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Brandon Murchison analyzes optimal DFS value plays for tournaments for Week 11 of the NFL season. These GPP value plays are worth considering on FanDuel and DraftKings daily fantasy sports games.
Week 10 on the DFS landscape proved to be one of hits and misses. Going into the week, there seemed to be quite a few chalk plays to be made across numerous positions. Some did hit (Lamar Jackson, Patrick Mahomes, Christian McCaffrey, and Michael Thomas) and helped to propel owners up the leaderboards. But it was the stunning misses (Drew Brees, Aaron Rodgers, David Montgomery, and Robby Anderson) that left many scratching their heads and scrambling to make deposits for the upcoming contests. This past weekend was once again proof that it can be anyone's guess as to how fantasy scoring may turn out. We've seen throughout the past several weeks that the mainstays around the league have separated themselves from a consistency standpoint. Those are the players to build around in DFS. But hitting on the secondary options, that is where the skill comes into play.
Heading into Week 11, we see the traditional names atop the rankings before the games begin. But the question will be, can they take advantage of the matchups or will they falter and leave us guessing? Christian McCaffrey, Lamar Jackson, and Michael Thomas should once again be the more highly owned options in contests this weekend, but building a lineup with those players can certainly leave you strapped in capital to spend in other areas. This leaves you diving down the board for those under the radar plays to help you fill out your best roster. While many are looking at the more high profile matchups to target in DFS, the less appealing games tend to be the more fruitful ones to build lineups around.
So what are some of the under the radar plays that can help you cash in this weekend? That is what we look to identify in the Week 11 Sneaky Plays for DFS.
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Week 11 Quarterback Value Play for GPPs
Kyle Allen vs. Atlanta Falcons ($7,200 FanDuel, $5,300 DraftKings)
Even though he is coming off of a 300-yard performance in Week 10, Kyle Allen has slowed down a bit since initially taking the reigns as starting QB for the Panthers. But that should change in Week 11 with his matchup at home against a Falcons Defense that is bottom five in points allowed to opposing QBs (22.6 FPPG). Before Week 10, the Falcons had given up multiple scores in each game dating back all the way to Week 2. While Christian McCaffrey will undoubtedly dominate the stat sheet in this game, Allen and his receivers will certainly find their fair share of opportunities. Look for Allen to finish the week among the top 10 at the position and be a player that will likely go undervalued in DFS lineups.
Week 11 Running Back Value Plays for GPPs
James White @ Philadelphia Eagles ($6,100 FanDuel, $5,400 DraftKings)
He may not be stuffing the stat sheets on the season, but White still sits comfortably as the RB24 in scoring on the year. He is rarely used as a rusher in the Patriots offense but is one of Tom Brady's top options in the passing game. That is where he will make his hay in Week 11 against the Eagles. This defense has been tough to run on for most of the season. But they have allowed four backs to compile at least six catches in a game. With White seeing at least seven targets in five games, you should see a very safe floor from a player has yet to be under 11.9 FP in any game in 2019. White will be a solid option at a fair price in DFS this week.
J.D. McKissic vs. Dallas Cowboys ($5,800 FanDuel, $4,600 DraftKings)
By process of elimination, McKissic has vaulted into an every-down role in the Lions backfield. With Ty Johnson dealing with a concussion and no other back on the roster a threat to his snaps, McKissic will see the benefit of a high volume game against a Cowboys Defense that was gashed by Dalvin Cook in Week 10. With a steady dose of targets as a pass-catching option, look for McKissic to be a player worthy of a spot in the Flex. He's not the sexiest option to put in your lineup but his cost may be just too good to ignore based on volume. With the ineptitude that we saw from the Lions offense last week, he may go overlooked by many owners in DFS, which could give you an advantage if he hits this week.
Week 11 Wide Receiver Value Plays for GPPs
Tyler Boyd @ Oakland Raiders ($5,900 FanDuel, $5,200 DraftKings)
He may not be the most exciting receiver in fantasy, but he has been rather consistent throughout most of the 2019 season. The lack of touchdowns has been alarming to date (just one on the season), but his 90 targets speaks to the opportunities he amasses each week. Eventually that has to crack and he could find himself with a big scoring week. That could happen in Week 11 against a Raiders secondary that has allowed the third-most points to receivers on the year (27.8 FPPG). With the Raiders playing well as of late, the Bengals will need to find someone on offense to help carry the load to stay in this matchup. Boyd should be that guy and a player you could lock in as a low-owned WR3 option in DFS.
Deebo Samuel vs. Arizona Cardinals ($5,600 FanDuel, $4,000 DraftKings)
Going largely unused for much of the 2019 season, Samuel saw a large increase in usage in Week 10 (11 targets, 8 catches for 112 yards). It seems as though he was the player to gain the most with the absence of George Kittle. With Kittle already announced as being out for Week 11, look for Samuel to again be highly utilized in a very favorable matchup. The Cardinals are among the bottom in points allowed to the position (23.7 FPPG). The 49ers may also be without Matt Breida in this matchup as well, increasing the potential for targets for Samuel in this game. He should be a player that you target to fill the WR3 spot in GPPs this week as he could go overlooked and low owned.
Week 11 Tight End Value Play for GPPs
Darren Fells @ Baltimore Ravens ($5,100 FanDuel, $3,800 DraftKings)
Fells may not be the most highly utilized player in fantasy football (three or less targets in 6 out of 9 games on the year). But what he does well is produce with limited opportunities. He has scored six touchdowns on the year and his reception totals have been becoming more consistent as of late. In Week 11 he will be facing a tough Ravens Defense in points allowed to the position (5.7 FPPG), but in what could become a shootout, Fells has a good shot at getting into the end zone yet again. He will be a low-owned, cost-effective player that you could plug in that will help you spend money elsewhere in your lineups.
