RADIO
Ja’Marr Chase, Miles Sanders, Justin Jefferson, D.J. Chark, and Jared Goff were all mentioned in the Week 14 edition of this column. A good friend of mine actually thanked me for the Sanders call, as it helped him take home over $1,500 on DraftKings. That always makes you feel pretty good as a fantasy contributor.
We’re back in the saddle for Week 15, a week with some fairly decent game environments — but none that are head and shoulders above the rest. Will the Chiefs keep their foot on the gas against Houston? Will Philly drop another 40-ball against Chicago? Can Jacksonville keep up with Dallas’ offense while contending with their top-notch defense? Let’s figure this slate out together.
Each section will feature a stack for each major site (DraftKings & FanDuel), along with a preferred bring-back and possible leverage piece to make your lineup different from the field. The labeling of each stack is based on the QB’s pricing, not necessarily the weapons they’ll be throwing to.
Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 10% off using code BALLER! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!
High-Priced DFS Stacks for DraftKings
Justin Herbert ($7200) + Mike Williams ($6300) OR Keenan Allen ($6800)
Sunday’s Titans-Chargers matchup will consist of contrasting styles of play — Tennessee’s ground-and-pound approach versus L.A.’s aerial assault. Who will dictate the terms of this AFC battle? If the Chargers can grab a lead early, it could lead to a very voluminous fantasy matchup.
Tennessee is surrendering over 300 passing yards per game, while the Chargers are yielding over 147 rushing yards per contest. Both defenses are vulnerable to the opposition’s strength on offense. Even if Mike Vrabel’s club grabs an early lead, they will likely slow the game down quite a bit, but the Chargers will still undoubtedly rack up pass volume.
Justin Herbert is set up very well here, as the Titans have given up 35 and 36 points the last two weeks. In the process, Trevor Lawrence and Jalen Hurts each diced them up for at least 368 passing yards and three passing TDs respectively. Only the Chiefs have yielded more passing touchdowns than the Titans (25).
Tennessee’s secondary has yielded a league-high 342 completions to this point. This plays right into the Chargers’ strength offensively — as Herbert has at least 30 completions in six games this year. Mike Williams returned to the lineup with authority in Week 14, snaring all six of his targets for 116 yards and a touchdown. Keenan Allen has also played well in recent weeks, posting over 20 PPR points in Weeks 13 and 14.
Don’t overthink this one — Chargers should be a top priority for DFS lineups in Week 15.
Preferred bring-back: Derrick Henry ($8000)
Leverage piece: Josh Palmer ($5600)
He has been a thorn in my showdown-lineup side all season long it seems like, but Josh Palmer is a great play this weekend for a number of reasons. He’s played 90% or better of the team’s snaps in 7-of-11 games in 2022 (Player Profiler). Palmer has also garnered at least seven targets in six straight games. He’ll make for great leverage off of the more popular options like Mike Will and Keenan.
High-Priced DFS Stacks for FanDuel
Patrick Mahomes ($9100) + Travis Kelce ($8000) OR JuJu Smith-Schuster ($7300)
It’s no secret that Kansas City is going to win this game. The real question is by how much? Favored by 14, it will likely be a pick-your-poison type of situation for Andy Reid’s team. Though Houston’s penchant for getting destroyed on the ground has been very evident, it will be interesting to see how Kansas City’s coaching staff attacks them.
Surprisingly, Houston ranks top three in total completions allowed, fourth in completion percentage allowed (61.2%), and has yielded a league-low 11 passing touchdowns (nfl.com). But those stats are against mere mortals; this is Patrick Mahomes we are talking about. The Chiefs are fourth in pass attempts, second in yards per attempt (8.1), first in passing yards, and first in passing TDs (33). Not to mention they are first in 20+ yard gains (60) and tied for first in 40+ yard gains (11).
Reid is a shrewd coach, so K.C. may very well lean more run-heavy in this one. But it’s not really in the Chiefs’ DNA to just pound the ball consistently. They will surely be airing the ball out plenty, and Travis Kelce and JuJu Smith-Schuster will likely be on the end of many Mahomes attempts. Kelce has seen 57 targets and 11 red-zone targets over his last six games, while Smith-Schuster has 42 and six such targets over that same span.
Preferred bring-back: Chris Moore ($6000)
Leverage piece: Isiah Pacheco ($7600)
As mentioned before, the Texans are getting trampled by opposing rushing attacks. Isiah Pacheco’s number of carries over the last five games, starting with Week 10, are 16, 15, 22, 14, and 13. Favored by two touchdowns, the Chiefs should control the game script here fairly easily, setting up their lead back for quality production. Houston has seen the most rushing attempts (447) and given up the most rushing yards of any team in 2022 (2,156). Expect Pacheco to eat here.
Mid-Priced DFS Stacks for DraftKings
Andy Dalton ($5200) + Chris Olave ($6500)
In a rematch of Week 1, Falcons-Saints could go under the radar in the DFS streets. But at great price points, some winning fantasy scores could spawn from this game. Andy Dalton and the Saints have underwhelmed big time in recent weeks, but Sunday could mark a get-right spot for him and his pass catchers.
First, let’s consider that this is Desmond Ridder’s first career NFL start. Atlanta hasn’t exactly been an offensive juggernaut, averaging a middling 22.2 points and low-end 314.6 yards per game. Expecting the Falcons to move the ball effectively would be expecting an outlier performance from the rookie. If Ridder struggles like I’m expecting, that could lead to additional possessions for the Saints.
Atlanta ranks sixth in both yards and DK points allowed to WRs this season (Pro Football Reference). Chris Olave is poised for a solid outing, as he ranks top seven at his position in deep targets (26), air yards share (40.3%), air yards (1,417), and aDOT (14.5). Though he has produced just one game above 14 PPR points in his last six, Week 15 looks like a spot where he could do just that.
Preferred bring-back: Cordarrelle Patterson ($5900)
Leverage piece: Alvin Kamara ($6800)
It’s been quite a bad stretch recently for Alvin Kamara. He’s totaled just 107 rushing yards combined in his last five games. However, with Mark Ingram now done for the year, Kamara could shoulder a larger workload. Coming out of the bye and facing a Falcons team that has given up the eighth-most rushing yards and 12th-most DK points to backs, this could be the spot he gets right.
Mid-Priced DFS Stacks for FanDuel
Dak Prescott ($7500) + CeeDee Lamb ($8100) AND/OR Michael Gallup ($5700)
Jacksonville owns the third-worst pass coverage grade of any team in the league, according to PFF. They’re also fifth in passing yards allowed per game (253.3). Dak Prescott has thrown for at least 260 yards in four of his last five outings. This week sets up very well for Dallas’ offense.
Additionally, both Dallas (fourth) and Jacksonville (13th) rank top 13 in seconds per play (teamrankings.com). In a back-and-forth, high-octane environment, fantasy points should be plentiful — especially if Jacksonville can keep up (which is fair to question considering the clout of the Cowboy defense). Only the Chiefs and Titans have fallen victim to more receiving scores by WRs than the Jaguars (16).
CeeDee Lamb erupted in Week 10 against Green Bay but has been relatively quiet since. Can he regain some traction against Jacksonville? He’s seen eight red-zone targets combined in his last six games. Michael Gallup has drawn at least six regular targets in five of his last six outings, and six red-zone targets combined in his last four.
If Dak succeeds through the air here, we know who will be the main beneficiaries. And I’m fairly confident Prescott will find success.
Preferred bring-back: Zay Jones ($6300)
Leverage piece: Tony Pollard ($8200)
Tony Pollard has 53 evaded tackles this season (Player Profiler). That mark ranks 15th in the league among RBs. Why is that important? Jacksonville is graded as the worst tackling team in football, according to PFF. Along with that, the Jags have yielded the most targets (108) and third-most receptions (82) to enemy backs.
Low-Priced DFS Stacks for DraftKings
Mac Jones ($5000) + Nelson Agholor ($3400)
This stack doesn’t really fit the profile of one that I would normally recommend, but I’ll explain. Though the Raiders, New England’s Week 15 opponent, gave away yet another game last week against the hapless Rams, their offense has shown to be explosive at times. They’ve scored 40 and 27 points within the last three weeks, so they could force New England into more dropbacks.
Las Vegas is a bottom-nine defense in terms of completions allowed, attempts allowed, passing yards allowed, and passing TDs allowed. Jakobi Meyers, the Patriots’ No. 1 wideout, has been limited this week as he recovers from a concussion. DeVante Parker has been a DNP all week so far with the same ailment. This opens the door for Agholor, whose $3400 price tag is entirely too low for his upside and possible volume here. He’s seen 21 combined targets over the last three games.
At a low $3K price tag, Agholor really doesn’t have to do much to pay off. If he hauls in, say, three or four passes for 50 yards and a score, you are ecstatic with that outcome. Even if you don’t stack him with Jones, you should likely consider him as part of your lineups.
Preferred bring-back: Josh Jacobs ($8100)
Leverage piece: Nobody will play this stack.
Low-Priced DFS Stacks for FanDuel
Tom Brady ($6800) + Chris Godwin ($7000) OR Mike Evans ($6900)
Bengals-Bucs as a fantasy matchup would have had many salivating in 2021, but in 2022, it’s certainly slightly less appealing. Tom Brady and his offense have looked broken this season, but Week 15 presents an opportunity to play a high-powered opponent — which positions Tampa Bay for a high pass-volume game.
Cincinnati has been a top-notch defensive unit, as they’ve conceded a league-low 59.1% completion percentage. Brady has the most completions in the league through 14 weeks. It will be a battle of strength on strength.
Chris Godwin will certainly be busy early and often in this one, as the Penn State product has garnered double-digit targets in 7-of-11 games this year and a combined six red-zone targets over his last four. Mike Evans has just two top-10 PPR fantasy finishes this season, but it hasn’t been because of a lack of opportunity; the ninth-year veteran currently ranks seventh in the league in air yards.
As stated, Cincinnati’s defense has been superb, but would it really surprise you if Brady and his weapons came out on Sunday and scored 30 real-life points at very low DFS ownership? Me neither.
Preferred bring-back: Ja'Marr Chase ($9000)
Leverage piece: Julio Jones ($5400)
The legendary career of Julio Jones has been fun to watch, but the future Hall of Fame just hasn’t popped up for any big fantasy outings this season. At $5400 on FanDuel, you could do a lot worse than betting on Jones this weekend, as he’s seen four red-zone targets in the last three games combined. In a game where the Bucs will likely be forced to throw from behind, Jones could certainly get there in fantasy.
Good luck this weekend! Feel free to contact me on Twitter about DFS or fantasy football in general. I can be found here -- @thejacksonkane.
Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App
Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!
