X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Free MLB Betting Picks - Today's Best Bets, Expert Predictions, Odds (5/22/23)

tanner houck fantasy baseball rankings draft sleepers waiver wire pickups

John Brubaker's top MLB betting picks and best bets for today's MLB games on 5/22/23. His free picks against the spread, game totals, NRFI, and other various baseball bets.

Happy Monday, RotoBallers! As a washed baseball player myself, it's simply not enough to get my fix in a men's league, which opens up tonight. I'm stoked to be back to provide some MLB picks again this year. We had a rough regular season in the articles in 2022 but bounced back significantly, going 17-6-4 en route to +6.71 units in the postseason. Let's hope that postseason success rolls into 2023.

Attention, fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

If you're new or just a refresher to those who read my articles last season, I'm John Brubaker. I've been betting on MLB baseball games for five years now, and this is my third MLB season working with the great folks at RotoBaller. I've created my own betting model to help me create and identify value on run lines, totals, and moneylines, among many other things! In this article, I'll provide my favorite betting picks for the MLB games on Monday, May 22, 2023. I'm continuously working to improve my models to make them more accurate, and as the season progresses, I'll share the data I have on my personal Twitter @LucidMediaDFS. Feel free to give me a follow if you haven't already, and do not hesitate to ask any questions! My DMs are always open. With all of that said, let's break down some baseball games.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code SUMMER. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

LucidMedia's 2023 MLB Betting Picks

2023 Regular Season: 24-20 (-1.59 units)

 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Red Sox @ Angels

O/U: 9.5 | Moneyline: LAA -110
BOS: Tanner Houck | LAA: Jaime Barria

It seems we've been caught in the "1-1" trap that I fell into last year. We'll look to get it back this evening by hanging out west, starting with the Red Sox and Angels series in Anaheim.

The Red Sox will be sending Tanner Houck (3-3, 5.48 ERA) to the mound. Houck's 2023 doesn't seem to be great on the surface, but according to FanGraphs, he's been a bit unlucky. His 3.97 xERA and 3.96 xFIP point to some positive regression, and my model projecting him to a 4.04 SIERA in this one sees to this point. The Angels project poorly against Houck, with a .296 projected wOBA and 28.23% hard contact rate.

Houck will likely be matched up with Jaime Barria of the Angels. Barria (1-0, 1.96 ERA) would be making his first start of the season but is the projected starter for the Angels at this time. His 1.96 ERA is impressive, though he is due for some regression with his 3.15 xERA and 3.77 xFIP. He projects to a 4.03 SIERA against a Red Sox lineup with a relatively impressive .374 projected wOBA, but just a 25.73% hard contact rate.

While the Red Sox's wOBA is slightly concerning, I think we're getting really good value on the under here, as long as it's Barria starting for LA. We can get that at -120 on DraftKings here.

Pick: Under 9.5 (-120), DraftKings Sportsbook, 1.2 units to win 1 unit.

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

Featured Promo: Get any Betting Premium Pass for 50% off using code SUMMER. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Athletics @ Mariners

O/U: 7.5  | Moneyline: SEA -305
OAK: Kyle Muller | SEA: Luis Castillo

I'll finish the night up by going after Kyle Muller and the Triple-As. We hardly ever see moneylines higher than -300 in MLB, but here we are.

The A's will be sending Kyle Muller (1-3, 7.71 ERA) to the mound tonight. Muller has somehow regressed across his last three starts, allowing a 2.03 WHIP and 10.80 ERA. Somehow, the A's have won two of those three starts. I don't see that happening today, as he projects to a 5.15 SIERA against a Mariners lineup that projects to a .334 wOBA and a massive 48.73% hard contact rate.

The Mariners will send Luis Castillo (2-2, 3.31 ERA) to the mound. Castillo, like Muller, has also seemed to regress across his last three starts. The Mariners have lost all three of those starts as Castillo struggled with a 1.29 WHIP and 6.35 ERA. He projects to a good outing today though, with a 3.32 SIERA and 30.93% strikeout rate against the A's here. While the A's bring in a solid 32.91% projected hard contact rate into this one, the .296 wOBA is just too low to be inspired.

It's a chalky pick, I know, but I feel like it's the right pick here. We can get the Mariners' run line at -140 here, and I have no problem grabbing it at that price.

 Pick: Mariners -1.5 (-140), FanDuel Sportsbook, 1.40 units to win 1 unit.

Good luck, RotoBallers, and follow my Twitter for more plays!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jonathan Kuminga

Declines Latest Offers from Golden State
Michael Woods II

Waived on Wednesday
Ryan Helsley

Mets Acquiring Ryan Helsley From Cardinals
Juwan Johnson

Dealing With Groin Injury
Christian Darrisaw

Takes Part in Team Drills on Wednesday
Curtis Samuel

Elijah Moore, Curtis Samuel Could be Back Soon
Jerome Ford

Takes Part in Team Drills on Wednesday
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

More Than a Slot Receiver
Jhoan Duran

Acquired by Phillies
Brandon Lowe

Activated and Playing on Wednesday
Blake Snell

Scheduled to Make his Return on Saturday
Jeff Wilson Jr.

49ers Work Out Jeff Wilson Jr., D'Ernest Johnson
Juan Soto

Mets Hopeful Juan Soto will Return on Friday
Jordan Whittington

Mike LaFleur Praises Jordan Whittington
Jaydon Blue

Gets Work With First-Team Offense on Wednesday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. has Calf Strain, Could Return in 2-3 Weeks
Zay Flowers

Sitting Out of Wednesday's Practice
Joe Burrow

Says Wednesday's Practice was "Best I've Thrown in Years"
Cam Ward

Says Titans Offense Has Been "Very Mid"
Maxwell Hairston

Week-to-Week with Knee Injury
Shedeur Sanders

Competes Against First-Team Defense on Wednesday
Matthew Stafford

Rams Confident Matthew Stafford Will Play in Week 1
Juan Soto

Out Against Padres
Brandon Aiyuk

Still No Timetable for Brandon Aiyuk's Return
Ke'Bryan Hayes

Reds Acquiring Ke'Bryan Hayes From Pirates
Jackson Chourio

Out for Series Finale
Trey Hendrickson

Won't Practice as he Waits for New Deal
Seattle Seahawks

Seahawks Give John Schneider a Four-Year Extension
Hunter Renfrow

Out Wednesday With Hamstring Issue
Ian Happ

Won't Go on Injured List
Yordan Alvarez

Eyeing Mid-August Return for Astros
Isaac Paredes

Could Need Season-Ending Surgery
Marquise Brown

Out of Practice on Wednesday
Daniel Jones

Anthony Richardson Sr., Daniel Jones QB Competition Remains Tight
Carlos Correa

Not in Lineup for Series Finale
Gary Woodland

Eyeing Strong Finish to Reach Playoffs
Max McGreevy

Chasing a Miracle at Wyndham
Stephan Jaeger

a Solid Value Play at Wyndham Championship
Max Homa

Fighting to Salvage Disappointing Season
Nicolai Hojgaard

a Sleeper at Wyndham Championship
Rickie Fowler

Riding Quiet Momentum Into Wyndham
Brian Campbell

a Wild Card at Wyndham Championship
Akshay Bhatia

Looking to Flip the Script at Wyndham Championship
Eugenio Suárez

Eugenio Suarez Back in Lineup Wednesday
Aaron Rai

Finishes Tied For 34th at Open Championship
Andrew Novak

Finishes Tied For 63rd at Open Championship
Hideki Matsuyama

Finishes Tied For 16th at Open Championship
Kurt Kitayama

Wins 3M Open
Tom Kim

Finishes Tied For 28th at 3M Open
PGA

Sungjae Im Misses Cut at 3M Open
Max Greyserman

Misses Cut at 3M Open
Jordan Spieth

Looks to End Regular Season on a High Note at Wyndham Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick

Finishes Tied For Fourth at Open Championship
Eric Cole

Misses Cut at 3M Open
Dylan Cease

CT Scans Come Back Negative
Keith Mitchell

Needs a Big Week at Wyndham Championship
Juan Soto

X-Rays on Juan Soto's Foot Come Back Negative
Robert MacIntyre

is the Perfect Kind of Ball-Striker for Wyndham Championship
Charlie McAvoy

Ready to Go for Next Season
Dylan Samberg

Agrees to Three-Year Contract with Jets
Michael Kim

Needs More Solid Finishes
Moisés Ballesteros

Moises Ballesteros to Join MLB Roster
Ian Happ

Exits Tuesday With Bruised Shin, May Require Injured List Stint
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Heading to Injured List With Right-Achilles Tightness
Juan Soto

Exits Early Tuesday With Foot Contusion
Seranthony Domínguez

Juaron Watts-Brown Headed to Baltimore in Seranthony Dominguez Trade
NBA

Thanasis Antetokounmpo Added to Greece Training Camp Roster for EuroBasket 2025
Los Angeles Clippers

Patrick Baldwin Jr. Waived by Clippers
Josh Green

May Not be Ready for Start of Hornets Training Camp
NBA

Thomas Bryant Set to Move to Greece
Cam Thomas

Nets Far Apart in Contract Talks
Kristaps Porzingis

Feeling "Great" Ahead of New Season
Chris Paul

Hints He Could Extend His Career Beyond the 2025-26 Season
Brandon Miller

Close to 100 Percent
Jayden Struble

Canadiens Lock Up Jayden Struble for Two Years
Robert Whittaker

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Reinier de Ridder

Gets Split-Decision Win
Conor Timmins

Avoids Salary Arbitration with Two-Year Deal
Marcus McGhee

Drops Decision At UFC Abu Dhabi
Toronto Raptors

Colin Castleton Waived by Raptors on Monday
Petr Yan

Extends Win Streak
Marc-Andre Barriault

Suffers Decision Loss
Shara Magomedov

Gets Back In The Win Column
Jose Ochoa

Dominated At UFC Abu Dhabi
MMA

Asu Almbayev Dominates At UFC Abu Dhabi
Nikita Krylov

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Bogdan Guskov

Scores Knockout Win
Kyle Larson

Falls Short of Back-To-Back Victories at Indianapolis
Denny Hamlin

Rallies Into Third Place At Indianapolis
Chase Briscoe

Pit Strategies End up Failing Chase Briscoe at Indianapolis
Ty Gibbs

Wins NASCAR's Inaugural In-Season Challenge Tournament
Ryan Preece

Finishes Fourth but Loses Ground to Playoff Cutline
Brad Keselowski

Has Good Strategy, but Not Enough to Win
Ryan Blaney

Bails from Hail Mary Strategy Attempt but Recovers to Finish Seventh
Tyler Reddick

Eliminated from Brickyard 400 in Crash After Top Five Run
Chicago Bulls

Billy Donovan Agrees to Contract Extension with Chicago
Erik Jones

Is Erik Jones Worth Rostering At Indianapolis This Week?
Carson Hocevar

Is Carson Hocevar Worth Rostering For Indianapolis DFS Lineups?
NASCAR

Could A.J. Allmendinger be A Solid Tournament DFS Option?
Zane Smith

Is a Respectable Value Option for Indianapolis Despite Low Experience
Cole Custer

Is A Solid Value Option for Indianapolis DFS Lineups
Riley Herbst

Is an Unfavorable DFS Option for Indianapolis Lineups
Zeev Buium

Aims for Big Role Next Season
NHL

Conor Sheary Signs Tryout Deal with Rangers
Denny Hamlin

an Easy DFS Target After Wreck in Qualifying
Arvid Soderblom

Agrees to Two-Year Deal with Blackhawks
Kyle Larson

Will Start 13th to Defend Brickyard 400 Crown
Chase Briscoe

on Pole for Brickyard as Momentum Continues to Build
Ryan Blaney

Learned a Lot in Practice at Indianapolis
Brad Keselowski

Should Be Very Strong at Indianapolis
NASCAR

Could Bubba Wallace Challenge for a Brickyard 400 Win on Sunday?
Ryan Preece

Don't Forget About Ryan Preece at Indianapolis
Philadelphia 76ers

Ricky Council IV Waived by Philadelphia
Jonathan Kuminga

Warriors "Haven't Gained Any Traction" on Sign-and-Trade Deal for Jonathan Kuminga
Brett Berard

Played Through Shoulder Injury Last Season
Maxim Tsyplakov

Islanders Re-Sign Maxim Tsyplakov on Two-Year Deal
Jackson Blake

Inks Eight-Year Extension with Hurricanes
Robert Whittaker

Returns At UFC Abu Dhabi
Reinier de Ridder

Set For Main Event
Petr Yan

Set For Co-Main Event
Marcus McGhee

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Marc-Andre Barriault

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Shara Magomedov

Aims To Bounce Back
MMA

Asu Almbayev Looks To Return To The Win Column
Jose Ochoa

Set For His Third UFC Bout
Bogdan Guskov

Set To Open Up UFC Abu Dhabi Main Card
Nikita Krylov

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF