Xander Schauffele

Carries Elite Form Into Quail Hollow
Hideki Matsuyama

Looks to Bounce Back at Truist Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick

Secures Third Win of 2026 Season
Patrick Cantlay

Continues Playing Well Heading to Truist Championship
Ludvig Aberg

Returns to Action For Truist Championship
Justin Thomas

Searching for Consistency at Quail Hollow
Jordan Spieth

Looks to Break Through at Quail Hollow
Adam Scott

Brings Strong Form to Quail Hollow
Robert MacIntyre

a Steady Option at Truist Championship
Jason Day

Looks to Overcome Approach Struggles at Quail Hollow
Akshay Bhatia

Looks for Complete Game at Truist Championship
Emilio Pagán

Emilio Pagan Headed for Injured List With Hamstring Injury
Justin Rose

to Continue Mid-Season Club Change at Truist Championship
Si Woo Kim

is Back to Peak Form Ahead of Truist Championship
Sam Burns

to Bounce Back at Truist Championship
Cameron Young

Looks to Carry Dominance to Quail Hollow
Rory McIlroy

Returns to Familiar Stomping Grounds This Week at Quail Hollow
Chris Gotterup

Looking to Bounce Back at Quail Hollow
Tommy Fleetwood

Looking For Better Iron Play at Quail Hollow
CFB

Mario Craver Enters No. 1 Wide Receiver Role for Marcel Reed
CFB

LaNorris Sellers a Strong Rebound Candidate in 2026
CFB

Cam Coleman Poised for Monster Year at Texas?
CFB

Will Hammond Pushing to Be Ready for Week 1
Alex Fitzpatrick

Looking to Keep Up Ball-Striking Output at Quail Hollow
CFB

Notre Dame Leads College Football in Returning Snaps
CFB

Two Ole Miss Football Players Arrested, Charged with DUI
Ben Griffin

Looks Solid on the Surface Heading to Charlotte
Chase Elliott

Earns his Second Texas Motor Speedway Victory
Denny Hamlin

Misses Out on Winning at Texas
Alex Bowman

Finishes Third for the Second Week in a Row at Texas
Tyler Reddick

Earns Seventh Top-Five Finish of the Season at Texas
Chris Buescher

Scores his First Career Texas Finish in the Top Five
CFB

Bryce Underwood in Better Situation Entering Sophomore Season
CFB

Nico Iamaleava Emerging as Leader, Playmaker for UCLA
Jack Della Maddalena

Gets Dominated At UFC Perth
Carlos Prates

Shines At UFC Perth
Beneil Dariush

Suffers A First-Round TKO Loss
Quillan Salkilld

Remains Unbeaten In The UFC
Tim Elliott

Drops Decision At UFC Perth
Steve Erceg

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Ollie Schmid

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Marwan Rahiki

Remains Unbeaten
Christopher Bell

Is Christopher Bell Worth Rostering for Texas Lineups?
William Byron

Might have the Speed to Compete for the Win at Texas
Joey Logano

Provides Solid Upside for Texas DFS Lineups
Chase Briscoe

Could Chase Briscoe be A Sneaky Pick for Texas Lineups?
Ty Gibbs

Should DFS Managers Roster Ty Gibbs at Texas?
Daniel Suarez

Is Daniel Suarez Worth Rostering After Career-Best Starting Position at Texas?
Kyle Busch

Is a DFS Risk Starting in the Top 10 at Texas
Tyler Reddick

One of the Favorites to Win at Texas
Chase Elliott

Could Contend for Another Win at Texas
Carson Hocevar

on Pole at Texas
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Wrecks in Practice at Texas
Chris Buescher

Looking to Continue Strong Run at Texas
Austin Dillon

Blows Engine in Practice at Texas
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