DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Picks - The FedEx St. Jude Championship (2025)

August 5, 2025

Spencer's DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for the FedEx St. Jude Championship (2025). His PGA DFS targets and value plays for daily fantasy golf lineups, and golfers to avoid.

Welcome, everyone, to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.

New starting this year -- if you want to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version, including more picks, data, analysis, and PGA DFS models.

Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings - The St. Jude Championship

Below are some of my favorite picks for DraftKings. We also have tons of other great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Spencer's Model (And More)

We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:

PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)

• A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows users to input data to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide on everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market. 
• The FedEx St. Jude

Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)

• Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
• All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (296-228-30) 56.48%
• In-Tournament H2Hs (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Total H2Hs Since 2017: (596-428-85) 58.20%
• Outright Winners Since 2017: 51
• Units: +340.903 Units
• All Totals Are Entering 2025
• Click here to see an example

In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)

• Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.

In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4

• Lifetime Record:
• (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Click here to see an example

First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles

• Nine first-round leader wins in 2022.
• Click here to see an example

One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)

• 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look at a handful of options to consider.
• Click here to see an example

Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends

• We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.

Premium Discord Access

• Join the community! You will be able to talk to fellow subscribers and have real-time weekly chats with the team.

TeeOffSports membership

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You can also sign up for the rest of the year for a discounted purchase that runs through December 31st. Now is the perfect time to try out all the great features at RotoBaller!

Let's Look at the Stats

Field

Field Size: 69
Cut: No Cut
Top 20 Entrants: 18

Last Five Winners of The St. Jude

Expected Cut-Line

TPC Southwind

7,244 Yards - Par 70 - Greens Bermuda

Course breakdown will land in my Vegas Report this week

First Look Into Outright Bets

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!

Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller

2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)

Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo

— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023

Favorite Plays

Hideki Matsuyama ($8,800)

Any article you read this week or podcast you listen to will discuss how TPC Southwind is a complete tee-to-green test that rewards a ball-striking nature. That isn't going to be any different here since nine of the last 13 winners at this course have led the field tee-to-green during their victory. However, what is getting lost in the shuffle is how names like Hideki Matsuyama and Justin Thomas have previously excelled at similar courses, including winning here in the last five years, but aren't being talked about in the same breath as the other favorites. 

Hideki's approach play and around-the-green game have averaged 7.675 strokes over his last four tournaments, so it just comes down to a driver that has faltered in the previous four months. That concern isn't lost on me since losing in each start does present issues when water accompanies the property. That said, Matsuyama's fourth-place grade OTT at TPC tracks and 21st overall projection at this course is the exact blueprint Thomas also brings and why both continue to excel at this track yearly.

Akshay Bhatia ($7,000)

While I prefer Akshay Bhatia on Poa greens when we are trying to talk about safety, there has secretly been an upside that has seeped through the cracks when the American has been on quick Bermuda and easy-scoring courses that may still present danger but equally reward opportunities created. 

All markets are lower on Bhatia than they should be this week. Even if safety concerns are valid, it's worth noting that this is a no-cut event, meaning it only takes one day of upside to compensate for the $7,000 price tag fully.

Lucas Glover ($7,000)

There is no fluke behind Lucas Glover's win and third-place result at TPC Southwind during his last two starts.

Glover's missed-cut performance at the Wyndham might turn some people off of him in Memphis, but the ball-striking returns last week were good enough to warrant a made cut for someone who had churned out three top-23 finishes in a row before that mishap.

Maverick McNealy ($7,500)

I used Pebble Beach as a comp course that I looked into this week. I know that isn't the most common answer that you might think when diving into TPC Southwind, but I liked the corollary between the small green complexes and overall grade of "Putts Per GIR."

Names like Jason Day, Wyndham Clark and Maverick McNealy have excelled in that area in the past, and I do think we have some meat left on the bone for McNealy, who has been solid over the last few months.

If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU

— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020

Congrats @tenndolly2 ???

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— RotoBaller PGA (@RotoBallerPGA) August 10, 2020

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