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Hello everybody and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 4 Thursday Night Football - Lions vs. Packers! The 2023 NFL season is finally underway and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of.
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PrizePicks is a great DFS picks site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play.
On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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You can mix and match players from different types of games in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. Let's see what the board offers today!
NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for TNF
Jordan Love MORE than 1.5 passing touchdowns
Love has started the 2023 campaign by throwing a total of seven touchdowns across his first three games. He has also eclipsed this total in two of the season's first three games. He and the Packers will be at home in a game against the Lions that has a total of around 46 points, which means some scoring can be expected. The Packers also have a team total set at over 22.5 -120, so they are expected to score their fair share of points in this one as well.
The Lions have allowed four passing touchdowns through their first three games in 2023, which ranks in the bottom half of the league. They also struggled in this category in 2022 as they allowed a total of 26 passing touchdowns to the quarterback position, which ranked eighth-worst in the league. Add in the fact that the Packers are currently slight underdogs in this contest and you have a solid recipe for a possible hit with Love. UPDATE: This prop was recently taken down, but keep an eye out as it may appear again before kickoff.
Jared Goff LESS than 254.5 passing yards
Through the first three games of the season, Goff has managed to eclipse this total in just one game. That one game was a home game against the Seattle Seahawks in Week 2. This week, he will be up against the Green Bay Packers, who have allowed an average of just 219 passing yards per game to the quarterback position, which ranks in the top half of the league. In 2022, the Packers were also solid against the pass as they allowed an average of just 209 passing yards per game, which ranked seventh-best in the league.
Goff has been known to struggle outdoors, which is another reason this play could be a solid one. In 2022, he threw for more than 255 passing yards in just one of five games played outdoors. The Lions are also slight favorites in this game, which could lead to him passing less down the stretch in order to milk the clock.
Luke Musgrave MORE than 37.5 receiving yards
Luke Musgrave has slowly become a favorite target of Jordan Love as he has seen 15 targets through the first three games, eight of which came in Week 3 against the New Orleans Saints. He has hauled in 11 balls for a total of 124 receiving yards and has eclipsed this total in two of the Packers' first three games.
The Lions have struggled a bit vs. the tight end position to begin 2023 as they have allowed a total of 24 receptions for 253 receiving yards, both of which rank dead last in the league. As aforementioned, the Packers are slight dogs in this game, which could lead to some additional passing and Musgrave could be the beneficiary of some of Love's targets late in the game. Musgrave is also currently priced at -115 to go over 39.5 receiving yards, so this play has value built in as well.
Other Recommendations: Jordan Love MORE than 16.5 rushing yards
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