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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week Wild Card Weekend's Saturday Games of the Fantasy Football season. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage on this special Saturday edition between the Colts at Bills, Rams at Seahawks, and Buccaneers at Football Team.
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Colts @ Bills
Recommended Prop Pick:
Josh Allen more than 290.5 passing yards and Philip Rivers less than 260.5 passing yards
Josh Allen threw for over 300 yards in Weeks 15 and 16 and likely would have cruised over 300 again in Week 17 had he not been pulled in the second half in order to rest for the playoffs. He has a solid matchup this week and should again be able to go over 300 passing yards. The Colts are allowing quarterbacks to throw for an average of over 305 passing yards per game over the previous four weeks, which ranks fourth-worst in the league over that span. They have allowed four of the previous five quarterbacks to throw for over 300 yards and the only one who did not was Mike Glennon last week who still managed to throw for over 260 passing yards. This is a prime spot for Allen and he should definitely be able to get over the total.
Rivers has struggled lately as he has failed to throw for over 260 passing yards in three of his previous four games. He is going to be facing a strong Bills' pass defense as they have only allowed an average of 195 passing yards per game over the previous four weeks, which ranks seventh-best in the league over that span.
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Rams @ Seahawks
Recommended Prop Pick:
Russell Wilson less than 19.5 fantasy points and Robert Woods less than 14.5 fantasy points
I think this game is going to be more of a defensive battle as both defenses have been strong lately and the Rams have been strong for the better part of the season. While it is hard to go against Wilson here, he has combined for just 473 passing yards and one passing touchdown in two games vs. the Rams this season. The Rams are also only allowing 168 passing yards per game over the previous four weeks, which ranks second-best in the league over that span. They are also only allowing 12.24 fantasy points per game to quarterbacks over that same span, which also ranks second-best in the league.
Woods has been solid for the Rams in 2020, but has struggled vs. these Seahawks. In his two games against Seattle, Woods has a combined stat line of just nine catches for 81 receiving yards. He has averaged just 8.6 fantasy points per game in those contests. With Goff not expected to be at 100%, it is very difficult for me to pull the trigger on Woods in this one, especially considering Goff was 100% in the other two games. Look for a less than performance here from Woods.
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Buccaneers @ Football Team
Recommended Prop Pick:
Mike Evans more than 13.5 fantasy points and Alex Smith more than 13.5 fantasy points
Mike Evans is going to be an important part of this Buccaneers offense if they want to advance in the playoffs and that will start this week. Over his previous four games, Evans has seen 28 targets and managed to haul in 22 of them for 393 receiving yards and two scores. While the Football Team does have a solid secondary, they have allowed 100-yard wide receivers in two of the previous four weeks and also allowed three in the previous five weeks. Add in a game where Diontae Johnson and James Washington went for 151 combined receiving yards, and you have a secondary that has been a bit shoddy in recent weeks. I think Evans gets a solid target share in this one and ultimately gets over the total here.
Alex Smith will be facing a Bucs' secondary that has allowed six passing touchdowns to quarterbacks over the previous four weeks. Smith is fresh off a two-touchdown performance against the Eagles and also performed well against the Steelers in Week 13. The fact that the Football Team are 8.5 point underdogs should also help Smith as they could be forced to throw the ball later in the game in order to keep up with the Buccaneers.
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