RADIO
When trying to find strong Week 6 GPP DFS stacks, one of the first things I needed to do is determine which stacks are going to be the "cash" and heavily owned stacks. With it appearing now that the Minnesota/Atlanta game is still going to be played, both those teams jump out as potential cash game stacks.
Anyone playing the Jets right now has to be considered a potential cash game stack even if Miami might not be the most reliable option. Yet they still fit the bill and I expect them to be heavily owned this weekend. I also think Detroit, being well-rested and coming off a bye, will be a popular choice against the lowly Jaguars. I'm not sure which side will be more popular, but I also foresee many DFS players stacking one side or the other of the NYG/WAS game. I am not sure I even agree with that decision, but given how mediocre those two teams are, I do understand the movement behind it.
Add in the four teams on bye this week, and that leaves me with limited options. Nearly every one of the stacks above is playing a weak opponent. But what about a team playing a team with only one loss? That option is likely on the borderline between GPP and cash. But with that opponent having only one loss, I can see that option slipping into the GPP stack zone for week 6.
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NFL DFS Stacks: The "Momentum Stops Here" Stack
Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers are a very strong play, but as we all know the Browns are off to one of their best starts in decades. However, this is a prime match-up for the Steelers passing game. And with the Cowboys playing on Monday night, I had to find another team whose match-up screams "play me" and few do more than the Browns.
Cleveland has allowed the second-most fantasy points through the air to QBs. But they've been beaten on the ground too. Cleveland has given up 107.6 fantasy points per game to their opponents. Only Seattle and Atlanta have been worse. Add in the fact that Cleveland has allowed the third-most fantasy points just to WRs and you see why I like this stack.
And I like Chase Claypool. I have a few shares of him in seasonal, including on my lone dynasty team. If you want to play him, go ahead. But he's a little too much "flavor of the month" for me. Obviously, regression is coming, but most will see all those fantasy points and continue to ride him until otherwise. I caution that move and direct your eye towards routes run. Claypool had 23 last week; both JuJu Smith-Schuster and James Washington ran more than 30. And if Diontae Johnson plays, I see even less reason to play Claypool.
I will start my stack with Juju. Despite three touchdowns, I know that many of Smith-Schuster's seasonal owners are not happy with him. He's only averaging 47 yards per game. But my gut is telling me to play him this week and the brain is making a strong case. The Browns allowed CeeDee Lamb to go off for five catches for 79 yards and two touchdowns. Tyler Boyd and Willie Snead did nearly similar damage against the Browns. Yet not one of these receivers saw more than eight targets. Juju averages 7.5 targets per game. I think you can make the deduction. Meanwhile, James Washington is so wonderfully cheap that he makes for a great value play. As everyone piles onto Claypool, Washington makes for a nifty pivot. Don't forget that Washington had one of his best games last season against Cleveland when hauled in four passes for 111 yards and a touchdown.
Or you might prefer to include Eric Ebron in your stack. Cleveland is giving up the sixth-most fantasy points to TEs this year. Ebron is averaging six targets over these last three games. Priced outside the top dozen TEs, Ebron is another cheap alternative. We know that Baker Mayfield takes care of his house, but the Steelers are hosting this weekend. Ebron should help the Steelers give the Browns a big "L" on their way out of Steel City.
NFL DFS Stacks: The "Other Side Of The Coin" Stack
Jacksonville Jaguars
I promise you that the Detroit Lions are going to be a popular stack this weekend. And I get it. But if the Lions are going to be scoring a lot of points, might it be possible that the Jaguars will try and keep up?
The answer is obviously yes, especially given that the Detroit Lions have allowed the ninth-most passing TDs. Minshew has thrown two or more touchdowns in four of five games this year. In addition to his TD prowess, Minshew is averaging a very respectable 288 passing yards per game. Minshew can sometimes whither under tough opposition, but the Lions are one of the ten worst teams in preventing fantasy points to the quarterback position.
D.J. Chark is averaging double-digit fantasy points per game this year. If he's healthy, expect him to continue that streak. However, Chark did not participate in practice on Thursday. And I do like two of his fellow Jaguar WRs as much if not more than him. Laviska Shenault is even more affordable than Chark and he has 20 targets over the last three weeks. He has not scored since week 1, but I see that drought ending soon. Shenault should play, but he too is battling some injury issues. And that's part of the reason why I love Keelan Cole this week, especially as a GPP play. Cole has a lower floor than Chark or Shenault. However, he has scored three times, making him a cheap but potential source for touchdowns in any given week. And with this game having the second-highest over/under of the early slate, I think we see a bunch of touchdowns.
NFL DFS Stacks: The "Don't Let The Sites Mislead You" Stack
Green Bay Packers
A lot of folks are going to see the red "1st" next to Rodgers's name under the matchup rank and run away. And the truth is the Bucs secondary has been pretty good. But it hasn't been that good. They have given up the sixth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. They are tied with seven other teams for the sixth-fewest passing touchdowns. And they've given up the 18th most passing yards. It's not a soft match-up, but it's not one to run away from either.
Furthermore, the Bucs were forced to do this:
Bucs officially put DT Vita Vea on injured reserve today after his season-ending ankle injury. LB Jack Cichy also goes on IR, though not likely for very long (minimum three weeks).
— Greg Auman (@gregauman) October 12, 2020
Tampa Bay can probably survive without Cichy for three weeks, but the loss of Vea is huge. Vea was ranked the third best interior lineman coming into last week's games. The loss might be going under the radar, but it shouldn't. One of the reasons that Rodgers "You Ain't Ready For Love" tour is going strong is because he has not been pressured very much. He's been sacked just three times this season and is one of the best quarterbacks in the game when he can stay in the pocket. I think he will hit a bump against a team that can pressure Rodgers. But that's not the Buccaneers. Rodgers ain't cheap this week for a reason. He's averaging nearly four touchdowns and over 300 passing yards a game. He should see similar numbers this week.
This also means that his pass-catchers should see big numbers. And that starts with Davante Adams. Adams' cumulative stats are nothing impressive as he has not played the last three weeks due to a bye and injuries. But Adams still averaged double-digit targets to start the season and should see close to that number this week as well. The Bucs DB Carlton Davis is pretty good, but go back and watch last week's game. You'll see that Darnell Mooney spun Davis out of his shoes on a few occasions but the inaccuracy of Foles prevented Mooney from having a big game. And Darnell Mooney is no Davante Adams. Adams is the most expensive WR on DK this week, but that will help drive the ownership down. I will be ecstatic to be one of the few who own him.
Of course with ARod and Adams, you are going to need a cheaper option. And Marquez Valdes-Scantling should squeeze in easily. He is averaging an impressive 17.5 YPC. And if you don't like MVS, you can always go with the Robert Tonyan option. He has five touchdowns on the year already, including a hat trick most recently against Atlanta. But Tonyan is friends with George Kittle and it appears that the latter's All-Pro level of play is wearing off on Tonyan. Either way, I'm looking forward to getting pieces of the Green Bay passing attack this week.
Thanks for reading, and good luck with your Week 6 DFS GPP Stacks!
[youtubs_nfl]
