DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Picks - The Open Championship (2025)

July 16, 2025

Spencer's DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks for the 2025 Open Championship (2025). His PGA DFS targets and value plays for daily fantasy golf lineups, and golfers to avoid.

Welcome, everyone, to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2025 Open Championship. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.

New starting this year -- if you want to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version, including more picks, data, analysis, and PGA DFS models.

Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings - The Open Championship

Below are some of my favorite picks for DraftKings. We also have tons of other great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Spencer's Model (And More)

We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:

PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)

• A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows users to input data to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide on everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market. 
• The Open Championship

Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)

• Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
• All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (296-228-30) 56.48%
• In-Tournament H2Hs (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Total H2Hs Since 2017: (596-428-85) 58.20%
• Outright Winners Since 2017: 51
• Units: +340.903 Units
• All Totals Are Entering 2025
• Click here to see an example

In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)

• Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.

In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4

• Lifetime Record:
• (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Click here to see an example

First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles

• Nine first-round leader wins in 2022.
• Click here to see an example

One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)

• 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look at a handful of options to consider.
• Click here to see an example

Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends

• We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.

Premium Discord Access

• Join the community! You will be able to talk to fellow subscribers and have real-time weekly chats with the team.

TeeOffSports membership

• $224.99 per year - Sign up today for all the tools I provide!
• You can also try things out for $14.99 per week or get the complete PGA Platinum package from everyone on the team for $299.99. I believe that deal is one of the best offers in the space and includes work from Joe Nicely, Joe Idone, and myself.

You can also sign up for the rest of the year for a discounted purchase that runs through December 31st. Now is the perfect time to try out all the great features at RotoBaller!

Let's Look at the Stats

Field

Field Size: 156
Cut: Top 70 & Ties
Top 20 Entrants: 20

Last Five Winners of The Open Championship

Expected Cut-Line at the Open

Royal Portrush

7,384 Yards - Par 71 - Greens Fescue

Course breakdown will land in my Vegas Report this week

First Look Into Outright Bets

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!

Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller

2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)

Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo

— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023

Favorite Plays

Maverick McNealy ($6,100)

I've said this in the past, but a lack of major championship success only tells part of the picture. Sure, finding those names who have excelled in older iterations of these tournaments helps to locate additional upside, but not every story is the same for how a golfer gets from point A to point B.

We have seen names like Wyndham Clark and J.J. Spaun buck conventional wisdom in capturing titles much before they looked ready to win when only using past results. That is a story we can dive into deeper throughout my Vegas Report this week, but we don't even need that sort of an upside here at $6,100 if we believe McNealy is not the same golfer now that he was a few years ago.

While nothing better than a 23rd is on McNealy's resume over 11 grand slam events during his career, the American has turned a corner this season, posting three top-37 finishes over his opening three majors. That comes alongside a breakthrough victory on tour during the fall last year, plus a few close calls this season to raise the California native up to 17th in the world.

Even though we have very few examples of how McNealy performs on European Links courses, you don't have to look any further than an Americanized Links venue such as Pebble Beach.

Adam Scott ($7,300)

There are a handful of 37+-year-old golfers making headlines this week, but I don't think there is a single name within that group better than Adam Scott. Here are all the golfers to be 37+ and rank inside the top 60 of my sheet:

Options like Jason Day and Justin Rose are fine in this $7,000 range. I have no issues placing either into a build and expecting a made cut, although the major difference for me stems from Scott's combination of safety and upside.

There is a reason why markets are shifting Scott into the -150 range against options like Ryan Fox/Justin Rose in head-to-head matchups, and it might be the long iron proximity and creative short game that helps him to surge to even greater heights.

Russell Henley ($7,900)

There has been a ton of discussion today about who the best player is without a major. My answer would be Ludvig Aberg because of the immense talent he brings to the table. That said, a conversation like that is not truly fair because it feels as if a golfer needs to reach a certain number of attempts (and probably a certain age) to lay claim to being winless in the biggest tournaments of the year.

If we use that theory and say a golfer has to be 27+, I would give the surprising answer that Russell Henley is the best player in the world (at this moment) not to have a major championship on his resume.

Henley's accuracy should play extremely well at Royal Portush, and his scrambling ability oozes Open Championship pedigree, even if it took until last year for that sentiment to become a reality when he finished in fifth place.

Aaron Rai ($6,900)

Markets were extremely weak in the way they opened around Aaron Rai. I decided to go in a different route for outright wagers since I found more value in the H2H sector/here on DraftKings at $6,900, but Rai is a fairway-finding merchant who landed as one of only seven players under $7,400 to crack the top 60 of all seven categories that I weighed this week. That evaluation looked at only those who graded inside the top 40 of my overall model.

If you were inside our Discord channel early on Monday, you would note that I gave Rai over Rasmus Hojgaard in a matchup over on BetOnline. A lot of that stems from my inclination to want to fade a declining Hojgaard from a statistical perspective. However, I don't want that to discredit the overall safe return that Rai exuded when running the metrics.

While I would struggle to place Rai above Conners, Scott or McNealy in terms of playability, I wouldn't be shocked to see the Englishman provide better leverage than those options because of his shaky past Open success.

If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU

— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020

Congrats @tenndolly2 ???

Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt

— RotoBaller PGA (@RotoBallerPGA) August 10, 2020

Golf DFS News and Player Outlooks

More PGA Analysis and DFS Lineup Picks