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Kipp Heisterman presents his expert NFL DFS prop picks for Week 15's Saturday Games of the Fantasy Football season. Use these prop picks to win money on Monkey Knife Fight, our partner for all DFS prop picks games.
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As always, there are some solid props we can look to take advantage on this special Saturday edition, which includes the Bills at Broncos and Panthers at Packers.
Bills @ Broncos
Recommended Prop Picks:
Josh Allen more than 275.5 passing yards and Drew Lock more than 244.5 passing yards
The Broncos have allowed six quarterbacks to throw for over this total on the season, including the previous two quarterbacks they faced in Patrick Mahomes and Teddy Bridgewater. The Bills will likely rely a bit more on the pass in this one as they currently rank in the bottom half of the league in rushing yards per game as well. Allen has also thrown over this total in three of his previous five games.
Lock should be able to get over the hump in this one vs. a Bills Defense that is currently allowing over 261 passing yards per game across the previous four weeks. They have also allowed four of the previous five quarterbacks they faced to go over the total as well. and Lock himself has thrown over the total in six of his previous seven games. Add in the fact that the Broncos are 6.5 point dogs and you could certainly see more throwing from Lock later in the game.
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Cole Beasley more than 12.5 fantasy points and Tim Patrick more than 10.5 fantasy points:
Cole Beasley has seen double-digit targets in three of the Bills' previous four games and could be in line for another big target share against Broncos' slot corner, Essang Bassey. Bassey is allowing over 11 fantasy points per game to slot receivers and will have his hands full in this one vs Beasley.
Patrick has gone over this total in all but two games since Week 3. He will be facing a Bills Defense that is allowing an average of over 32 fantasy points per game to wide receivers across the previous four weeks. If the Broncos are trailing as expected, he could be in line for additional targets and should be in great shape to get over this total.
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Panthers @ Packers
Recommended Prop Pick:
Aaron Jones, Davante Adams, and Mike Davis more than 2.5 touchdowns
This game has a solid total of 51.5 and should provide plenty of scoring opportunities.
Aaron Jones had a down game against the Lions last week, but could easily rebound against this Panthers Defense. The Panthers have allowed 12 total touchdowns to backs on the season. The Packers are favored by 8.5 points in this game, which could lead to running the ball late in the game. Just two weeks ago, Jones had a massive touchdown run while the Packers were grinding away the clock. I am not saying this will definitely happen this week, but Green Bay should be able to put the Panthers away and give Jones ample opportunities to get in the box.
Adams has been a machine in 2020 as he has currently scored in eight straight games. The Panthers have allowed six touchdowns to wide receivers across the previous four weeks, which ranks fifth-worst in the league. Adams should have no issues continuing his streak of games with a trip to the end zone and could even score multiple times in this one.
The Packers have struggled against running backs in 2020, which is why I have added Mike Davis to this prop. They have given up 309 rushing yards and 179 receiving yards to backs over the previous four weeks. On the season, they have allowed 18 total touchdowns to backs, which is tied for second-worst in the league. Davis is involved in both the running and passing game for the Panthers as noted by him averaging 14 carries and over four receptions per game in the 10 games he has started. He should be able to find success against this defense and definitely belongs in this prop.
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