MLB Home Run Player Prop Bets Today: Best Hitter HR Props (4/7/2026)

April 7, 2026

Doug's best MLB player prop bets for today (4/7/2026). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including Ben Rice, Max Muncy, Christian Walker, and more!

Everyone in the pool! All 30 teams are on the docket tonight, with many of the game’s best pitchers on the mound. We will mostly avoid them, and I stress mostly as we will be attacking one of them. That doesn’t mean we are limited on options, with many great home run spots popping up throughout this slate.

Obvious names like Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani are always in play, and both have decent matchups, but I want to focus my picks on guys with slightly longer odds. As always, we want to focus the majority of our action on single bets, but a sprinkle on a parlay or round robin is worth a look if you want to do so with Ohtani/Judge and a longshot option. 

Below, you'll read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Tuesday, April 7, 2026. The current odds given reflect the best price as of the publication, but remember to always shop around at other sportsbooks so you can get more value on your wagers. Odds can vary significantly from one sportsbook to another.

MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (4/7/2026)

Here are all the hitters I'll cover for HR props on Tuesday, April 7, 2026.

Ben Rice (NYY) vs. Aaron Civale (ATH) OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+380 DraftKings)

Judge? Giancarlo Stanton? Both of those are great options, but Aaron Civale struggles mightily against left-handed bats, so we are going with Ben Rice to go long in this game. 

Civale isn’t great against righties, allowing a .421 SLG over the past two years, but his .458 SLG against lefties is far more juicy. In fact, it’s the second-worst SLG allowed to lefties of anyone on the slate besides Javier Assad (more on him in a bit). 

Rice, for his part, has been a menace against righties over the past season, with a .255 ISO and 43.5% Hard%. He doesn’t just hit righties hard, he pounds them. Only Stanton and Judge surpass those numbers on the team since the start of the 2025 season, but we are focused on lefties and that short right field porch at Yankee Stadium. 

BEN RICE KEEPS HITTING ROCKETS! 3-1 YANKS! pic.twitter.com/OZf3K2ED1L

— Talkin' Yanks (@TalkinYanks) April 5, 2026

Rice is white-hot at the moment, crushing three homers in his past four games, while batting .462 with six walks in 19 plate appearances. He’s seeing the ball very well and is in a great spot to continue his current big run of success. 

Jonathan Aranda (TB) vs. Javier Assad (CHC) OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+560 FanDuel)

I referenced this earlier, but only Assad has a worse SLG against lefties on today’s slate than Civale. Putting it that way undersells how bad Assad has been, though, as his SLG is over 100 points worse than Civale's. That’s right, Assad has allowed a .552 SLG against left-handed bats since the start of the 2025 season. 

Jonathan Aranda has hit right-handed pitching well since the start of last season, posting a .201 ISO, .518 SLG, and .387 wOBA (tops on the team). More importantly, he’s hitting the ball hard when a righty is in on the mound, posting a 41.6% Hard%. His 150 RC+ is tops on the team against right-handers since the start of last season. 

Aranda has three home runs on the young season, including one yesterday. That’s a great sign as he struggled a bit at home in 2025, hitting only four home runs. It’s only one day, but if that issue is fixed, he’s in a great spot to make it two in a row against Assad tonight.

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Christian Walker (HOU) @ Kyle Freeland (COL) OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+410 DraftKings)

For the most part, Christian Walker has struggled since his move to Houston. He had 27 home runs, but was mostly a league-average hitter for the majority of the season. He started this year similarly, but is coming on strong with a home run in each of his past two games, batting .400 in 10 at-bats. 

Tonight, he gets to square off against a pitcher against whom he’s seen great success, Kyle Freeland. Walker has three home runs in 41 at-bats against Freeland, posting a substantial .993 OPS. Freeland is terrible against right-handed bats, allowing a .486 SLG and 40% Hard% over the past season. 

HOU - Christian Walker 2-run HR (2)

📏 397 ft | 💨 98.5 mph | 📐 28°
⚾️ 85.9 mph slider (ATH - RHP J.T. Ginn)
🏟️ Out in 30/30 MLB parks

HOU (5) @ ATH (5)
🔺 7th#ChaseTheFight pic.twitter.com/I88o6irYUi

— MLB Home Runs (@MLBHRs_) April 5, 2026

This game takes place at Coors Field, and although Freeland wasn’t awful at home last year, he did allow a 46.2% Hard%. If someone gets a hold of one with any kind of force, it’s going to leave the yard. Given his history against Freeland and how well he’s playing, Walker just needs one good swing to continue his momentum and provide a strong return for your betting dollar.  

Max Muncy (LAD) @ Kevin Gausman (TOR) OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+475, Bet365)

It’s not often that we think to bet against Kevin Gausman. He’s been one of the better pitchers in the American League for a while now, but some underlying numbers make me want to take some shots against him tonight. If there’s one player on the Dodgers against whom he’s struggled, it’s Max Muncy. 

Muncy has three home runs, a .333 AVG, and a 1.422 OPS in 18 at-bats against Gausman. That’s not a huge sample size, but it’s more than enough to know that Muncy has a good read on what Gausman is throwing down. In general, Muncy has his way with right-handed pitching, a 40.1% Hard% and .492 SLG since the start of last season. 

He only has one home run this season, but he does have hits in each of his past two games, and a matchup against a pitcher whom he’s hit well could be the elixir that gets him going as we head deeper into April.

Longshot: Joey Wiemer (WSH) vs. Matthew Liberatore (STL) OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+750, Bet365)

As a platoon player, Joey Wiemer may not even be in the starting lineup for the Nationals. But against a lefty, he’ll likely get the nod, and if he does, he’s in a great spot to go yard. Wiemer has two home runs this season in just 21 at-bats. 

When he starts, he’s productive, having produced multi-hit games in four of his six games. Since the start of last season, Wiemer has hammered lefties, with a .421 ISO and 52% Hard%. Those are elite numbers and ones we shouldn’t ignore. 

This is especially true since Matthew Liberatore struggles against right-handed bats. He’s allowed a .441 SLG against them since the start of last season.

Liberatore has allowed only two runs in two starts so far this year, but he’s also giving up nearly as many fly balls as ground balls and isn’t striking out anyone. That’s a recipe for disaster, and against a power bat like Wiemer, it could be a big fly leaving the ballpark.

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