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Hello everybody and welcome! We have finally reached Opening Week for the 2021 MLB season and that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks has two types of games. The first type of game is known as Fantasy Score, which consists of selecting various players and trying to determine if they will go over or under their projected fantasy points in a game. The second game is known as Single Stat. For MLB, Single Stat consists of pitcher strikeout props in which you determine if the pitcher in question will go over or under their projected strikeout total. You can mix and match players from each type of game in your entry or select all of your plays from the same type of game. Once you have selected your players and props, you can choose the aforementioned flex play or power play option. For today's article, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Single Stat pitchers and explain why a pitcher will or will not go over their projected strikeout total. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Single Stat Strikeout Totals
John Means under four strikeouts - Means was phenomenal in his first start against Boston, but he had to go seven innings to strike out five Red Sox. He will have his hands full in this one against the Yankees. The Yankees are currently only striking out at a clip of 16.7% vs. left-handed pitching, which ranks third-best in the league. Means also has a 24% K rate vs. current Yankees, but this still is not strong enough to put me over the top with him.
Jameson Taillon more than 3.5 strikeouts - This prop is a little scary, only because we are unsure how far into the game Taillon will be allowed to pitch. He managed to strike out 14 hitters across 8 1/3 innings pitched this spring, so his stuff is certainly working. He will also be facing an Orioles team that is currently posting a 31.5% K rate vs. right-handed pitching, which ranks third-worst in the league. If he can go three to four innings in this one, I think he will be able to hit the over.
Pablo Lopez over 5.5 strikeouts - Lopez was superb in his first start against the Tampa Bay Rays as he struck out four while only allowing two hits across five innings pitched. He gets a great matchup in this one vs. the Cardinals who are currently posting a K rate of 27.7% against right-handed pitching. This ranks them ninth-worst in the league to begin the season. They also have only managed a .652 OPS vs. righties, which ranks them in the bottom half of the league thus far and helps Pablo's cause for staying in the game longer.
David Peterson over four strikeouts - Peterson will be making his debut in this one and he has what appears to be a very solid matchup vs. a Phillies team that has struggled vs. left-handed pitching to begin the season. The Phillies are currently posting a K rate of 37% vs. lefties, which ranks them fourth-worst in the league. Peterson has some decent strikeout upside as he struck out 40 batters across 49 2/3 IP in 2020, but he likely does not need a ton to hit four in this game. The Phillies are also only posting a .070 ISO vs. lefties, which ranks them sixth-worst in the league. As long as the Mets allow Peterson to get to the fifth inning, I would expect him to be able to hit this total.
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