Avoid draft-day mistakes with RotoBaller’s top Fantasy Football Busts and player fade picks. Our experts spotlight overvalued players, risky ADPs, and bust candidates to help you draft smarter.

Do NOT Draft Josh Jacobs for Fantasy Football (2024)
Every offseason, fantasy managers tend to get carried away, positively and negatively, on a handful of players. Their ADPs skyrocket or plummet way more than they should. Oftentimes, when this happens, one overarching narrative quiets out everything else. For these two extremes to occur, many individuals ignore previously known facts. This article will dispel and […]

Fantasy Football RB Busts and Sleepers - Elusiveness
Back before advanced metrics were a thing, we used to look at yards, touchdowns, and fantasy points to determine a player’s value. It’s much more nuanced today, thanks in part to numerous companies that have given life to advanced data. One of those advanced metrics is PlayerProfilers’ Juke Rate, which is essentially a measure of […]

Fantasy Football Veteran RBs Set to Lose Touches in 2024
Over the last decade or so, we’ve seen a shift in the way running backs are valued in the NFL. Heck, they used to be top-10 draft picks. Now, a third-round pick is considered premium draft capital when talking about running backs. While the phenomenon is relatively new, running backs have always had the youngest […]

Sophomore Slump: Can Rashee Rice, Jordan Addison, and Jayden Reed Meet Expectations in Year Two?
Each year, a new, promising crop of rookies enters the NFL. A number of these rookies meet or exceed expectations as first-year players and establish themselves as rising stars in the professional ranks. Many then proceed to ascend further in subsequent seasons. However, not all of these young talents continue on their upward trajectories; some […]

Fantasy Football Veteran Wide Receivers Set to Lose Targets in 2024
Some of fantasy football’s favorite receivers might not put up the numbers in 2024 that they did in 2023 and past years, and it is because they will not have the opportunities to catch passes they used to. Just like a hitter in baseball is dependent upon the amount of plate appearances he gets, a […]

Avoid These Rookie Wide Receivers in 2024: Fantasy Football Outlook
As fantasy football enthusiasts gear up for another exhilarating season, the search for rookie talent is always a tempting venture. However, caution must be exercised amidst the excitement of potential breakout stars, especially regarding rookie wide receivers. While some first-year players may dazzle with their athleticism and potential, others may struggle to acclimate to the […]

Avoid These Wide Receivers in 2024: Fantasy Football Outlook
There's still a lot of time between now and the start of the 2024 NFL season, but some people are already drafting, whether it be really early redraft leagues or best ball leagues. That means it's never too early to talk about overvalued players. Sometimes, guys are good, but not quite as good as their current […]

2024 Fantasy Football: Positive TD Regression Candidates At Running Back
Touchdowns are the name of the game in fantasy football, especially at running back, wide receiver, and tight end. In most leagues, both rushing and receiving touchdowns count for six points. In a half-PPR league, that's the same thing as 10 carries for 40 yards and two catches for 10 yards. Needless to say, touchdowns […]

2024 NFL Draft - Potential Busts In First-Round Fantasy Football Rookie Drafts
The fantasy football offseason is an interesting time for dynasty players. With the combine behind us and the NFL Draft just ahead, we have collected nearly every bit of information we need aside from landing spots. This year's class brings in a new wave of gifted athletes primed to impact the NFL and our fantasy […]

Fantasy Football: 2024 Positive TD Regression Candidates At WR
Touchdowns are the name of the game in fantasy football, especially at running back, wide receiver, and tight end. In most leagues, both rushing and receiving touchdowns count for six points. In a half-PPR league, that's the same thing as three catches for 45 yards. Now that we're on the topic of touchdowns, this article […]

Avoid These Tight Ends in 2024: Fantasy Football Outlook
My friend Andrew Cooper (@CoopAFiasco on X) says it all the time. To be a top-producing tight end for fantasy football, you have to be one of two things, an athletic freak or a top-2 target earner on your team. Preferably both, with a lean toward being a top-2 target earner first. But it's an […]

Newly Signed Free Agents with Bust Potential in 2024 - Fantasy Football Preview
NFL free agency is starting to wind down. Things felt completely out of control this year (in a good way) and left us on the edge of our seats. We saw some major player movement, and there have been times when a player’s fantasy football production has improved after a team change. Christian Kirk and […]

Three Overvalued Fantasy Football Rookies- 2024 NFL Draft Outlooks
The 2024 NFL Draft is fast approaching. Also around the corner are dynasty fantasy football rookie drafts. It’s the most exciting time of the year. There’s nothing like drafting your favorite college players and watching them become stars on your dynasty team. As fun as that sounds, there are players who disappoint every draft cycle. […]

Next Gen Stats Review: 2023 Quarterbacks and Passing Advanced Stats
We're wrapping up the Next Gen Stats review with quarterbacks after covering running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends. As someone who dives into advanced metrics often, Next Gen Stats is a free resource to look at common and slightly different stats. We often use adjusted yards per attempt, air yards, and on-target percentages for quarterbacks However, Next Gen […]

Early Fantasy Football Running Back Sleepers for Best Ball Drafts (2024)
So what's a "sleeper" anyway? In its purest form, it's a player that's being "slept" on. They are players who should be valued more highly by the fantasy football community for one reason or another. No, De'Von Achane is not a sleeper, stop kidding yourself. But maybe Raheem Mostert is? Maybe, maybe not, considering the […]

Players to Avoid in Best Ball Fantasy Football Drafts (2024)
In my first article of the offseason, I highlighted four players to target in 2024 Best Ball leagues. In this article, I'll turn my attention to players you should avoid drafting in Best Ball leagues this season. There are lots of reasons to avoid a player in Best Ball, whether it's a new role, a […]

Next Gen Stats Review: 2023 Wide Receivers and Tight Ends
A while back, we covered the Next Gen Stats for running backs, including rushing yards over expected and the percentage of plays with eight or more defenders in the box. Check out the running back review of the Next Gen Stats, as it adds a layer to player analysis. We love the advanced stats for […]

Next Gen Stats Review: 2023 Running Backs
Many know Next Gen Stats for the fastest ball carriers in the NFL, which tracks a player's top speed in miles per hour (mph) on a given play. DK Metcalf had a 73-yard touchdown score that registered 22.23 mph, with Chase Brown (22.05) and Tyreek Hill (22.01) making a reception as the only three players […]

Top Fantasy Football Rebound Candidates For 2024 Including Patrick Mahomes, Josh Jacobs, and Drake London
We may be in the heat of basketball season, but we're discussing a different kind of rebound today. Some of the most talented athletes in the world have suboptimal seasons but there's often a bounceback year in the near future. The talent isn't waning, the circumstances surrounding them have been altered. Below we dive into […]

The Biggest Fantasy Football RB Busts of 2023
Once the cornerstone of fantasy football roster building, running backs have fallen by the wayside to wide receivers, and in some rare cases, tight ends. When managers took the gamble on one in the first or second round, it seemed they couldn't miss. Austin Ekeler, Tony Pollard, and Nick Chubb were all either first-round picks […]

Biggest Fantasy Football Running Back Breakouts of 2023
In the high-stakes world of fantasy football, the running back position is the cornerstone of many winning strategies. Whether it's securing crucial yardage, making key receptions (in PPR formats), or finding the end zone, their multifaceted contributions can make or break a fantasy team's fortunes. Yet, what truly sets the running back position apart is […]

Early 2024 Fantasy Football Breakouts: Running Backs
The 2024 fantasy football season is still months away. Yet, it’s never too early to start preparing for your fantasy drafts. Every year, fantasy players want to pick players who will outperform their average draft position (ADP) and avoid players who will bust. However, finding sleepers and breakout players is critical to winning your fantasy […]

The Biggest Fantasy Football TE Busts Of 2023
We are at that part of the NFL offseason where very little news breaks. The NFL Combine doesn't start for a week, and free agents can't sign until March. So, now is the perfect time to look back and see where we might have gone wrong in fantasy football drafts this past year, especially at […]

Biggest Breakouts of the 2023 NFL Season: Quarterback
The value of quarterbacks in the fantasy football realm has never been higher. Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, and Lamar Jackson are or have been in the MVP conversation more often than not. The next generation of signal callers are all pushing to have their names listed among the best. First, they have to […]

The Biggest Fantasy Football WR Busts of 2023
We saw a big change at the top of fantasy drafts in 2023 with several wide receivers going in the first two rounds. Justin Jefferson was the almost unanimous first-overall pick, while Ja'Marr Chase, Cooper Kupp, and Tyreek Hill all went in the top seven. Jefferson and Kupp dealt with injuries and Chase had a […]

The Biggest Fantasy Football QB Busts Of 2023
The NFL season is officially over, and we now look forward to free agency and the 2024 NFL Draft over the next couple of months. It was a wild year to say the least after the Kansas City Chiefs won their third Super Bowl title over the past five seasons with a victory over the […]

Will Kayshon Boutte Be Suspended? 2024 Fantasy Football Outlook
The New England Patriots organization is going through major reconstruction in 2024. They have a new head coach for the first time in 24 years, a top 3 draft pick for the first time in two decades, and are undergoing a necessary rebuild that could last longer than some fans might like. The last thing […]

Is Jaxon Smith-Njigba Bound To Be A Bust Or Can He Rebound From His Rookie Season?
Sometimes, players just aren't as good as we thought they were as prospects. It happens every single draft cycle. Efficiency numbers don't line up with what's to be expected. A dysfunctional coaching staff tears down their confidence. Combine results don't translate to game action. There's a myriad of things that can go wrong. It was […]

Is Quentin Johnston Bound To Be A Bust Or Can He Rebound From His Rookie Season?
"...At 6-foot-4 ... weighing 215 pounds ... from TCU ... Quentin Johnston!!!" Johnston's profile emulates a starting shooting guard in the NBA. Not only does he have the size of an elite athlete, but his speed enticed NFL general managers last April. With that blend of length, build, and agility, how could he fail? Inconsistency […]