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Austin Dillon Doesn't Lead Enough at Talladega to Contend for Wins
Although Austin Dillon has won two drafting-track races, both of those came at Daytona, where he roughed up the leader. Although theoretically anyone could win at Talladega, Dillon seems like he would have only the remotest chance because to win at Talladega, you still need to be able to put yourself in the lead, and even though Dillon has earned seven top-10 finishes at Talladega, including each of the last two races, he has only led four career laps here. Since the last few Talladega races haven't even been very crash-prone, the likelihood of him backing into a win is less likely than you would think as well. He may still be worthy of consideration for place-differential points since he only starts 21st, but there are probably better choices starting worse.
Source: Racing Reference
Source: Racing Reference
