Wide Receiver Best-Ball Tiered Rankings and Analysis - August

As you prepare for each draft, multiple factors are incorporated into your analysis of every selection. For those of you who participate in the highly popular Best-Ball leagues, this process includes building a team that can withstand the challenges that can emerge during the season, without having the opportunity for any form of in-season roster management. That’s why the team at RotoBaller provides a detailed analysis of our latest Best-Ball rankings that help you plan your drafts.

This article will present a breakdown of the wide receiver position. It is recommended that you develop a strategy for selecting your receivers that remains flexible based upon the flow of each draft. Some owners are capitalizing on the opportunity to seize elite receivers during the initial rounds, as their league-mates focus on collecting running backs. Others are stockpiling productive receivers after they have drafted backs with their early picks.

Regardless of how you build your roster, wide receivers will perform a significant role in determining your team’s success. 23 receivers are located among the top 50 in our rankings, while 60 receivers currently reside among the top 150. We will continue to update rankings in every format as we approach Week 1, and you can find the latest rankings here.

Editor's Note: Our incredible team of writers won two writing awards and received 12 award nominations by the Fantasy Sports Writers Association. A big congrats to our very own Byron Lindeque (Golf) and Jordan McAbee (NASCAR) for both winning Writer Of The Year awards! Be sure to follow RotoBaller's analysis and advice all year long, and win more. Win More With RotoBaller!

 

WR Best-Ball Rankings

Position Rank	Position Tier	Player Name	Overall Rank	Overall Tier
1	1	Michael Thomas	5	1
2	1	Davante Adams	8	1
3	1	Tyreek Hill	10	2
4	1	Chris Godwin	13	2
5	1	Julio Jones	14	2
6	1	DeAndre Hopkins	17	2
7	2	Kenny Golladay	19	2
8	2	Amari Cooper	21	3
9	2	D.J. Moore	24	3
10	2	Mike Evans	26	3
11	2	Adam Thielen	27	3
12	2	Allen Robinson	28	3
13	2	Odell Beckham Jr.	29	4
14	2	JuJu Smith-Schuster	32	4
15	3	A.J. Brown	34	4
16	3	Cooper Kupp	38	4
17	3	D.K. Metcalf	39	4
18	3	Calvin Ridley	40	4
19	4	Robert Woods	42	4
20	4	D.J. Chark	43	4
21	4	Courtland Sutton	44	4
22	4	Keenan Allen	49	4
23	4	Terry McLaurin	50	5
24	4	Tyler Lockett	53	5
25	4	DeVante Parker	55	5
26	4	A.J. Green	58	6
27	4	T.Y. Hilton	60	6
28	4	Stefon Diggs	61	6
29	4	Jarvis Landry	63	6
30	5	Tyler Boyd	65	6
31	5	Michael Gallup	66	6
32	5	Marquise Brown	78	7
33	5	Julian Edelman	79	7
34	5	Will Fuller	80	7
35	5	Darius Slayton	83	7
36	6	Deebo Samuel	85	7
37	6	Diontae Johnson	86	7
38	6	Marvin Jones	87	8
39	6	Christian Kirk	88	8
40	6	Mike Williams	90	8
41	7	Breshad Perriman	91	8
42	7	Jerry Jeudy	92	8
43	7	Brandin Cooks	93	8
44	7	Sterling Shepard	96	8
45	7	Emmanuel Sanders	99	8
46	7	John Brown	100	9
47	7	Mecole Hardman	109	9
48	8	Robby Anderson	114	10
49	8	Golden Tate	116	10
50	8	CeeDee Lamb	118	10
51	8	Anthony Miller	119	10
52	8	N'Keal Harry	123	10
53	8	Preston Williams	130	10
54	8	Curtis Samuel	131	10
55	8	Jamison Crowder	133	10
56	9	Justin Jefferson	134	10
57	9	Alshon Jeffery	135	11
58	9	Michael Pittman Jr.	136	11
59	9	James Washington	142	11
60	9	Sammy Watkins	144	11
61	9	Henry Ruggs III	155	12
62	9	Steven Sims	157	12
63	9	Allen Lazard	161	13
64	10	Jalen Reagor	164	13
65	10	Brandon Aiyuk	165	13
66	10	Hunter Renfrow	167	13
67	10	DeSean Jackson	168	13
68	10	Dede Westbrook	170	13
69	10	Tee Higgins	171	13
70	10	Randall Cobb	173	13
71	10	Tyrell Williams	181	14
72	10	Larry Fitzgerald	186	14
73	10	Cole Beasley	187	14
74	10	KJ Hamler	188	14
75	10	Kenny Stills	193	14
76	11	Parris Campbell	199	14
77	11	Corey Davis	200	14
78	11	Bryan Edwards	203	15
79	11	John Ross	207	15
80	11	Chris Conley	209	15
81	11	Andy Isabella	216	15
82	11	J.J. Arcega-Whiteside	223	16
83	11	Devin Duvernay	228	16
84	11	Danny Amendola	229	16
85	11	Antonio Gandy-Golden	230	16
86	11	Phillip Dorsett	232	16
87	11	Albert Wilson	235	16
88	11	Auden Tate	240	16
89	11	Russell Gage	241	16
90	11	Laviska Shenault Jr.	244	16
91	11	Josh Reynolds	245	16
92	11	Denzel Mims	247	16
93	11	Mohamed Sanu	248	17
94	12	Tre'Quan Smith	251	17
95	11	Jalen Hurd	258	17
96	11	Kelvin Harmon	264	18
97	11	Devin Funchess	269	18
98	11	Marquez Valdes-Scantling	270	18
99	11	Jakobi Meyers	274	18
100	11	Keke Coutee	276	18
101	11	Kendrick Bourne	279	18
102	11	Miles Boykin	281	18
103	12	Nelson Agholor	284	18
104	12	Keelan Cole	286	18
105	12	Allen Hurns	287	18
106	12	Chase Claypool	288	18
107	12	Geronimo Allison	292	18
108	12	Tyler Johnson	293	18
109	12	Demarcus Robinson	297	18
110	12	David Moore	298	18
111	12	Dante Pettis	299	18
112	12	Zach Pascal	303	19
113	12	Adam Humphries	304	19
114	12	Demaryius Thomas	306	19
115	12	Trey Quinn	307	19
116	12	Hakeem Butler	311	19
117	12	Taylor Gabriel	313	19
118	12	Ted Ginn	315	19
119	12	Willie Snead	316	19
120	12	Marquise Goodwin	317	19
121	12	Scott Miller	325	19
122	12	Van Jefferson	327	19
123	13	Olabisi Johnson	329	19
124	13	Antonio Callaway	330	19
125	13	Stanley Morgan Jr.	333	19
126	13	Antonio Brown	336	19
127	13	DaeSean Hamilton	338	20
128	13	Greg Ward	340	20
129	13	KeeSean Johnson	343	20
130	13	Zay Jones	349	20
131	13	Robert Foster	350	20
132	13	Jakeem Grant	351	20
133	13	Donovan Peoples-Jones	352	20
134	13	Tajae Sharpe	361	20
135	13	Cordarrelle Patterson	362	20
136	13	Justin Watson	363	20
137	13	Damiere Byrd	364	20
138	13	Deon Cain	366	21
139	13	Josh Gordon	367	21
140	13	Tim Patrick	368	21
141	13	Byron Pringle	369	21
142	13	Taywan Taylor	373	21
143	13	Richie James	377	21

 

Tier 1

Michael Thomas, Davante Adams 

Thomas has never finished lower than WR7 in point per game scoring (PPR) since his 2016 rookie season, including last year’s rise to WR1. He has also experienced a steady increase in targets and receiving yards during that span, which culminated with the career highs that he attained during 2019 (185 targets/1,725 yards/91 first downs).

Most 1st Downs by a receiver in 2019

Michael Thomas - 91
Julio Jones - 77
DeAndre Hopkins - 68
Travis Kelce - 65
Keenan Allen - 63
Allen Robinson - 63
DJ Moore - 63
Chris Godwin - 63
Christian McCaffrey - 58
DeVante Parker - 58

— NFL Stats (@NFL_Stats) August 13, 2020

He also led the NFL in each category, along with receptions (149), red-zone targets (26), and 100-yard performances (10). Thomas remains the premier weapon for Drew Brees, and nothing should deter you from making him the first wide receiver to be selected during your drafts.

Adams was fourth overall in yardage entering week 5 (378/95 per game) and was averaging 9 targets per game. A turf toe issue sidelined him from weeks 5-8, but his usage and output were exceptional following his return. Adams finished second in targets (91) and receptions (58) from weeks 9-17 and was second in point per game scoring during Green Bay’s final seven games. The Packers have chosen to compete with a dearth of receiving weaponry, which makes Adams a strong candidate to lead the NFL in targets. The relentless selection of running backs also leaves him available in Round 1 of most drafts.

 

Tier 2

Tyreek Hill, Chris Godwin, Julio Jones, DeAndre Hopkins, Kenny Golladay, 

The dynamic Hill has sustained an ADP in the teens throughout the offseason, in anticipation of the statistical fireworks that will ensue if he performs with Patrick Mahomes for 16 games. He was limited to 12 snaps from weeks 1-5, due to a shoulder injury. But he reemerged to lead all receivers in targets (52) and touchdowns (5) from weeks 6-10 while generating 844 yards and seven touchdowns during his final 11 contests. He also finished fifth in percentage share of team's air yards (40.1) during that sequence and presents owners with the potential to explode for huge gains on every route.

Chris Godwin: highest graded WR in football in 2019 pic.twitter.com/6QUDwK1Q7j

— PFF (@PFF) July 17, 2020

Anyone who believed in Godwin during their 2019 draft process was rewarded with an undisputed breakout season. He vaulted into the league’s elite tier of receivers by finishing second in point per game scoring, yardage (1,333), and touchdowns (9) from weeks 1-15 before a hamstring issue ended his season. Godwin enters his fourth season at age 24 while presenting opposing defenders with a lethal combination of size, speed, and versatility. This will allow him to remain among the NFL’s most prolific receivers with Tom Brady under center, which keeps him embedded among your early WR1 options.

Jones remains anchored within the league’s top tier of receivers as he enters his 10^th season. He has averaged 162 targets (10.5 per game) since 2014 and has averaged 623 receptions (6.7 per game) and 9,388 yards (102 per game). This has preserved his place among the top seven in point per game scoring during that six-year sequence. Jones also led the league in air yards (1,911), finished second in targets (157), yardage (1,394), and completed air yards (1,039), and was fifth in receptions (99). The 31-year old Jones remains available in Round 2 and will deliver exceptional numbers once again.

Weeks 1-17	Targets	Receptions	Yards	Air Yards	Comp Air Yards
Michael Thomas	185	149	1,725	1,488	1,127
Julio Jones	157	99	1,394	1,911	1,039
Allen Robinson	154	98	1,147	1,680	853
Julian Edelman	153	100	1,117	1,410	771
DeAndre Hopkins	150	104	1,165	1,543	778
Keenan Allen	149	104	1,199	1,520	825
Tyler Boyd	148	90	1,046	1,378	674
Robert Woods	139	90	1,134	1,076	538
Jarvis Landry	138	83	1,174	1,370	727
D.J. Moore	135	87	1,175	1,498	772
Cooper Kupp	134	94	1,161	940	611
Odell Beckham	133	74	1,035	1,720	704
DeVante Parker	128	72	1,202	1,735	909
Davante Adams	127	83	997	1,264	598
Courtland Sutton	125	72	1,112	1,436	748
Jamison Crowder	122	78	833	955	475
Chris Godwin	121	86	1,333	1,272	729

Hopkins stockpiled 830 targets from 2015-2019, led the league in 2017 (174), and finished among the top five in four of those seasons. He also led the league in target share during 2018 (33.1%) and finished second last season (30.9%). But even though Hopkins will maintain an integral role as the WR1 in Kliff Kingsbury’s offense, he will not reach the share that owners have become accustomed to. His diminished target total will also prevent him from matching the averages in receptions (97) and yardage (1,300) that he has attained since 2014. This places him at the low end of our tier 1 rankings.

Golladay has risen to WR1 status, which is reflected in our rankings, his ADP, and the production that he delivered during 2019. Golladay finished sixth in points per game scoring (non-PPR), led the NFL in touchdowns (11), and finished seventh in receiving yards (1,190). He also finished third in air yards (1,745), and yards per reception (18.3), while his proficiency as a vertical weapon fueled his five games of 100+ yards. Golladay also persevered through the eight-game absence of Matthew Stafford to achieve those career-best numbers and is primed to generate sizable production as Stafford re-emerges under center.

 

Tier 3

Weeks 12-17	Targets/Game	Targets	Target Share	Receptions	Yards
Michael Thomas	12	72	34.1	55	584
Davante Adams	11.7	70	32.3	44	460
Robert Woods	11.3	68	27.5	45	568
Allen Robinson	11.3	68	30.1	41	514
Julio Jones	13.2	66	31	40	512
DeVante Parker	9.3	56	22.6	32	598
Tyler Boyd	9	54	26.1	32	448
Jarvis Landry	9	54	23.7	34	479
Julian Edelman	8.8	53	26.7	32	401
Jamison Crowder	8.2	49	25.4	25	271
Sterling Shepard	8.2	49	23.1	32	309
Courtland Sutton	8	48	27.1	23	307
Russell Gage	8	48	18.5	32	289
DeAndre Hopkins	9.2	46	28.5	29	420
Odell Beckham	7.3	44	19.3	26	343

 

Tier 4

Odell Beckham Jr., JuJu Smith-Schuster,  A.J. Brown, Cooper Kupp, D.K. Metcalf, Calvin Ridley, Robert Woods, D.J. Chark, Courtland Sutton, Keenan Allen

One year ago, Beckham’s ADP (14) placed him at WR6. Optimism was based on the premise that he would be reenergized in a fresh environment. But Beckham failed to match lofty expectations while finishing 18th in receptions (74), and 23rd in yardage (1,035). He also averaged a career-low 64.7 yards per game and managed just four touchdowns. Despite the discouragement of 2019, the Browns have embarked on a promising path under Kevin Stefanski. Beckham’s Round 4 ADP also provides an opportunity to bet on his remaining talent.

Smith-Schuster is currently being drafted at WR12, as many owners remain confident that he can rekindle the production that he attained in 2018 (166 targets/111 receptions/1,426 yards). But his numbers plummeted last season (42 receptions/552 yards), as he was impacted by multiple injuries (knee/foot), and the prolonged absence of Ben Roethlisberger. Smith-Schuster will face competition for targets from the emerging Diontae Johnson, who assembled an impressive rookie season.  Roethlisberger’s return also does not automatically assure that Smith-Schuster’s output will be restored to its 2018 level.

Brown established his ability to perform effectively as Tennessee’s primary receiving weapon after Ryan Tannehill replaced Marcus Mariota under center. He finished third in point per game scoring (non-PPR) from weeks 7-17, while finishing sixth in yardage (778), and fifth in touchdowns (6). Brown also led the league in yardage (605) and touchdowns (5) from Weeks 12-17 and finished the season with the NFL’s highest yard per target average (12.5). Brown has emerged as a viable WR2 with the potential to achieve WR1 output during his second season.

Kupp averaged 12.6 targets, 8.2 receptions, and 101 yards per game from Weeks 1-5. But those averages dropped to 5.9 targets/4.5 receptions/46.1 yards per game in Weeks 10-17, as Kupp trailed Robert Woods and Tyler Higbee in each category. His snap count percentage also diminished from 88.2% in weeks 1-12 to 63.3% in weeks 13-17, while Higbee’s snaps surged to 69%. Kupp did lead the Rams in red-zone targets (21), but he trailed Higbee yet again from Weeks 13-17 (13/8). However, Brandin Cooks also collected 23 targets during that span, and his departure improves Kupp's opportunity to remain highly involved - regardless of how Sean McVay blends his personnel packages.

Highest end-zone target percentage in 2019:

? D.K. Metcalf - 19% pic.twitter.com/LzjUOQ05lo

— PFF (@PFF) August 16, 2020

Expectations for Metcalf’s 2019 rookie season were frequently tempered due to the limitations of his route tree and experience (21 games) at Ole Miss. But he developed into an explosive weapon for Seattle, while leading all first-year receivers in targets (100), and finishing third in receiving yards (900) and touchdowns (7). Metcalf also emerged as a resource near the end zone by finishing 10th overall in red-zone targets (18). His continued advancement as a receiver will combine with his speed and athleticism to produce numbers that exceed his Round 5 ADP.

Mohamed Sanu had been averaging six targets per game for the Falcons before an October trade extracted him from their roster. That created an enormous path for Ridley to accumulate targets and yardage as Atlanta’s unquestioned WR2. Ridley’s averages rose from 6.3 targets, 4.1 receptions, and 53.2 yards per game before Sanu’s departure, to 8.2/5.7/82.1 per game from weeks 8-14. He also tied for ninth in point per game scoring during that sequence, before being sidelined during weeks 15-17 (abdomen). Ridley also finished second overall in Football Outsiders’ DVOA (Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average).

As Kupp’s usage and output diminished last season, Woods paced the Rams in receptions (59/5.9 per game, yardage (779/77.9 per game) and targets (92/9.2 per game) during LA’s final 10 contests This included weeks 13-17, when Woods finished second overall in targets (59), receptions (39), and fourth in yardage (471). Woods' snap count was not curtailed by the Rams’ mixture of personnel packages, as he led all receivers in snaps (357). Woods’ ADP has risen 17 slots since April, and he should lead LA in targets, receptions, and yardage this season.

Over the last 10 seasons there have been 25 players to have an 1000 yard receiving season at age 23 or younger.

Pretty much all have gone on to become fantasy stars except Kelvin Benjamin and Sammy Watkins.

This is a DJ Chark tweet. pic.twitter.com/x2b9H56I7x

— Bobby Koch (@RekedFantasy) July 5, 2020

Chark experienced a meteoric rise from infinitesimal numbers as a rookie to finish among the top 20 in multiple categories. He was eighth in scoring after Week 14 and was also fourth in touchdowns (8), and sixth in air yards (1,355). He also averaged 8.2 targets, 5.2 receptions, and 74 yards per game) before contending with an ankle injury from Weeks 15-17. Chark still tied for seventh in touchdowns (8) while finishing 19th in targets (118), 17th in air yards (1,421), and 13th in percentage share of team’s air yards (34.9). He is now primed to flourish as Jacksonville’s primary receiver once again.

Sutton’s ascension into WR2 terrain during 2019 would normally have vaulted him to a more prestigious tier in our rankings. He finished inside the top 20 in scoring, targets (125/7.8 per game), yardage (1,112), air yards (1,452), and yards per route (2.48), while also leading the NFL in percentage share of team's air yards (42.93). But he was also absorbing targets in a Denver offense that was deficient in additional talent at his position. Now he must compete for opportunities with Jerry Jeudy, K.J. Hamler, and Noah Fant while functioning with a quarterback that remains unproven.

Allen is still just 28-years old, hasn’t missed a game since 2016, and has consistently proven his ability to accumulate high-quality production. He has averaged 148 targets, 101 receptions and 1,263 yards since 2017, and finished among the top six in targets (149), receptions (104), and yardage (1,199) during 2019. He retains the necessary skills to achieve similar results this season. But his customary Round 2 ADP has descended to Round 5. This is a byproduct of his conversion from consistent statistical success with Philip Rivers to the uncertain ramifications of operating with Tyrod Taylor and Justin Herbert.

 

Tier 5

Terry McLaurin, Tyler Lockett, DeVante Parker 

McLaurin was the 101st receiver selected in last August's drafts (ADP 282). But he quickly seized Washington’s WR1 responsibilities and exceeded even the most optimistic projections. McLaurin led rookies in point per game scoring and finished second in receptions (58). His usage as a downfield weapon also lifted him to sixth in percentage share of team’s air yards (37.09), 10th in both yards-per-target (9.9), and 10th in yards per reception (15.8). He will operate with an unobstructed path toward high volume as Washington’s primary receiver. which should launch him into high-end WR2 territory.

Metcalf has been commandeering conversation as an ascending presence, but Lockett led Seattle in targets (110), receptions (82), receiving yardage (1,057), and touchdowns (8) in 2019. He also paced the Seahawks in air yards (1,340), percentage share of air yards (29.8), and target share (22.3). His numbers did plunge from 8.8 targets, 7.3 receptions, and 90.4 yards per game in Weeks 2-9 to 5.4 targets/3.3 receptions/41.4 yards per game from weeks 10-17. However, Lockett was contending with health issues (shin/flu), and owners can target him near the conclusion of round 5.

After four seasons of uninspiring numbers (5.3 targets, 3.1 receptions, and 41.8 yards per game), Parker experienced a career reawakening in 2019. He skyrocketed to fourth in both receiving yards (1,202) and air yards (1,713) and tied for third in touchdowns (9). His usage and production rose after promising rookie Preston Williams was sidelined, as Parker vaulted to first in touchdowns (5), and second in yardage (802) from weeks 10-17. He was also sixth in targets (76) and third in point per game scoring (PPR) during that span. Owners can select him confidently at his Round 6 ADP.

 

Tier 6

A.J. Green, T.Y. Hilton, Stefon Diggs,  Jarvis Landry, Tyler Boyd, Michael Gallup, 

Green was 10th in point per game scoring after week 7 of 2018, before a lingering toe issue interrupted his season and his highly productive career. He is an intriguing Round 7 option as he returns to a transformed Cincinnati offense. However, his latest hamstring issue should be monitored.

Hilton should reclaim his role as Indy’s WR1 and benefit from operating with Rivers. He should also rebound from his career-worst 2019 season (68 targets/45 receptions/501 yards). But he might not reach his averages from 2013-2018 (131 targets/76 receptions/1,206 yards.

Landry finished 13th in targets (138), 12th in receptions (83), and achieved career highs in yardage (1,174) and yards per reception (14.1). Even if he does not replicate those numbers in Cleveland’s restructured offense, he remains undervalued at his Round 7 ADP.

Diggs finished second overall in yards per target (12.0), third in percentage share of team’s air yards (41.3), and fourth in yards per reception (17.9). But he now resurfaces in a Buffalo offense that finished seventh in run play percentage, and will also deploy John Brown as a downfield weapon.

Boyd finished among the top eight in targets (148), and receptions (90). The reemergence of Green and the presence of John Ross and Tee Higgins will prevent Boyd from reaching those 2019 numbers. But if Green encounters another significant health issue, then Boyd's stock will elevate immediately.

Gallup finished seventh in yards per reception (16.8) while finishing 10th in targets (57), and fifth in yardage (577) from Weeks 11-17. His enormous talent should propel him to favorable output despite competition for targets from Cooper and CeeDee Lamb.

 

Tier 7 

Marquise Brown, Julian Edelman, Will Fuller, Darius Slayton, Deebo Samuel, Diontae Johnson

Marquise Brown averaged 8.5 targets and 76 yards per game from Weeks 1-4 but just 3.7/28 per game from Weeks 5-17. He is healthy and can unleash his big-play potential with greater frequency.

Only Thomas captured double-digit target totals in more games than Edelman (10). But the 34-year old must now function without his customary signal-caller. Fuller can become Deshaun Watson’s primary target -if he can elude further injury. He averaged 9 targets/75 yards per game from weeks 2-6, but just 4.6/45 yards during his other matchups.

Slayton led the Giants in touchdowns (8) and targeted air yards (23.8). But the target shares for Slayton (14.3), and teammates Sterling Shepard (14.2) and Golden Tate (14.7) were extremely close.

The timeline for Samuel’s return is unclear. But he will function as the 49ers’ WR1 whenever he is operating at full capacity. Johnson overcame deficiencies at quarterback to lead Pittsburgh in targets (92), receptions (59), and target share (18.9).

 

Tiers 8 and 9 

Marvin Jones Jr., Christian Kirk, Mike Williams, Breshad Perriman, Jerry Jeudy, Brandin Cooks,  Sterling Shepard, Emmanuel Sanders, John Brown, Mecole Hardman 

A sizable number of factors can emerge before week 1 that would alter the value of receivers in these tiers.

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