RADIO
Welcome back to another League of Legends DFS fantasy slate! We are now onto week 4 of the LEC. At the end of the week, we will already be halfway through the split.
Last week we saw Rogue remain undefeated making easy work of Fnatic and Vitality. Fnatic dropped both games allowing G2 to jump them in the standings, meanwhile, Astralis is at the bottom of the standings as they are still yet to pick up a win.
I'll provide my League of Legends DFS advice, analysis, and lineup picks for this LEC slate on DraftKings and FanDuel that locks at 12:00 PM EST on Friday, February 4th, 2022. If you have any questions about the slate or anything please reach out to me on Twitter @nolanroth10. I'll do my best to provide some useful analysis, and the odds listed are from Pinnacle. Let's jump right into the matchups, and good luck RotoBallers.
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LEC Matches
SK (-155) vs. AST (+120)
In our first game of the slate, we get the bottom two teams in the LEC. SK and AST have combined to pick up 1 win this split. I don't see there being much interest in this game but AST is very cheap on this slate and will be hungry to pick up a win against another bottom-tier team. Both teams looks awful last week, but this will be a game both sides think they can win.
If AST is going to be able to pull off the upset it will be because of jungler Zanzarah. He leads the team in both kill participation and kill share making him an obvious play if using AST. Kobbe has the lowest death share on the team and is second in KS. ADC's have been putting up large kill totals in wins so we could see a "pop-off" game from Kobbe if AST can get the win.
Top AST plays: Zanzarah, Kobbe, WhiteKnight
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RGE (-460) vs. XL (+320)
Rogue is looking unstoppable right now. With the 7-0 record came a price increase and most of the Rogue members are now the most expensive at their positions. Rogue has the shortest average game time at just over 30 minutes, meanwhile, XL has the longest average game time sitting at 37.4 minutes. It will be interesting to see which pace we get to see tomorrow. With how Rogue is looking, I expect to see them dictate how this game will be played and cruise to another win.
Rogue ADC Comp currently leads the league in kills with 44 and he sits at a 35.5% KS, while also leading the team in KP at 78.2%. While Comp captain teams might be hard to build, he is a great choice for the captain slot. Trymbi has been the shot caller for Rogue so far and is clearly doing a great job. He is a great choice to pair up with Comp. Larssen and Malrang have similar numbers so far this split and both are very capable of taking over a game.
Top RGE plays: Comp, Trymbi, Malrang, Larssen
VIT (-200) vs. MSF (+140)
Both these teams went 1-1 last week and while I do see some upset potential here, I am going to be heavily invested in Vitality here. Both VIT and MSF are in the top half of CKPM (Combined Kills per Minute) so we should see plenty of multi-player ganks and skirmishes in the game as well as some big team fights around rift herald, dragon, and baron.
For MSF Vetheo is the clear star of the team. He has been a man on a mission this split leading the team in KS and KP. Neon is second to Vetheo in KS at 28%, the two of them combine for almost 60% of the team's kills, and if this game goes MSF way those are the two you will want to have.
VIT has been a confusing team early this split. I did expect them to be more dominant than they have been but there certainly have been flashes of the super team everyone was expecting. This is still a new team and has only played 7 professional games together, there is lots of time for them to click. Before losing to Rogue they had won 3 in a row, and a win against MSF would put them back at 4-4. The KP numbers on VIT are not very impressive, which has kept them from being the optimal stack in previous slates. As they mesh we should see those numbers rise and it could start here. Selfmade and Alphari are the KS leaders with Carzzy and Perkz tied for 3rd at 21%. This team plays towards their top and mid lane leaving Carzzy to farm on his own in the bot lane for long parts of the game. With so many great ADC options on this slate, I am okay with fading Carzzy for the other members of VIT
Top MSF plays: Vetheo, Neon
Top VIT plays: Selfmade, Perkz, Alphari, Labrov
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BDS (+185) vs. G2 (-240)
BDS went 2-0 in week 3 which were huge wins for their playoff hopes. Unfortunately for BDS, those two wins were against AST and SK who are the clear bottom teams this split. While G2 has not looked the cleanest this split, they should still be able to control this game. I was fortunate to be on G2 in their win (near throw) over MSF which they put up 27 kills last week and I am back on them in this matchup against BDS. While unlikely, it is possible BDS winning two games last week scares some people off G2 in this one.
Caps started off the split really poor, but his more recent games have been much better. People just looking at the numbers might be scared to play him as he only has a 20% KS, but in his last two games, he's gone 5/4/14 and 5/1/7 which we would take all day. Broken Blade and Flakked currently sit atop the KS at 29.2% and are both fantastic options on this slate. Jankos and Targamas both sit over 70% in KP and are quite involved in the fights for G2.
Top G2 plays: B.B, Flakked, Caps, Targamas, Jankos
MAD (+125) vs. FNC (-164)
In the final game of the slate, we get a banger of a game between MAD and FNC. Both teams are coming off losses, with FNC dropping both games last week. I really can see this game going either way, but I don't expect FNC to drop 3 games in a row and so while I will have some of both sides in GPP's, FNC will have more of my ownership.
This version of MAD is reliant on Elyoya and Unforgiven. Unforgiven has a 38% KS and a 71% KP. His pricing makes him very playable in the captain slot. Elyoya has a 72% KP and 26% KS. Kaiser and Armut are both playable for MAD but until I see more from Reeker I will be avoiding him.
This version of FNC is much different from the team we saw last year. Last year FNC took every fight they could even if it wasn't always smart. This year they are much more lane and objective focused. With that being said this game has plenty of potential to be a fight focussed game. FNC has the best bot lane in the league with Upset and Hylissang. Hylissang has an 81%!! KP and Upset leads the team in KS at 31%. Any of my FNC lineups will start with the bot lane. Humanoid has been good for FNC, but not good for fantasy purposes. He has been all over the map helping make plays for his other lanes, but it hasn't resulted in pop-off games for him. While he is capable of doing it at any time, I am going to take a wait-and-see approach at this time.
Top MAD plays: Unforgiven, Elyoya, Kaiser, Armut
Top FNC plays: Upset, Hyli, Wunder, Razork
Summary
- TLDR: AST finally get their first win up against SK, G2/VIT/FNC are my top stacks.
- GPP Stacks: My favorite combinations for GPP stacks are AST/MSF/G2/MAD
- Cash Stacks: For cash, RGE/FNC/G2/VIT
Good luck tomorrow RotoBallers!
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