X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Ottoneu Leagues - Reader Trade Analysis and Grades

Hey RotoBallers and Ottoneu fans. I've decided to help grow the presence of Ottoneu content on RotoBaller by dissecting some trades at least once a month. I'll look to you, the people, on Twitter for some real-life examples of trades from FanGraphs' Ottoneu format, and I'll let you know what I think of them.

On top of quickly breaking down the pros and cons of each side of the deal, I'll let you know who I think won the deal, and I'll give that owner a grade: C being neutral and A+ being an absolute steal. Let me know if you have any feedback on if you think the grading process should be adjusted, but for now I think this gets the point across.

Feel free to send me any trade questions or examples you have on Twitter @BellRoto. I can give quick advice there, and I can also put your trade in the mix for a future article. Let's get to it.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Ottoneu MLB Trade Analysis

League: H2H FanGraphs Points

Team 1's: Alex Bregman ($34) and Trevor Bauer ($17) 

for Team 2's: Jose Altuve ($47) and Reynaldo Lopez ($2)

If we look at the batters first, it's easy to say right off the bat that Altuve is the better player than Bregman and deserves the higher price tag, especially in a format that rewards steals. However, a deeper look provokes an interesting question: Is Altuve really better than Bregman in anything other than batting average and runs? We've seen Altuve's home runs dip a little in the first quarter of this season, and while it's still early, it seems like he's hitting more line drives while pulling the ball less.

There's merit to thinking the home runs will be more like 15 per season going forward rather than 25. Of course, Altuve's always consistent BABIP and better batting order position will provide him a higher average and amount of runs scored, but Bregman may steal just as much if not more than Altuve. After all, you'd rather take the bat out of the 6th or 7th hitter's hands than the 4th or 5th hitter. I still think Altuve is the better player long term in this format, but if Bregman can increase his average 20 points or so, he may be more keep-able at these prices.

As for the pitchers, Bauer is worlds ahead of Lopez in terms of fantasy production at this point in their careers. The Indians starter clearly has the strikeout stuff that Lopez is still searching for. Both players have actually gotten somewhat lucky this year with BABIPs below .240, but Lopez may be due for even more regression than Bauer, which scares me immensely. Lopez provides flashes of brilliance, but Bauer clearly continues to put everything together more and more, year after year. Even with the price discrepancy, I'll take Bauer over Lopez any day.

Verdict: C+ for Team 1 - I'll take the slight batting discount for a clear upgrade in pitching.

 

League: H2H FanGraphs Points

Team 1's: Trevor Story ($11) and Odubel Herrera ($8)

for Team 2's: Jose Abreu ($25) and Lourdes Gurriel ($2)

I don't like this trade at all for Team 1. I get that Jose Abreu is the best player in this deal, and usually I will give up more than I should to ensure that I get the best player, but this seems like a trade that was accepted on a whim from someone's phone at 1:30 AM on a Saturday night.

Herrera has been one of the most impressive hitters in the league so far this year, continually getting on base any way he can, stealing a few bases, and absolutely demolishing some homers in the process. At this $8 price tag, he's someone you could potentially control for a handful of years. Story is quite the consolation prize too, as he has continued to show impressive power and surprising speed numbers into early 2018. His batting average might never eclipse .250 in the majors again, but Herrera will help even that out and then some.

Again, Abreu is a great piece, and he's about as consistent as they come. You're likely looking at a .300 batting average with 30-35 bombs when all is said and done, plus the White Sox lineup is getting a little better around him. However, I don't have the feeling that Gurriel is going to become a player you'll want to keep for next year, and you just gave up two really, really nicely priced players for this decent combo. You simply gave up too much for Abreu and an expendable piece.

Verdict: B+ for Team 2 - Great work turning a stud and a flavor of the week into two potential studs.

 

League: Old School 5x5

Team 1's: Noah Syndergaard (34) and Wilson Ramos (10)

for Team 2's: Brendan Rodgers (2) and Juan Soto (1)

Here's your old school "Take my talent now for young guys down the road." These trades are very difficult to grade, especially without context. If this deal is going to leave Team 1 struggling in the pitching department and without a serviceable catcher, it makes much less sense than if the team is already riddled with injuries and re-grouping for next season. Or, I suppose, it would make sense if Team 1 is loaded and looking to capture upside for next year too. Either way, tough to grade.

I will say that Rodgers and Soto are awesome targets to look at if you're gearing up for 2019. It's unlikely that either one will hit the big leagues this year, so their prices should remain the same (at least I think that's how Ottoneu pricing works). However, Rodgers should be able to take over second base when D.J. LeMahieu hits the free agent market after this season. As for Soto, he could be next year's Ronald Acuna Jr. in the sense that the Nationals will have no choice but to bring him up. Both prospects have loads of power and should have no problem finding places to play. They are very exciting stashes if you can afford to go get them or if you're ready to re-group for next season already.

Verdict: C for both teams - As I mentioned above, I need some context to say who wins this trade for sure. However, I do like the benefit for both teams if Team 1 is preparing for the future and Team 2 is ready to win now.

 

More Ottoneu Analysis and Strategy




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Cam Skattebo

MRI Exam Brings Optimism
Isaac Guerendo

to Miss a Couple of Weeks
Najee Harris

Still No Timetable for Najee Harris at Training Camp
Kenny Pickett

Dillon Gabriel Limited With Injuries on Monday
Shedeur Sanders

Returns to Practice
Kenneth Walker III

Misses Third Straight Practice with Foot Injury
Jameson Williams

Expcted to See Uptick in Targets
Jakobi Meyers

to be Used in Different Ways in Chip Kelly's Offense
Tatsuro Taira

Gets Submission Win
Michael Penix Jr.

Kyle Pitts Sr., Michael Penix Jr. Connecting in the Offseason
Travis Etienne Jr.

Seen as Dangerous Part of Screen Game
HyunSung Park

Undefeated No More
Mateusz Rębecki

Mateusz Rebecki Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 108
Chase Brown

Expected to be Used More in Passing Game
Chris Duncan

Wins Three In A Row
Bucky Irving

Expected to Have High-Volume Role
Elves Brener

Loses Three In A Row
Esteban Ribovics

Returns To The Win Column
Josh Downs

Being Targeted "a Lot"
Nora Cornolle

Gets Dominated At UFC Vegas 108
DJ Moore

to Have his Opportunities Maximized
Karol Rosa

Outclasses Nora Cornolle
Josh Jacobs

Another Heavy Workload Coming for Josh Jacobs?
Matthew Golden

Looks the Part
J.J. Spaun

Finishes Tied for 23rd at Open Championship
Justin Thomas

Finishes Tied for 34th at Open Championship
Xander Schauffele

Finishes Tied For Seventh at Open Championship
Hideki Matsuyama

Finishes Tied for 19th at Wyndham Championship
Si Woo Kim

Misses The Cut at Wyndham Championship
Tommy Fleetwood

Finishes Tied for 16th at Open Championship
Wyndham Clark

Finishes Tied for 12th at 3M Open
Sam Burns

Finishes Tied for 61st at 3M Open
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Suffers TKO Loss
Austin Riley

Braves Place Austin Riley Back on Injured List
Neil Magny

Gets Back In The Win Column
Jordan Mason

Could be "Co-RB1" in Minnesota
Danny Silva

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Keaton Mitchell

Expected to Have a Role this Season
Kevin Vallejos

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Tony Pollard

Still the Featured Back in Tennessee
Tyjae Spears

Looks "Explosive" in Camp
Ja'Tavion Sanders

the Offensive MVP of Camp so Far
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Charges Back to Sixth at Iowa
Chase Briscoe

Finished Second Despite Being Trapped a Lap Down and Causing Two Wrecks
Brad Keselowski

Arguably Had the Best Drive at Iowa but Finished Third
Austin Dillon

Earns a Quiet Top Ten at Iowa
Kyle Larson

Poor Pit Strategy and Clash with Teammate Foil Kyle Larson at Iowa
William Byron

Stretches His Fuel to His Second Victory of 2025 At Iowa
Ryan Blaney

Continues A Strong Run of Success At Iowa
Ryan Preece

Eventful Race at Iowa Results In A Top-5 Finish
Denny Hamlin

Struggled Massively At Iowa
Tommy Edman

Likely Going on 10-Day Injured List
Austin Riley

Leaves With Abdominal Pain
Aaron Judge

on Track to Return Tuesday
Max Muncy

Could Return as Early as Monday
Chase Briscoe

Could Chase Briscoe be A Sneaky Play for Iowa Lineups?
Denny Hamlin

Is A Top Driver to Consider for DFS At Iowa
Ryan Blaney

Is A Favorite to Go Back-To-Back With Iowa Victories
Tyler Reddick

has Plenty of Upside for Sunday's Race at Iowa
Carson Hocevar

What Should Fantasy Players do with Carson Hocevar at Iowa?
Chris Buescher

Is Chris Buescher Worth Rostering For Iowa DFS Lineups?
Ty Gibbs

Could Be A Solid DFS Option for Iowa
Logan Henderson

Recalled, Starting Sunday
Jacob Misiorowski

Placed on 15-Day Injured List
Ryan Preece

Offers Plenty of Upside For DFS Lineups At Iowa On Sunday
NASCAR

A.J. Allmendinger Will Start in the Top 10 for the Second Week In A Row at Iowa
Austin Dillon

Could Austin Dillon Be A Decent DFS Option for Iowa?
Michael McDowell

Is Michael McDowell Worth Rostering for Iowa DFS Lineups?
Zane Smith

Should DFS Players Roster Zane Smith At Iowa?
NHL

Jakub Lauko Returns to Czechia
Nicholas Robertson

Signs One-Year Contract with Maple Leafs
Alex Laferriere

Kings Re-Sign Alex Laferriere to Three-Year Deal
Duop Reath

Has Salary Guaranteed by Portland
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Agrees to Contract Extension with the Lakers
William Contreras

Goes Deep in Five-Hit Night
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Exits Early Friday, Expects to Play Saturday
Randy Rodríguez

Randy Rodriguez Named New Giants Closer
Jaden Springer

Signs Exhibit-9 Deal with New Orleans
Julian Champagnie

has Salary Guaranteed by San Antonio
Jackson Chourio

Could be Out a Month
Aaron Judge

Yankees Eyeing Return for Aaron Judge Next Week
Juan Soto

Back in Lineup Against Giants
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Reinstated and Starting on Friday
George Springer

Goes on Concussion Injured List
JoJo Romero

the Top Candidate for Saves in St. Louis
Nolan Arenado

Going on Injured List With Shoulder Injury
Conor McGregor

Enters UFC Testing Pool
Grayson Rodriguez

Considering Having Surgery
Devin Williams

Yankees Plan to Keep Devin Williams in Closer's Role
HyunSung Park

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Tatsuro Taira

Set For UFC Vegas 108 Main Event
Mateusz Rębecki

Mateusz Rebecki Looks For His Second Consecutive Win
Chris Duncan

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Elves Brener

Looks For His Fourth UFC Win
Esteban Ribovics

Set For UFC Vegas 108 Main Card Bout
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos

Elizeu Zaleski Dos Santos Aims To Bounce Back
Karol Rosa

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Mikal Bridges

Signs Extension with Knicks
Jackson Chourio

Expected to Go on Injured List With Hamstring Strain
Jonathan Aranda

Rays Hope Jonathan Aranda Can Return in September
Connor McDavid

Oilers Hope to Finalize Connor McDavid's Contract Extension Soon
BUF

Devon Levi Re-Signs With Sabres for Two Years
Martin Pospisil

Signs Three-Year Extension
Dario Šarić

Dario Saric Hoping to Have Meaningful Role with Kings
Donte DiVincenzo

to Skip EuroBasket Due to Injury
Ayo Dosunmu

Set to Remain in Chicago
Malevy Leons

Signs Exhibit 10 Deal With Thunder
Daeqwon Plowden

Kings Pick Up Daeqwon Plowden on Two-Way Deal
Bryce McGowens

Signs Two-Way Deal with Pelicans
Jonathan Kuminga

Declines Latest Offers from Golden State
Gary Woodland

Eyeing Strong Finish to Reach Playoffs
Max McGreevy

Chasing a Miracle at Wyndham
Stephan Jaeger

a Solid Value Play at Wyndham Championship
Max Homa

Fighting to Salvage Disappointing Season
Nicolai Hojgaard

a Sleeper at Wyndham Championship
Rickie Fowler

Riding Quiet Momentum Into Wyndham
Brian Campbell

a Wild Card at Wyndham Championship
Akshay Bhatia

Looking to Flip the Script at Wyndham Championship
Aaron Rai

Finishes Tied For 34th at Open Championship
Andrew Novak

Finishes Tied For 63rd at Open Championship
Hideki Matsuyama

Finishes Tied For 16th at Open Championship
Kurt Kitayama

Wins 3M Open
Tom Kim

Finishes Tied For 28th at 3M Open
Charlie McAvoy

Ready to Go for Next Season
Dylan Samberg

Agrees to Three-Year Contract with Jets
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF