IDP One-Man Mock Draft for Fantasy Football

Whether you're an analyst or a casual fan, nearly everyone in fantasy football has what we call a "home league." These are the types of leagues where you gather with your oldest and closest friends to drink beer, make fun of each other’s anatomy, and eventually draft a fantasy team that you won’t recognize once you’re sober. These are the kinds of leagues where your friends make picks without their pants on, and someone will inevitably remember the night with a shameful exclamation of, “I saw all the pubes!”

In these home leagues, you can expect the rankings to fly out the window after the first beer, as many of your friends pay a premium for their favorite players. When that’s the type of league you’re in, or if you just play with a bunch of managers who think differently than most analysts do, it pays to think outside of the box in your draft preparations. That’s why I like to do my annual “One Man Mock with Multiple Personalities,” which is my attempt to help you prepare for unorthodox drafts that don’t follow common expectations.

For this Multiple Personality mock, I will project your home league fantasy draft (including Individual Defensive Players) while donning 12 different personalities for 12 different teams. Some of these personalities will have overlap, but each will be driven by fantasy biases and tendencies that most of us are familiar with.

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Diff'rent Strokes

For our purposes, the personalities/teams I will don are as follows….

1. The Steady Eddies- Steady Eddies will avoid injury risks unless the value is just too good, and they will value high-floor assets;
2. The Mavericks- Mavericks aren’t afraid of injured players, typically drafting players they like regardless of position or value;
3. The Hype Trains- These ‘hype’ oriented managers let hyperbole and camp buzz heavily influence their choices;
4. Zero RB 4 Life- Those who utilize the ‘Zero RB’ strategy will wait to draft a running back until round five or later, preferring to load up on talent at other positions instead;
5. The Best Players Available- This team will traditionally draft the best player on their board, regardless of position;
6. Half-Back 2 Da Future- This team utilizes a heavy running back style of drafting;
7. The Basic B's- Basic drafters will lean towards established veterans and big names, often failing to recognize when a vet has hit his wall (i.e., Le’Veon Bell);
8. The Wild Cards- A Wild Card manager, like the Mavericks, will be unpredictable. They will often wait to fill big roster holes until it's too late and will ignore insurance policies;
9. Jack Reacher- Jack Reacher will reach or players… duh;
10. The Trend Setters- This team likes to start the runs on positions like QB and TE rather than be at their end. They value having the best player at a position, regardless of positional depth;
11. Voodoo Veterans- Imagine this team is run by one of those loud-mouthed fantasy football analysts on Twitter who doesn’t know when to stop patting themselves on the back (aka Yours Truly);
12. Chalk Blockers- This team will stick closely to their app’s ADP (average draft position), rarely deviate from the app’s recommendation for who to pick.

With that covered, it’s also important for you to understand that we will be mocking/drafting in the most common and shallow of IDP formats here.  The league rules we will be using are as follows….

1. This league will use just one DL position, one LB, and one DB;
2. Our IDP scoring for this mock consists of:
   1. 1-point per solo-tackle
   2. ½-point for a half-tackle
   3. 3-points for sacks
   4. 2-points for safeties/PDs/FR, and
   5. 4-points for forced turnovers (i.e., INTs and FFs).
3. This will be a redraft format, not dynasty;
4. This will be a Non-Superflex draft, meaning only one starting QB for each team.

Now, if you’ve made it through all of that explanation, we can finally get on to the fun stuff! So, without further ado, let’s get to the picks!

 

Rounds 1 & 2

Round	Pick	Fantasy Team	Player	NFL Team	Pos.
1	1	Steady Eddies	Christian McCaffrey	Panthers	RB
1	2	Mavericks	Dalvin Cook	Vikings	RB
1	3	The Hype Trains	Derrick Henry	Titans	RB
1	4	Zero RB 4 Life	Travis Kelce	Chiefs	TE
1	5	The Best Players Available	Alvin Kamara	Saints	RB
1	6	Half-Back 2 Da Future	Jonathan Taylor	Colts	RB
1	7	The Basic B's	Ezekiel Elliott	Cowboys	RB
1	8	Wild Card	Davante Adams	Packers	WR
1	9	Jack Reacher	Tyreek Hill	Chiefs	WR
1	10	The Trend Setters	Saquon Barkley	Giants	RB
1	11	Voodoo Veterans	Nick Chubb	Browns	RB
1	12	Chalk Blockers	Aaron Jones	Packers	RB
2	13	Chalk Blockers	Austin Ekeler	Chargers	RB
2	14	Voodoo Veterans	Antonio Gibson	WFT	RB
2	15	The Trend Setters	Patrick Mahomes	Chiefs	QB
2	16	Jack Reacher	Darren Waller	Raiders	TE
2	17	Wild Card	D.K. Metcalf	Seahawks	WR
2	18	The Basic B's	Stefon Diggs	Bills	WR
2	19	Half-Back 2 Da Future	Najee Harris	Steelers	RB
2	20	The Best Players Available	DeAndre Hopkins	Cardinals	WR
2	21	Zero RB 4 Life	Calvin Ridley	Falcons	WR
2	22	The Hype Trains	D’Andre Swift	Lions	RB
2	23	Mavericks	A.J. Brown	Titans	WR
2	24	Steady Eddies	Terry McLaurin	WFT	WR

Toilet Trends:

• When you think about taking Patrick Mahomes early in your Non-Superflex drafts, think twice. The difference between fantasy’s QB1 and QB12 has been 8.2 fantasy points per game over the past three seasons. Meanwhile, the difference between an RB1/WR1 and a lower-tier RB2/WR2 is often double-digit fantasy points per game. Additionally, since 2016 the first quarterback selected in fantasy drafts has finished as QB12 on average. If you factor Aaron Rodgers’ lost 2017 season out of that equation, the average fantasy finish for top-drafted quarterbacks is just QB8. The highest that any of these premium-priced passers have finished during this span is QB4.

• One team that should be concerned with how this mock is falling is Wild Card. There are already 13 RBs off the board by the end of this second round, and three more (J.K. Dobbins, Joe Mixon, and Clyde Edwards-Helaire) are likely to be gone before Wild Card picks again. Wild Card may have to settle for a mid-tier RB2 as his top rusher, which is a less than ideal result for a team that didn’t set out intending to go Zero RB.

Magical Moves:

• Half-Back 2 Da Future and the Voodoo Veterans both start this draft off by solidifying their RB position. Jonathan Taylor, Najee Harris, Antonio Gibson, and Nick Chubb are high-end rushers who are virtually guaranteed high volume. Voodoo, in particular, proves that you can have a promising start to your draft despite starting with a late pick, nabbing Gibson in the second round to give himself a decided edge at RB2 every week. This start will likely pay dividends later, when others are trying to fill the RB position with scraps while Voodoo is adding high-upside WRs at a discount.

 

Rounds 3-5

Round	Pick	Fantasy Team	Player	NFL Team	Pos.
3	25	Steady Eddies	J.K. Dobbins	Ravens	RB
3	26	Mavericks	Justin Jefferson	Vikings	WR
3	27	The Hype Trains	Joe Mixon	Bengals	RB
3	28	Zero RB 4 Life	CeeDee Lamb	Cowboys	WR
3	29	The Best Players Available	Clyde Edwards-Helaire	Chiefs	RB
3	30	Half-Back 2 Da Future	Allen Robinson	Bears	WR
3	31	The Basic B's	George Kittle	49ers	TE
3	32	Wild Card	David Montgomery	Bears	RB
3	33	Jack Reacher	Josh Allen	Bills	QB
3	34	The Trend Setters	Keenan Allen	Chargers	WR
3	35	Voodoo Veterans	Mike Evans	Buccaneers	WR
3	36	Chalk Blockers	Miles Sanders	Eagles	RB
4	37	Chalk Blockers	D.J. Moore	Panthers	WR
4	38	Voodoo Veterans	T.J. Hockenson	Lions	TE
4	39	The Trend Setters	Chris Carson	Seahawks	RB
4	40	Jack Reacher	Ja’Marr Chase	Bengals	WR
4	41	Wild Card	Kyle Pitts	Falcons	TE
4	42	The Basic B's	Josh Jacobs	Raiders	RB
4	43	Half-Back 2 Da Future	James Robinson	Jaguars	RB
4	44	The Best Players Available	Robert Woods	Rams	WR
4	45	Zero RB 4 Life	Lamar Jackson	Ravens	QB
4	46	The Hype Trains	Diontae Johnson	Steelers	WR
4	47	Mavericks	Mark Andrews	Ravens	TE
4	48	Steady Eddies	Darrell Henderson	Rams	RB
5	49	Steady Eddies	Chris Godwin	Buccaneers	WR
5	50	Mavericks	Kyler Murray	Cardinals	QB
5	51	The Hype Trains	Brandon Aiyuk	49ers	WR
5	52	Zero RB 4 Life	Javonte Williams	Broncos	RB
5	53	The Best Players Available	Amari Cooper	Cowboys	WR
5	54	Half-Back 2 Da Future	Chase Claypool	Steelers	WR
5	55	The Basic B's	Tee Higgins	Bengals	WR
5	56	Wild Card	Jerry Jeudy	Broncos	WR
5	57	Jack Reacher	Mike Davis	Falcons	RB
5	58	The Trend Setters	Cooper Kupp	Rams	WR
5	59	Voodoo Veterans	Myles Gaskin	Dolphins	RB
5	60	Chalk Blockers	Julio Jones	Titans	RB

Toilet Trends to Avoid:

• Najee Harris is the Only Rookie Worthy of a Top-50 Redraft Pick- Ja’Marr Chase and Kyle Pitts are elite long-term talents, but they are being drafted like established stars. Chase is currently struggling with drops and separation issues that were glaringly obvious during his limited time against Washington this past week. Meanwhile, Pitts investors need to remember that no rookie TE in the history of fantasy has come close to producing like the top-40 pick he currently is. Chase and Pitts should be good fantasy assets as rookies, but they are currently being drafted near their ceiling. Factor in their downside, and they should be going a full round later than their current fourth-round ADP.
• More QBs Going Too High: Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson, and Kyler Murray are all great players. I won’t be taking any of them in the top-50 picks of Non-Superflex formats. We discussed why earlier.

Magical Moves:

• Lions Will Lean on Hock: Jared Goff has targeted the TE position 8.58 times per game since 2019, despite having weapons like Robert Woods and Cooper Kupp at his disposal. With no established wide receivers on the Detroit roster, expect Goff to target his tight ends even more than he has in the past. A vast majority of those targets should go to T.J. Hockenson, who ran a route on 66.4% of his plays and saw the 12th most snaps of any TE in the NFL last year. If Travis Kelce cedes his crown as fantasy’s top tight end in 2021, the MVP of Tight End University is as likely a successor as anyone.
• Zero RB Breathes Sigh of Relief: Here, you can see why the Zero RB strategy can be risky. In this mock, the Zero RB 4 Life squad waits until round five to take an RB (which isn’t as late as some push their luck). That wait leaves them choosing between the risky high-upside play of Javonte Williams and a sturdy mid-tier back like Myles Gaskin. Zero RB strategy demands you go with upside, so Williams was the pick.

 

Rounds 6-9

Round	Pick	Fantasy Team	Player	NFL Team	Pos.
6	61	Chalk Blockers	Adam Thielen	Vikings	WR
6	62	Voodoo Veterans	Tyler Lockett	Seahawks	WR
6	63	The Trend Setters	Kenny Golladay	Giants	WR
6	64	Jack Reacher	Damien Harris	Patriots	RB
6	65	Wild Card	Kareem Hunt	Browns	RB
6	66	The Basic B's	Chase Edmonds	Cardinals	RB
6	67	Half-Back 2 Da Future	DeVonta Smith	Eagles	WR
6	68	The Best Players Available	Courtland Sutton	Broncos	WR
6	69	Zero RB 4 Life	Trey Sermon	49ers	RB
6	70	The Hype Trains	Dak Prescott	Cowboys	QB
6	71	Mavericks	JuJu Smith-Schuster	Steelers	WR
6	72	Steady Eddies	Tyler Boyd	Bengals	WR
7	73	Steady Eddies	Aaron Rodgers	Packers	QB
7	74	Mavericks	Michael Thomas	Saints	WR
7	75	The Hype Trains	Michael Carter	Jets	RB
7	76	Zero RB 4 Life	Robby Anderson	Panthers	WR
7	77	The Best Players Available	Justin Herbert	Chargers	QB
7	78	Half-Back 2 Da Future	Raheem Mostert	49ers	RB
7	79	The Basic B's	Odell Beckham Jr.	Browns	WR
7	80	Wild Card	Laviska Shenault Jr.	Jaguars	WR
7	81	Jack Reacher	D.J. Chark	Jaguars	WR
7	82	The Trend Setters	T.J. Watt	Steelers	DL/LB
7	83	Voodoo Veterans	Deebo Samuel	49ers	WR
7	84	Chalk Blockers	Jalen Hurts	Eagles	QB
8	85	Chalk Blockers	Noah Fant	Broncos	TE
8	86	Voodoo Veterans	Antonio Brown	Buccaneers	WR
8	87	The Trend Setters	Darius Leonard	Colts	LB
8	88	Jack Reacher	Chase Young	WFT	DL
8	89	Wild Card	Devin White	Buccaneers	LB
8	90	The Basic B's	Russell Wilson	Seahawks	QB
8	91	Half-Back 2 Da Future	A.J. Dillon	Packers	RB
8	92	The Best Players Available	Dallas Goedert	Eagles	TE
8	93	Zero RB 4 Life	Jaylen Waddle	Dolphins	WR
8	94	The Hype Trains	Corey Davis	Jets	WR
8	95	Mavericks	Ronald Jones II	Buccaneers	RB
8	96	Steady Eddies	Budda Baker	Cardinals	DB
9	97	Steady Eddies	Michael Pittman Jr.	Colts	WR
9	98	Mavericks	Curtis Samuel	WFT	WR
9	99	The Hype Trains	Brandin Cooks	Texans	WR
9	100	Zero RB 4 Life	Will Fuller	Dolphins	WR
9	101	The Best Players Available	Myles Garrett	Browns	DL
9	102	Half-Back 2 Da Future	Joe Burrow	Bengals	QB
9	103	The Basic B's	Elijah Moore	Jets	WR
9	104	Wild Card	Jamal Adams	Seahawks	DB
9	105	Jack Reacher	Leonard Fournette	Buccaneers	RB
9	106	The Trend Setters	Derwin James	Chargers	DB
9	107	Voodoo Veterans	Tom Brady	Buccaneers	QB
9	108	Chalk Blockers	Marvin Jones Jr.	Jaguars	WR

Toilet Trends to Avoid:

• Wrong 49ers Back Will Likely Go First- Trey Sermon is unquestionably the 49ers back to roster in dynasty leagues. However, people are underrating Raheem Mostert in redraft formats. The San Francisco backfield will be a timeshare, and Mostert has easily been outshining his younger counterparts in camp so far. Expect the fastest player on the 49ers (Mostert) to start games, as Coach Shanahan has shown a preference for starting veteran backs in the past, and end expect the veteran to lead the backfield in big plays.

 Magical Moves:

• Jets Receiver Group May Surprise: Since the NFL Draft, Yours Truly has been touting the fantasy merits of Jets rookie receiver Elijah Moore. Unfortunately, Moore has missed New York’s first two preseason games due to injury, which has allowed Corey Davis to get serious run with Zach Wilson. While Moore still holds tremendous upside, Davis now looks to lead this team in targets by a considerable margin.

Defender Drops:

• Several Defenders Go Where They Should: In shallow IDP leagues like the one we are playing in here, and most others, there are clear and defined tiers. T.J. Watt and Darius Leonard are in a tier of their own. They deserve to go within the first 90 picks of most IDP drafts, largely because they have a long history of dominating their given positions, and there's little reason to believe they will stop anytime soon. Watt, in particular, is the Christian McCaffrey of defenders in leagues where he has DL eligibility.
• The second tier of defenders comprises Devin White, Myles Garrett, Chase Young, Jamal Adams, and Budda Baker. This tier consists of the two best DBs in fantasy right now (though they are less dominant at their position than Watt or Leonard) and three elite young players who can close the fantasy gap on Leonard and Watt this year. It is excusable to take these players somewhere between picks 90 and 100 of shallow IDP formats.
• Once you hit the third tier of defenders, you should feel comfortable waiting to draft tacklers until the later rounds of a shallower IDP draft. The gap in fantasy value closes considerably once you get past the top-tier defenders, especially when you factor in the injury concerns surrounding stars like Nick Bosa and Derwin James.

 

Rounds 10-13

Round	Pick	Fantasy Team	Player	NFL Team	Pos.
10	109	Chalk Blockers	Joey Bosa	Chargers	DL
10	110	Voodoo Veterans	Mecole Hardman	Chiefs	WR
10	111	The Trend Setters	Zack Moss	Bills	RB
10	112	Jack Reacher	Henry Ruggs III	Raiders	WR
10	113	Wild Card	Matthew Stafford	Rams	QB
10	114	The Basic B’s	Tony Pollard	Cowboys	RB
10	115	Half-Back 2 Da Future	Darnell Mooney	Bears	WR
10	116	The Best Players Available	Nyheim Hynes	Colts	RB
10	117	Zero RB 4 Life	Melvin Gordon	Broncos	RB
10	118	The Hype Trains	Marquez Callaway	Saints	WR
10	119	Mavericks	Alexander Mattison	Vikings	RB
10	120	Steady Eddies	DeVante Parker	Dolphins	WR
11	121	Steady Eddies	Gus Edwards	Ravens	RB
11	122	Mavericks	Nick Bosa	49ers	DL
11	123	The Hype Trains	Irv Smith Jr.	Vikings	TE
11	124	Zero RB 4 Life	James Conner	Cardinals	RB
11	125	The Best Players Available	Jordan Poyer	Bills	DB
11	126	Half-Back 2 Da Future	Logan Thomas	WFT	TE
11	127	The Basic B’s	Danielle Hunter	Vikings	DL
11	128	Wild Card	Devin Singletary	Bills	RB
11	129	Jack Reacher	Jeremy Chinn	Panthers	DB
11	130	The Trend Setters	Adam Trautman	Saints	TE
11	131	Voodoo Veterans	Latavius Murray	Saints	RB
11	132	Chalk Blockers	Kenyan Drake	Raiders	RB
12	133	Chalk Blockers	Rhamondre Stevenson	Patriots	RB
12	134	Voodoo Veterans	Sony Michel	Rams	RB
12	135	The Trend Setters	Jamaal Williams	Lions	RB
12	136	Jack Reacher	Roquan Smith	Bears	LB
12	137	Wild Card	Aaron Donald	Rams	DL
12	138	The Basic B’s	Blake Martinez	Giants	LB
12	139	Half-Back 2 Da Future	Bobby Wagner	Seahawks	LB
12	140	The Best Players Available	Rashod Bateman	Ravens	WR
12	141	Zero RB 4 Life	Brian Burns	Panthers	DL
12	142	The Hype Trains	Amon-Ra St. Brown	Lions	WR
12	143	Mavericks	Phillip Lindsay	Texans	RB
12	144	Steady Eddies	Fred Warner	49ers	LB
13	145	Steady Eddies	Mike Gesicki	Dolphins	TE
13	146	Mavericks	Jessie Bates III	Bengals	DB
13	147	The Hype Trains	Micah Parsons	Cowboys	LB
13	148	Zero RB 4 Life	Zach Cunningham	Texans	LB
13	149	The Best Players Available	Michael Gallup	Cowboys	WR
13	150	Half-Back 2 Da Future	Cole Kmet	Bears	TE
13	151	The Basic B’s	Jarvis Landry	Browns	WR
13	152	Wild Card	Marquise Brown	Ravens	WR
13	153	Jack Reacher	J.D. McKissic	WFT	RB
13	154	The Trend Setters	Jonnu Smith	Patriots	TE
13	155	Voodoo Veterans	Antoine Winfield Jr.	Buccaneers	DB
13	156	Chalk Blockers	James White	Patriots	RB

Moves Worth Mentioning:

• Defender Central: This range of picks is where you can expect the majority of starting defenders to go in your standard shallow IDP formats. Rounds 11-13 are the sweet spot for defenders in shallow IDP leagues like this because the upside of offensive players finally drops below that of tacklers. While you should expect these types of starting-caliber defenders to be off the board earlier in deep IDP leagues or premium defensive scoring formats, this is the range to target defenders in most IDP leagues.
• Fighting Back(s): Many timeshare and specialty backs are likely to be targeted in this range, particularly by teams that passed on RB early. Players like J.D. McKissic and Nyheim Hines have proven they can be inconsistent RB2 options in deeper leagues if they get plenty of targets… but those targets are anything but guaranteed. This run on passing down backs and backup runners is one reason most analysts target RBs early. There's far more volatility and less upside with these lower-tier RBs than the WRs going in this range.
• Defenders Worth More Than Their ADP: While there are plenty of good defenders on the board in this range, there are a few who stand out as bargains in this range. One is last year’s breakout safety Jeremy Chinn, who should still be a starting-caliber fantasy DB despite changing to a full-time safety position this year. Another target worth paying for here is Micah Parsons. He has the talent to be a top-three fantasy LB as a rookie, and he is getting every-down run with Dallas this preseason. Parsons is now firmly in the LB1 conversation, with fantasy upside comparable to any other ‘backer in the NFL.

 

Rounds 14-16

Round	Pick	Fantasy Team	Player	NFL Team	Pos.
14	157	Chalk Blockers	Foyesade Oluokun	Falcons	LB/DB
14	158	Voodoo Veterans	Khalil Mack	Bears	DL/LB
14	159	The Trend Setters	Quez Watkins	Eagles	WR
14	160	Jack Reacher	Rondale Moore	Cardinals	WR
14	161	Wild Card	Gio Bernard	Buccaneers	RB
14	162	The Basic B's	Landon Collins	WFT	DB
14	163	Half-Back 2 Da Future	Za’Darius Smith	Packers	DL/LB
14	164	The Best Players Available	Joe Schobert	Steelers	LB
14	165	Zero RB 4 Life	Jabrill Peppers	Giants	DB
14	166	The Hype Trains	Justin Fields	Bears	QB
14	167	Mavericks	Lavonte David	Buccaneers	LB
14	168	Steady Eddies	Jason Pierre-Paul	Buccaneers	DL/LB
15	169	Steady Eddies	Chuba Hubbard	Panthers	RB
15	170	Mavericks	Russell Gage	Falcons	WR
15	171	The Hype Trains	John Johnson III	Browns	DB
15	172	Zero RB 4 Life	Parris Campbell	Colts	WR
15	173	The Best Players Available	Salvon Ahmed	Dolphins	RB
15	174	Half-Back 2 Da Future	Vonn Bell	Bengals	DB
15	175	The Basic B's	A.J. Green	Cardinals	WR
15	176	Wild Card	Trey Lance	49ers	QB
15	177	Jack Reacher	Kenneth Gainwell	Eagles	RB
15	178	The Trend Setters	Nico Collins	Texans	WR
15	179	Voodoo Veterans	Cole Beasley	Bills	WR
15	180	Chalk Blockers	Bryan Edwards	Raiders	WR
16	181	Chalk Blockers	Justin Simmons	Broncos	DB
16	182	Voodoo Veterans	Eric Kendricks	Vikings	LB
16	183	The Trend Setters	Terrace Marshall	Panthers	WR
16	184	Jack Reacher	Mike Williams	Chargers	WR
16	185	Wild Card	Rob Gronkowski	Buccaneers	TE
16	186	The Basic B's	Robert Tonyan	Packers	TE
16	187	Half-Back 2 Da Future	Gabriel Davis	Bills	WR
16	188	The Best Players Available	Tua Tagovailoa	Dolphins	QB
16	189	Zero RB 4 Life	T.Y. Hilton	Colts	WR
16	190	The Hype Trains	Deshaun Watson	Texans	QB
16	191	Mavericks	Dyami Brown	WFT	WR
16	192	Steady Eddies	Jamison Crowder	Jets	WR

Moves Worth Mentioning:

• Rounding Out Defenders to Close Draft: Like in most drafts with D/ST units, look for many people to clean up their defensive positions in these final rounds if the IDP format is shallow. If you waited past the 11th round, what's a couple more? Look to target upside in this range rather than floor, though many of your friends will just take the guys whose name they recognize or who is highest on their draft list since the draft is getting late and they are starting to sober up. Titans defensive tackle Jeffery Simmons, Cardinals linebacker Zaven Collins, and Washington safety Kamren Curl are worth late-round investments if you waited on defense until the end.
• Waiting on QB Can Pay Off in Non-Superflex: One promising strategy in single QB leagues is to wait until the very end, then nab two high upside passers late. A combination of Tua Tagovailoa plus either Justin Fields or Trey Lance gives you two shots to land a very high-upside passer for incredibly cheap, allowing you to get another starter at RB or WR while your friends invest in Mahomes or Jackson.

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