DraftKings PGA DFS Lineup Picks - Mexico Open At Vidanta Golf Advice With Aaron Rai, Carson Young, Alex Smalley, Rico Hoey and More (2025)

Welcome everyone to my DraftKings PGA DFS lineup picks and advice for the 2025 Mexico Open. I'll be providing DFS picks and analysis to help you set those winning DraftKings lineups.

New starting this year -- if you would like to see a deeper dive into my DraftKings analysis and thoughts for the week, you can click that link and find my beefed-up version of including more picks, data, analysis and PGA DFS models.

Be sure to follow me on Twitter /X @TeeOffSports to get more answers this week. Also, if you aren't doing so already, I'd love for you to consider signing up for my RotoBaller premium subscription. There are numerous tools available, including my heralded 'PGA Rankings Wizard Model.'

PGA DFS Rankings Wizard - Mexico Open

We have some exciting changes that we are implementing this year over at RotoBaller. There will be multiple subscription-based tiers for our readers to enjoy, including my very own TeeOffSports VIP Package that will include the following items:

PGA Rankings Wizard Model (Pre-Tournament)

• A powerful and interactive data spreadsheet that allows user inputs to create custom rankings and models for golf. If you are considering signing up, take a look at this how-to guide of everything you can find weekly inside my pre-tournament model. The sheet is loaded with sortable and weighable information to help you in all sectors of the market. 
• The Mexico Open

Vegas Report (All Pre-Tournament Bets)

• Top Pre-Tournament H2H Pick: (104-60-9) 63.41%
• All Pre-Tournament H2Hs: (296-228-30) 56.48%
• In-Tournament H2Hs (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Total H2Hs Since 2017: (596-428-85) 58.20%
• Outright Winners Since 2017: 51
• Units: +340.903 Units
• All Totals Are Entering 2025
• Click here to see an example

In-Tournament Model (Updated Stats + User Configuration Ability)

• Here, you will find updated stats for the particular tournament -- all sortable and weighable when you make a copy of your own under the file tab. The purpose of this is to provide an area where you can research the daily proceedings for DFS strategy or find outright or daily head-to-head wagers. There are over 25 weighable categories by the time Round 4 comes around, including the ability to add back in your pre-tournament research for every day.

In-Tournament Head-To-Head Bets For Rounds 1,2,3 and 4

• Lifetime Record:
• (300-200-55) 60.00%
• Click here to see an example

First-Round Leader/ 3-Ball Articles

• Nine first-round leader wins in 2022.
• Click here to see an example

One & Done (Deep-Dive Into Potential Options To Consider)

• 10+ million in earnings during two of the past three seasons while providing information for contests. We will take a comprehensive look into a handful of options to consider.
• Click here to see an example

Late DraftKings Article (Condensed Player Pool) + Ownership Trends

• We will build off the Monday article throughout the week and consolidate selections toward a more concrete player pool for everyone to consider by Wednesday.

Premium Discord Access

• Join the community! You will be able to talk to fellow subscribers and have real-time weekly chats with the team.

TeeOffSports membership

• $224.99 per year - Sign up today for all the tools I provide!
• You can also try things out for $14.99 per week or get the complete PGA Platinum package from everyone on the team for $299.99. I believe that deal is one of the best offers in the space since it includes top-notch work from the likes of Joe Nicely, Byron Lindeque, others, and myself!

You can also sign up for the rest of the year for a discounted purchase that runs through December 31st. Now is the perfect time to try out all the great features at RotoBaller!

Let's Look at the Stats

Field

Field Size: 132
Cut: Top 65 & Ties
Top 20 Entrants: 0

Last Five Winners of Vidanta (Three Years)

Expected Cut-Line at the Mexico Open

Vidanta

7,456 Yards - Par 71 - Greens Paspalum

You can find my premium course breakdown here 

You can find Todd Mcgill's free breakdown here

First Look Into Outright Bets

Fantasy Golf Lineup Picks for DraftKings (PGA DFS)

We have tons of great weekly PGA articles, DFS analysis, tools, and DFS advice. Be sure to read our other fantastic articles regarding this week's event.

Did you know RotoBaller has a Premium DFS PGA and Betting subscription?

Like what you read today? You can show your support for Spencer by using the promo code TEEOFF when purchasing a PGA Premium Pass. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, Spencer's data models, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! You also get exclusive access to weekly betting picks from Spencer Aguiar, one of the top betting minds in the industry!

Final 2023 Golf Betting Results:
(Individual breakdowns of all sections in thread) @RotoBaller

2023 (+16.634 Units)
2022 (+67.485 Units)
2021 (+68.846 Units)
2020 (+37.015 Units)
2019 (+27.743 Units)
2018 (+55.88 Units)
2017 (+54.26 Units)

Overall: (+327.863 Units) pic.twitter.com/tuaDfwFXlo

— Spencer Aguiar (@TeeOffSports) November 21, 2023

Favorite Targets Early On Monday

Rico Hoey ($7,200)

I essentially ran a multi-functioning filter in my sheet to remove any golfer who

1. Landed outside the top 30 for the week in Expected Driving at Vidanta (there is nearly a nine percent upside increase for total driving acumen)
2. Removed anyone who didn't land inside the top 30 of my sheet for overall rank or upside.
3. Got rid of anyone outside the top 50 for Weighted Proximity or Proximity from 175+ yards.

That filter cut us down to the following names:

Rico Hoey will not be for the faint of heart because of his extremely volatile returns with the putter, but he does land next to a handful of prominent options if we are trying to find upside on the slate at a cheap ownership and price tag.

Aaron Rai ($9,400)

One of the things I believe is going to happen here for DFS contests is that the space is going to talk about 'bomb & gouge' styles over and over again and how they thrive at Vidanta, which will cause the industry to overlook one of the best players in this event when we dive into Aaron Rai's profile.

I understand that Rai lacks the driving acumen you would typically want to see for a course that has wide-open fairways and limited rough, but let's not ignore the fact that there are top-20 returns for him in key driving categories (Strokes Gained OTT: Limited Rough and Strokes Gained OTT: Similar Grass types) if you want to find a reason for him to add to his two top-25 finishes at this course in three years.

While the recent results might leave something to be desired, I don't believe this is quite the poor course fit that something such as Torrey Pines would have presented to him recently.

Alex Smalley ($8,700)

An increased projected output for Alex Smalley off the tee and approach for Vidanta will likely make him a surprisingly popular choice after reeling off three top-21 finishes over his last four tournaments.

It is worth noting that Smalley has only ever made the cut here once in three attempts, but it hasn't come from a lack of ball-striking returns, with the American gaining off the tee and approach in all three starts.

With a surge occurring with the putter for Smalley over his last five starts (+1.76 average), there are real reasons to believe that a ball-striking course such as Vidanta has all the design and makeup to be the location of his first PGA Tour victory.

Carson Young ($7,700)

A very similar answer that I expressed for Aaron Rai is bound to happen here for Carson Young.

I understand the need for length, but it shouldn't be the only thing you are looking at when building a model. There is a reason Young has provided back-to-back top-15 finishes at this course.

If you read my articles @RotoBaller or listen to @TheTurnGolfPod I’ve been telling y’all it was #WinningSeason when golf came back! Shoutout to the entire @RotoBallerPGA squad and all you guys that support my work for all the ❤️ pic.twitter.com/07a4ynvbSU

— Joe Nicely (@JoeNicely) June 28, 2020

Congrats @tenndolly2 ???

Thanks for being a @RotoBaller PGA DFS Premium subscriber & checking out all the amazing golf content that @JoeNicely produces every week! https://t.co/tHKZVsPbbt

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