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Hello everybody, and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Week 10 - Sunday Late 4 PM Slate! The 2023 NFL season is underway, and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of.
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PrizePicks Over/Under DFS Props Contests
PrizePicks is a great DFS picks site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for "point per reception," meaning every reception is worth one point. Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points, and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point.
If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now, let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 10
Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
Amon-Ra St. Brown MORE than 83.5 receiving yards
Amon-Ra St. Brown has a very good matchup in a game with a total sitting at 48.5 points. He will be up against a Chargers defense that has allowed the seventh-most total receiving yards to the wide receiver position in 2023. They have also allowed an average of 191 receiving yards per game to the position.
On the season, St. Brown has averaged 11 targets, eight receptions, and 95 receiving yards per game through seven games. He has also eclipsed this total in five of his last six games. This game also figures to be close with the Lions favored by just 1.5 points, so the passing game should remain a factor throughout in this one.
Tyler Lockett MORE than 49.5 receiving yards
Tyler Lockett is in a solid spot this week against a Washington Commanders defense that has allowed the second-most total receiving yards to the wide receiver position in 2023. They have also allowed an average of 189 receiving yards per game to wide receivers. 13 total wide receivers across their nine games played have eclipsed this total as well.
Lockett has seen solid volume in recent weeks as he has averaged over seven targets per game across his previous five games. He has also eclipsed this total in three of those five games.
Dak Prescott LESS than 248.5 passing yards
This is currently listed as the top prop on the PrizePicks Optimizer for the 4 PM games with a 56.9% chance of success. The key reason this is rated so highly is due to the fact that most books have this prop set at 242.5 passing yards, which means we are getting a six-yard discount.
Another solid reason to take a look at the prop (even if it drops) is due to the fact that the Cowboys are two-touchdown favorites in this game and may not need to pass the ball as much to win. The Giants have also been abysmal against the run as they have allowed the third-most total rushing yards to the running back position this season. It should also be noted that Dak only threw the ball 24 times for a total of 143 passing yards in the Cowboys' first meeting with the Giants back in Week 1 when the Cowboys blew the doors off of New York 40-0.
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