Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now


Receive free daily analysis


Already have an account? Log In


Forgot Password


Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

NL Outfielders Ready to Break Out in 2021

The top of the outfield class this year is lined with studs. It's hard to go wrong with any of the top-ten or so outfielders in drafts, but after that, it gets a little bit shakier. Players with risky profiles, small sample size success stories, bounceback candidates, and plenty of youngsters make up a lot of the other outfielders for managers to select from. That effect is even more substantial when things are broken down between the National and American Leagues.

That doesn't mean that there isn't upside to find deeper in the draft pools. Let's look at four National League outfielders who appear ready to break out in 2021. The players under consideration and that we'll take a look at today are Dylan Carlson, Nick Senzel, Alex Dickerson, and Cristian Pache.

These four players all have had limited amounts of opportunities thus far in their Major League careers, but have profiles that suggest they can be quite useful for fantasy purposes in the near future. Let's get into it.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and weekly lineup resources:


Dylan Carlson, St. Louis Cardinals

Carlson comes into the 2021 season as one of the top prospects in baseball. He made his Major League debut in 2020, receiving 119 plate appearances. Things didn't go all that well, as he produced a .200/.252/.364 slash line. That rough performance has driven his draft day cost down coming into the new season, as a lot of fantasy managers get turned off when top prospects come up and don't produce right away, which often leaves the player undervalued the next year.

It's important to remember the type of profile Carlson has and what makes him such a good prospect. He has a good hit tool, good speed, and the potential for some power upside, three things that should play well in fantasy baseball. There is a bet to be made that Carlson to push 20+ home runs and double-digit steals, all with a good batting average. One factor holding him back, besides the rough start in 2020, was playing time. However, the Cardinals remedied that by moving Dexter Fowler to the Angels, and all indications now point to Carlson starting in the outfield every day for the Cardinals this year.

It was a brief debut for Carlson in 2020, but it's still worth talking about. Statcast seems to believe that Carlson experienced some bad luck. With all the sample size caveats kept in consideration, Carlson was actually above-average in a good amount of the most important metrics, with a 9.2% barrel rate, which is much better than the 6.4% league-average. Ditto for his 42.1% hard-hit rate compared to the 34.9% league-average rate. That combination led to Carlson ending up with a .401 xwOBA on contact last year, despite the ugly triple slash, which does suggest that Carlson did hit the ball better than the results would suggest.

It's not all great though, as Carlson did strike out nearly 30% of the time last year and walked just 6.7% of the time. If he can manage to walk and strikeout close to his minor league numbers (around 11% and 20%, respectively), it would go a long way towards Carlson reaching his potential. It's something to keep track of over the course of the season, but for drafts, with an ADP of around pick 150, Carlson has the potential to be a very profitable player.


Nick Senzel, Cincinnati Reds

This will be the third season that Senzel will be a part of. The former top prospect hasn't quite made an impact at the Major League, for various reasons. Some of it is due to his injury issues, some due to underperformance, and some due to playing time issues, due to the free-agent signings made by the Reds prior to the 2019 season. However, a look at the Reds roster for 2021 shows plenty of opportunities for Senzel to slot in. He could be their centerfielder depending on how things go with Shogo Akiyama, who failed to impress in an admittedly brief first season in the US. Senzel could also theoretically play shortstop, although the team has been hesitant to do that in the past, but could end up doing so out of necessity considering Kyle Farmer is the projected starter there right now. Senzel could also fill something of an "everyday utility player" role, where he plays most games at different positions. Either way, there should be plenty of opportunities for Senzel to finally show what he can do.

Remembering his prospect profile, his carrying tool was his hit tool, but he also had above-average power and speed tools, which is what makes him so intriguing. Senzel could be the type of player who goes 20-20, and with a positive batting average. He showed that off during the 2019 season, as he managed 12 home runs and 14 stolen bases in just 404 plate appearances. In his shortened 2020 season, Senzel was still fast with 97th percentile sprint speed per Statcast, but he didn't do much else offensively. However, he did manage to lower his groundball rate to 39.3% and cut his strikeout rate down to 19.2%. Take it with a grain of salt due to it being in just 78 plate appearances, but it at least is something to like in an otherwise disastrous season.

Overall, with an ADP around pick 280, Senzel is most likely going to be a late-round dart throw in most drafts. There is little risk in such a late-round draft pick, but Senzel, with consistent health and playing time, has strong breakout upside.


Alex Dickerson, San Francisco Giants

2020 was the second season now for Dickerson in which he impressed, albeit in limited opportunities. Still, he did have an underrated and underappreciated 2020 season that may carry over into this season. For Dickerson, his .298/.371/576 triple slash last year was the product of hitting the ball harder. He set new career-highs in average exit velocity, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate, all three of which stand out compared to the rest of the league, as Dickerson is well above-average in all three metrics.

Additionally, Dickerson is quite good at hitting his fly balls and line-drives hard, which is ultimately most important, as those are the batted-balls that lead to the best results. From 2019 to 2020, Dickerson's average exit velocity on those two batted-ball types is 93.5 miles-per-hour, a three-mile-per-hour improvement on his overall average exit velocity mark in the same span. Dickerson has shown great hitting ability in the last two seasons, albeit they came in brief samples. However, the projections for Dickerson this year do look quite good. The Bat X, a projection system that incorporates more elements of Statcast projects Dickerson for a 116 wRC+, a .342 wOBA, a .205 isolated power mark with 19 home runs and 65 runs batted in over 495 plate appearances. That's an extremely solid player, and one that should pay off for fantasy managers drafting him at his current ADP in the area of pick 330.

The biggest drawback to Dickerson though is that he is not likely to be an everyday player, considering his struggles against left-handed pitchers in his career. For his career, Dickerson has a 127 wRC+ against righties compared to an 86 mark against southpaws. Because of this, it is likely that Dickerson will be the strong half of a platoon in the Giants outfield. He should still get plenty of plate appearances, and those opportunities should come in the middle of the order where he'll have many chances to drive in and score runs, but ultimately, his overall fantasy impact will be lower than other options just due to being a platoon player. However, based on the projections, Dickerson should be productive in the playing time he does get, and at a low ADP, he should be quite good for the Giants and fantasy players this year.


Cristian Pache, Atlanta Braves

One of the game's top prospects, Pache did make his Major League debut last season, receiving a whole four plate appearances for the Braves in the regular season, but he was also in the lineup for the Braves during their postseason run. Pache comes into this season in a battle for the Braves' starting centerfielder spot, and if he wins the job outright will determine his fantasy use this season, for obvious reason. His main competition for the spot is veteran Ender Inciarte, whom the team may prefer due to his perhaps more reliable, although not spectacular profile.

The speed is what makes Pache so intriguing. His bat is not his carrying tool, but rather his elite defense and speed. While not a relevant fantasy category, his defense is still important because it will keep him in the lineup, and the stolen base upside will always make him an intriguing name for fantasy purposes. A peak season for Pache in the future would include at least 20 home runs and 20 stolen bases, but that shouldn't be expected right away.

However, that doesn't mean that Pache can't be fantasy-relevant. While his bat may not be fully developed, he shouldn't be a drag in the batting average department right now, although not a plus, but the projections do peg him for somewhere in the neighborhood of 13 home runs and 10 steals, right now, which would be quite nice and helpful. His prospect profile leaves him a bit under the radar in terms of fantasy value, especially with an everyday role not yet his, but with him going around pick 400 in drafts thus far, Pache would be an excellent late-round outfielder, as he has upside to dream on. Monitor the playing time situation this spring, as him being named the starter would likely send his ADP skyrocketing, and you don't want to miss out on those juicy stolen bases.

Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!

More Fantasy Baseball Advice


Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts


Braxton Garrett3 hours ago

Won't Make Sunday's Start
Blake Snell4 hours ago

Starting Rehab Assignment On Sunday
Iván Herrera4 hours ago

Ivan Herrera Hits 10-Day Injured List
Gabriel Moreno4 hours ago

Placed On The 10-Day Injured List
Max Scherzer4 hours ago

To Debut On Sunday
Nolan Arenado5 hours ago

Returns On Saturday
Jesús Luzardo5 hours ago

Jesus Luzardo Goes On 15-Day Injured List
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope6 hours ago

Drawing Interest From Multiple Teams
Cristopher Sánchez6 hours ago

Cristopher Sanchez, Phillies Finalize Four-Year Extension
Tobias Harris6 hours ago

To Draw "Ample Interest" In Free Agency
Manny Machado8 hours ago

Collects Four Hits Friday
Jake Cronenworth8 hours ago

With A Five-Hit Performance Friday
Yariel Rodríguez11 hours ago

Yariel Rodriguez Roughed Up In Start On Friday
Lane Thomas11 hours ago

Picks Up Three Hits, Drives In Four
Patrick Sandoval16 hours ago

Leaves His Start With Forearm Tightness
Abraham Toro16 hours ago

To Go On Injured List After Straining His Hamstring
Michael Wacha17 hours ago

Set To Start Saturday
Gavin Williams17 hours ago

Fans Four In Fifth Rehab Start
Walker Buehler17 hours ago

Dodgers Still Deciding Walker Buehler's Next Steps
Xander Bogaerts17 hours ago

Aiming To Return In Early July
Bo Bichette17 hours ago

Targeting Return Tuesday
Jurickson Profar17 hours ago

Pulled Early Against Brewers
Fernando Tatis Jr.17 hours ago

Exits With Triceps Contusion
Mitchell Robinson19 hours ago

Reportedly Involved In Trade Talks
Brook Lopez19 hours ago

Potentially On The Trade Block
Paul George22 hours ago

Philadelphia Reportedly Losing Interest In Paul George
Drew Eubanks22 hours ago

Declining His Player Option
Malik Monk22 hours ago

Agrees To New Contract With Kings
Viktor Arvidsson23 hours ago

Heading To Free Agency
Dylan Larkin23 hours ago

Expected To Be Ready For Training Camp Following Surgery
23 hours ago

Andrew Cogliano Retires From Playing, Joins Avalanche's Front Office
Yegor Chinakhov23 hours ago

Re-Signs With Blue Jackets For Two Years
Evander Kane23 hours ago

A Game-Time Decision On Friday
Nick Cousins23 hours ago

Draws Back Into Panthers Lineup
Tim Patrick1 day ago

Feels Back To Full Strength
Michael Penix Jr.1 day ago

Falcons, Michael Penix Jr. Agree To Terms On Rookie Deal
Ricky Pearsall1 day ago

49ers Sign Ricky Pearsall To Rookie Deal
Alexander Volkov1 day ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Sergei Pavlovich1 day ago

A Favorite At UFC Saudi Arabia
Kelvin Gastelum1 day ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Daniel Rodriguez1 day ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Shara Magomedov1 day ago

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Xavier Gipson2 days ago

Takes Leap Forward Ahead Of Year 2
Malachi Corley2 days ago

Still Adjusting To NFL Speed
Los Angeles Lakers2 days ago

JJ Redick Named Head Coach Of The Lakers
Alex Caruso2 days ago

OKC Acquires Alex Caruso From The Bulls
Josh Giddey2 days ago

Traded To Chicago
Rhamondre Stevenson2 days ago

Reaches Four-Year Extension With Patriots
PGA2 days ago

Byeong Hun An Withdraws From Travelers Championship
Jerry Jeudy2 days ago

To Open The Year In The Slot?
George Kittle2 days ago

Loses Significant Weight This Offseason
Johnny Walker2 days ago

A Slight Favorite At UFC Saudi Arabia
Volkan Oezdemir2 days ago

Looks To Extend Win Streak At UFC Saudi Arabia
Antonio Trocoli2 days ago

Takes Fight On Three Days Of Notice At UFC Saudi Arabia
Ikram Aliskerov2 days ago

Faces Former Champ In UFC Saudi Arabia Main Event
Robert Whittaker2 days ago

Faces Replacement Opponent In UFC Saudi Arabia Main Event
Khalil Herbert3 days ago

Could Be On Roster Bubble
Barclay Goodrow3 days ago

Moves Back To San Jose
Ty Dellandrea3 days ago

Sharks Acquire Ty Dellandrea
Darcy Kuemper3 days ago

Dealt To Kings
Pierre-Luc Dubois3 days ago

Traded To Washington
Bruce Brown3 days ago

Raptors Still Expected To Pick Up Bruce Brown's Option
Kevin Bahl3 days ago

Moves To Calgary
Jacob Markstrom3 days ago

Devils Acquire Jacob Markstrom
LeBron James3 days ago

Won't Play In Phoenix On A Minimum Deal
Gary Payton II3 days ago

Opts Into His Player Option To Return To Golden State
Detroit Pistons3 days ago

Pistons Making A Coaching Change After Firing Monty Williams
Pascal Siakam3 days ago

Pacers Plan To Sign Pascal Siakam To A New Deal
Wyndham Clark3 days ago

Looking To Stop The Bleeding At Travelers Championship
Los Angeles Lakers3 days ago

Lakers "Monitoring" Options At Center
Matt Fitzpatrick3 days ago

Looking For Consistency In Connecticut
Patty Mills3 days ago

Hopes To Continue Career
Philadelphia 76ers3 days ago

Sam Dekker Among Free Agents To Work Out For 76ers
Bojan Bogdanovic3 days ago

Knicks Expected To Guarantee Bojan Bogdanovic's Contract
OG Anunoby3 days ago

Reportedly "Not Thrilled" With Knicks' Contract Offers
George Kittle4 days ago

Recovered, Back On Field
Gardner Minshew II4 days ago

No Front-Runner Yet Between Aidan O'Connell, Gardner Minshew II
Brandin Cooks4 days ago

Dak Prescott, Brandin Cooks Elevate Their Rapport
Sepp Straka4 days ago

In Excellent Form For Travelers Championship
Brian Harman4 days ago

Finding Consistency Before Travelers Championship
Sahith Theegala4 days ago

Playing Well Heading To Travelers Championship
Matthew Stafford4 days ago

Wants More Guaranteed Money
Viktor Hovland4 days ago

Looks To Right The Ship At Travelers Championship
Scottie Scheffler4 days ago

Looking To Bounce Back At Travelers Championship
Justin Thomas4 days ago

Looking To Bounce Back At Travelers Championship
Scott Perunovich4 days ago

Earns One-Year Extension From Blues
Sam Burns4 days ago

A Flighty Pick For Travelers Championship
Filip Hronek4 days ago

Signs $58 Million Deal With Canucks
Barclay Goodrow4 days ago

Waived By Rangers
Sergei Bobrovsky4 days ago

Attempts To Produce Another Big Bounce-Back Effort
Evander Kane4 days ago

Likely To Remain Out For Game 5
Ryan Lomberg4 days ago

Inserted Into Panthers Lineup Tuesday
Collin Morikawa4 days ago

Looks To Improve On History At Travelers Championship
PGA4 days ago

Sungjae Im Has Been Thriving At Non-Major Events
Pascal Siakam4 days ago

Likely To Remain With Indiana
Corey Conners4 days ago

Finding His Short Game
Tony Finau4 days ago

Brings Great Form To Travelers
Patrick Cantlay4 days ago

Looks For Ninth Career Win In Connecticut
Kirk Cousins4 days ago

Confident He'll Be Full-Go For Training Camp
Tom Kim4 days ago

Striking The Ball Well Ahead Of Travelers
Ludvig Aberg4 days ago

Seeks Second Tour Victory At Travelers
Tommy Fleetwood4 days ago

Lacks Upside At TPC River Highlands
Russell Henley4 days ago

An Intriguing Option At Travelers
Shane Lowry4 days ago

Be Wary Of Shane Lowry At Travelers Championship
Si Woo Kim4 days ago

Still Trying To Putt Consistently
Josh Berry5 days ago

Grabs Another Top-10 Finish At Iowa
Ricky Stenhouse Jr5 days ago

. Delivers Massive Day For DFS Managers
Ryan Blaney5 days ago

Secures Spot In Playoffs With Iowa Win
NASCAR5 days ago

Daniel Suárez Inches Up To Ninth Place Sunday
Brad Keselowski5 days ago

Holds On To Top-10 Finish At Iowa
Amari Cooper5 days ago

Andrew Berry: Amari Cooper "A Big Part Of Our Team"
Deshaun Watson5 days ago

"Really Actually Ahead Of Schedule"
Ladd McConkey5 days ago

Signs Rookie Deal
Tyler Reddick5 days ago

Unlucky at Iowa, but Still a Relative Non-Factor Before That
Kyle Larson5 days ago

Made Electrifying Charge Through Field at Iowa Until Late Race Crash
Denny Hamlin5 days ago

Inexplicably Slow in Inaugural Iowa Race
Christopher Bell5 days ago

the Sole Bright Spot for Toyota at Iowa
Martin Truex Jr5 days ago

. Finishes One Lap Down In 15th At Iowa
Chase Elliott5 days ago

Obtains A Great Finish Of Third At Iowa
Joey Logano5 days ago

Finishes Sixth In The Iowa Corn 350
Alex Bowman5 days ago

Rallies Through The Field To Finish Eighth At Iowa
William Byron5 days ago

Exceeds Value In DFS At Iowa
Brandon Aiyuk5 days ago

49ers Don't Want Brandon Aiyuk Back?
Tatsuro Taira5 days ago

Remains Undefeated
Alex Perez5 days ago

Unable To Continue After Suffering A Knee Injury
Garrett Armfield5 days ago

Submitted At UFC Vegas 93
Brady Hiestand5 days ago

Gets Third-Round Submission Win
Jose Johnson5 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 93
MMA5 days ago

Asu Almbayev Extends Win Streak
Pittsburgh Steelers6 days ago

Cameron Heyward Wants To Retire A Pittsburgh Steeler





Video: The Worst Current Draft Values at Running Back and Wide Receiver

We're already busy prepping for the upcoming fantasy football season here at RotoBaller! With early best ball drafts underway, it's time to dive into the ADP of some notable fantasy football players for the 2024 campaign. RotoBaller's David Rispoli digs into two players that might be the worst values in early 2024 fantasy football drafts.... Read More

On The Hot Seat? Five NFL Head Coaches Facing Make-Or-Break Seasons In 2024

With big-name free agents signed and the NFL Draft in the rearview, it's time to start turning our attention to the upcoming 2024 NFL season. This offseason was a banner year for NFL head coaching hires, as the market was flooded with both openings and strong, intriguing candidates. With the dust finally settled, eight NFL... Read More

Nico Collins - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Dynasty Players To Sell for 2024 Fantasy Football (Premium Content)

Dynasty fantasy football managers are used to being engaged in their leagues all year long, but it can be easy to get tunnel vision when a player succeeded for you last year or is trending up the following season. The offseason is all about knowing who to buy and who to sell before "the results"... Read More

Kyler Murray - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2024 Superflex Rankings for Fantasy Football Drafts: Kyler Murray, Jayden Daniels, Aaron Rodgers, D'Andre Swift, Zay Flowers, Dalton Kincaid

Hey, RotoBallers! We are back with more fantasy football rankings to help prepare you for your upcoming drafts! Today, we will review our NFL team's superflex rankings. For those unfamiliar with superflex leagues, they are a format that allows you to start a quarterback in the flex position but does not require you to. Quarterbacks... Read More

49ers Defense D/ST Streamers, Rankings, Waiver Wire - Nick Bosa Fantasy Football IDP

IDP Rankings for 2024 Fantasy Football Drafts (Individual Defensive Players) - Nick Bosa, Matthew Judon, Ivan Pace Jr., Laiatu Latu, more

Welcome back, RotoBallers, to more fantasy football rankings. It's an exciting time, as training camps for all NFL teams will kick off in 30 days. Today, we will review our NFL team's updated 2024 fantasy football IDP rankings (top 100) for IDP formats. IDP league formats have been gaining popularity recently and offer a different... Read More

Jacob Cowing - CFB DFS Lineup Picks, Daily Fantasy College Football, NFL Draft Rookie - icon rotoballer

Fantasy Football Rookie Spotlight: Jacob Cowing

The San Francisco 49ers used a fourth-round pick on wide receiver Jacob Cowing, who began his college career at UTEP before spending his final two seasons with the Arizona Wildcats. Can the 5-foot-8 wideout find a role with the 49ers? What kind of fantasy football value does Cowing have heading into his rookie season? Below,... Read More

Evan Engram - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Undervalued Fantasy Football Tight Ends to Target in PPR Leagues

It is important to know the difference between PPR (points per reception) and standard scoring leagues (no points per reception) when deciding to take a tight end in your 2024 fantasy football drafts. While standard leagues concentrate primarily on yards and touchdowns, PPR leagues have an extra reward for receptions. Tight ends who are continually... Read More

Tua Tagovailoa - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

One-Hit Wonder? Recent Fantasy Football Breakouts to Sell in 2024 Dynasty Leagues

There’s nothing more fun than watching a player have a breakout season on your dynasty fantasy football team. It can be the ace in the hole needed to capture that elusive dynasty championship. While we have seen breakout performances launch players into superstardom, there are also times when they fizzle out after a banner year.... Read More

Trey Benson - Fantasy Football Rankings, College FB, RB, NFL Draft Sleepers, Rookies

Three Fantasy Football Rookies To Target In 2024 FFPC Best Ball Drafts

While we aren't yet close to the traditional draft season for fantasy football redraft leagues, June is here, which means best ball drafts are shifting into high gear. Several fantasy football sites have already released their flagship contests, including one of the most popular sites in the game: Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC). If you... Read More

Michael Florio's Football Show - Podcast RotoBaller Network

Florio's Football Show: Breaking Down QB Tiers!

Michael F. Florio is back going over his QB rankings and breaking them down into tiers. Should you pay up for Josh Allen? Florio also explains why he is so bullish on Anthony Richardson, Kyler Murray and Jayden Daniels. Plus, he gives you good duos to pair together in your drafts! Get all of this... Read More

Travis Kelce - Fantasy Football Tight Ends You Must Have in 2024

Fantasy Football Tight Ends You Must Have in 2024

Tight end is one of the most important positions in fantasy football, and this season, there are a plethora of capable, young, athletic options mixing in with the old guard of Travis Kelce, George Kittle, and Mark Andrews. The best part is that you don't have to spend draft capital in the first two rounds... Read More

Zamir White - Fantasy Football Rankings, Waiver Wire Pickups, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Best Ball ADP Changes - Post NFL Draft Risers and Fallers

Player movement throughout the offseason has repeatedly fueled changes in the fantasy football landscape. This includes the results that unfolded during this year’s NFL Draft, which reshaped depth charts for all 32 teams. This year's draft process also provided clarification surrounding landing spots and draft capital for incoming rookies. Fantasy managers have responded to the... Read More

San Francisco 49ers Fantasy Football Team Preview - QB, RB, WR, TE Outlooks

Welcome to my 2024 fantasy football preview for the San Francisco 49ers as part of my team-by-team fantasy football outlooks series. They are one of the best teams in the NFL and have one of the most talented offenses in the entire league. The question is if there are enough footballs to go around. The 49ers... Read More