Sunday Night Football DFS Lineup Picks for FanDuel, DraftKings - Bears vs. Packers

November 29, 2020

Jorge's top NFL DFS lineup picks for FanDuel, DraftKings and Week 12's Sunday Night Football Bears vs. Packers matchup. His daily fantasy football advice and value plays.

Sunday Night Football has not disappointed us with some great matchups and that trend continues as we get a classic NFC North rivalry as the Chicago Bears head to Green Bay to take on the Green Bay Packers. The Packers have a two-game lead on the division but a win for the Bears brings them within one game of the division lead. This game has an under/over of 45.5 with the Packers being favored by 7.5 points.

In this article, I will be providing you with daily fantasy football picks on FanDuel and DraftKings for the Sunday Night Football slate on November 29th (Week 12). These lineups can vary from higher-priced players and elite options to lower-priced players and value picks on both DraftKings and FanDuel.

If you have any questions you can follow me on Twitter @jorgepucks and fire away, or sign up for a premium RotoBaller NFL package and chat with myself and other NFL DFS analysts any time you'd like!

DFS Quarterbacks

This seems to be a very clear choice when it comes to selecting a quarterback for your showdown slate lineups. Aaron Rodgers is one of the top quarterbacks in this league and will be a very popular play in cash games as he will be the more reliable quarterback option. The Bears will be rolling out Mitch Trubisky who was benched earlier on in the season in favor of Nick Foles. Rodgers is averaging 25.5 DK points per game and has eclipsed that average in four of the last five games played. The Bears have played him tough as he has not eclipsed 25 DK points since 2016. With that being said, Rodgers is still the best and safest quarterback option on the slate.

Mitch Trubisky could be worth some looks in large-field tournaments but it is not comforting rostering a quarterback who was already benched once this season. Trubisky is averaging 13.1 DK points per game and has been wildly inconsistent in the games that he has played in. The Packers Defense is limiting opponents to just 242 passing yards per game which is 12th best in the league while also holding opponents to just 356 total yards which rank as 11th best in the league. Offensively, the Bears average 243 passing yards per game and only score 18.5 points per game so we can expect this to be a tournament approach if you decide to roster Trubisky.

Analysis: Rodgers is the better quarterback option and is viable in all formats while Trubisky is nothing more than a large tournament play. Trubisky carries big-time risk and should be rostered with caution!

DFS Running Backs

The running back position is one where both guys could be in play. Aaron Jones has been extremely consistent all season long as he is averaging 20.3 DK points per game and is steadily involved in the offensive game plan regardless of the score. He has had double-digit rushing attempts in every single game this season while also averaging 5.6 targets per game (ranks third highest on the Packers in targets per game). Backing up Jones is Jamaal Williams who can be viable in large field tournament lineups. He does see 5+ carries per game and does get a few targets in passing situations so if you want to be different, rostering both of them could be a tournament tactic. The matchup against the Bears is a tough one as they limit opponents to just 115.1 rushing yards per game which ranks 15th in the league and are a top 10 unit when it comes to limiting fantasy points to opposing running backs.

The Bears also have themselves a stable running back in David Montgomery and while he might not be the flashiest back in the league, he is a great fit for what the Bears try to do on offense. Montgomery is averaging 12.4 DK points per game and just like Jones, he has had double-digit rushing attempts in every game that he has played this season. He is included in the passing game as he sees 4.6 targets per game and has actually seen 5+ targets in four of the last five games that he has played. Montgomery was out last game with a concussion and the backup running back that was used was Cordarelle Patterson. Patterson is a do-it-all kind of player as he is often used in passing situations as a receiver and also used as a running back when needed. he saw 12 carries against the Vikings while Montgomery was out and will usually get three to four attempts per game. The Packers Defense is allowing opposing backs to average 113.7 DK points per game and with a change at quarterback, we could possibly see the Bears offense rely more on the ground game.

Analysis: Jones and Montgomery make for solid plays in all formats. They both offer safe floors with some upside and while this should be a low scoring game, they both could be used enough to where they are some of the higher scoring players on the slate. Williams and Patterson should see their usual looks throughout the game which make the great salary-saving tournament options while also being risky cash game options as well.

DFS Wide Receivers

This seems to be a pretty clear cut and dry situation in terms of who to consider for your lineups. Davante Adams is the best receiver on this showdown slate and is arguably the best receiver in the game right now. Adams leads the Packers with 90 targets on the season and holds a 23% target share on the team. He is tied for the league lead in touchdown receptions with nine and has recorded a touchdown in five straight games in addition to eight total touchdowns over that five-game span. Over that same five-game stretch, Adams has seen 60 total targets (12 per game) and has been pretty much unstoppable during that stretch. Outside of Adams, Marquez Valdes-Scantling and Allen Lazard round out the Packers receiving trio that should be considered. Over the last five games, MVS has seen 19 total targets and has been able to haul in 10 of those for catches. Lazard was stuck on IR for several weeks and recorded two catches on four total targets in his return.

For the Bears, their main target on offense is Allen Robinson. Robinson is similar to Adams in the sense that he dominates his team's target share (21%) and has seen 95 targets on the season. Robinson leads the receiving group with three total touchdown receptions on the season which is relatively low for a true number one receiver. Robinson has brought in 28 catches over his last five games played and with this Bears offense being more of a conservative ball-control type offense, his upside is often limited. The Bears have Darnell Mooney and Anthony Miller who round out their receiving trio who deserve consideration when making lineups. Both Miller and Mooney have seen above 55 targets on the season (56- Mooney, 57- Miller)  and they both have recorded two receiving touchdowns so far this season. Miller lines up primarily in the slot while Mooney is a true speedy outside receiver so the big-plays might come through Mooney while the short-yardage PPR points will come from Miller.

Analysis: Adams is the top play at the receiver position and is viable in all formats. Robinson racks up PPR points but with his lack of touchdown receptions, it makes him tough to trust in tournament formats. Miller, Mooney, MVS, and Lazard all deserve consideration but all carry a little bit of risk as they see inconsistent targets on a weekly basis.

DFS Tight Ends

While tight ends have been reliable on some showdown slates, this slate could be one where they are better suited as tournament options rather than cash game options. Jimmy Graham and Robert Tonyan Jr. are the two most reliable tight end plays on this slate and while they have had big games, their production has been pretty up and down as of late. Jimmy Graham has been the main tight end for the Bears offense as he has racked up 57 targets on the season. Over his last five games, Graham has seen 29 targets but is coming off of a two target performance in week 10.  Cole Kmet has been backing up Graham and has carved out a small role in the offense but his snap and target numbers are still relatively low that makes him nothing more than a punt play in tournament lines. For the Packers, Robert Tonyan Jr. is the main pass-catching tight end threat that does get targeted when in the red zone. He has five touchdown receptions on the season but has only racked up a combined 16 receptions over the past five weeks. With much attention going to Davante Adams and Aaron Jones, Tonyan is still fighting for targets with the likes of Valdes-Scantling and Lazard.

Analysis: It is hard to trust the tight ends in this game for cash game lineups because their target floor is volatile but are worth consideration for tournament lines.

DFS Defense/Special Teams

This could be a good defensive showing from both sides of this game which means both defenses could be in play. The Bears are a top defense when it comes to limiting points from opposing teams as they are allowing 20.9 points per game while the Packers Defense is allowing 25.8 points per game. While the Packer's offense is more prolific, it should be a good back and forth game where creating turnovers could be the key. When glancing back at last year's games, these teams hit the under in both games as they produced combined totals of 13 and 34 points in their two matchups in addition to four combined turnovers.  Both teams have reliable kickers in Cairo Santos and Mason Crosby and with the lack of potential scoring, the kicking games might be needed

Analysis: Both defenses are in play with how low-scoring this game could be. Kickers are tournament viable and rostering one of them in cash games could be in play as well.

Good luck, RotoBallers, and remember to mix it up and don't be afraid to be different in these large field GPPs!

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