
Champ or Chump: Trent Grisham and Anthony Santander
With NFL training camps getting started, it can be easy to abandon an underperforming fantasy baseball roster and start looking toward different sports. Your rivals might also fall into this trap, giving you an opportunity to charge up the standings and salvage your fantasy baseball season. Owners who stopped paying attention are unlikely to have […]

Mets Muddle the Trade Deadline
Thought to be sellers, the New York Mets were 52 -55 at the MLB trade deadline, putting them 11 games back in NL East, and 4.5 games back in the Wild Card race. But the Mets continued to confound their fan base by not only failing to sell the valuable assets that everyone assumed that […]

Identifying Burnout for Starting Pitchers (Before It's Too Late!)
We live in the era of data. There are numbers everywhere, and more than in any other place (in the context of sports), in baseball. Statistics have been a fundamental part of the batted-ball rounds for decades now. And as couldn't be otherwise, more and more franchises are at the cutting edge, putting analysis to […]

Strikeout Rate Risers and Fallers - Buy or Sell for Week 19
Welcome back to the strikeout rate risers and fallers series for Week 19! Each week we will take a look at two K% risers and two fallers, analyze what is behind those changes, and then decide if they are actionable. A pitcher can best control their fate by generating swings and misses, so this exercise […]

The Cut List (Week 19) - Time to Let Go?
The trade deadline has come and gone. Arguably only one widely-rostered player, Luke Jackson, became unusable thanks to a trade at the deadline. So not much has changed around here. It's now really getting to that point in the fantasy season where cuts are going to be highly based on statistical needs, which are much […]

Buy or Sell: Undervalued and Overvalued Players for Week 19
Today's piece covers a set of players who either should not be available on waivers or will return back there soon. Most of the earlier editions of this recurring buy or sell article have included several universally owned players whose values have been manipulated enough by early-season performances. Unfortunately, as we get deeper into the year, the […]

Jesús Aguilar Heads to Rays - Fantasy Implications
In what can be considered an overlooked trade by the standards of a deadline day (Greinke to Houston, Stroman to Mets, etc), both Tampa and Milwaukee engaged into discussions and finished the day with a deal. The operation ended being a one-for-one trade with a hitter going in one direction and a relief pitcher the […]

Under-the-Radar Hitters On the Move
As it came, it went. We've just flipped our calendars to August and, opposite to what has been the norm forever, there will be no more impact trades this season as the MLB opted to install a hard deadline on July 31st. Everything that had to move, moved. Everything that had to stay put, stayed. […]

Champ or Chump: Bo Bichette and Yasiel Puig
The Trade Deadline has come and gone, leaving chaos in its wake. The Mets continue to prove why player agents should not be general managers, as Marcus Stroman's 2.96 ERA looks primed for regression (4.06 xFIP) and he never gets strikeouts (19.3 K% this season). While the Blue Jays appear to be on the rise […]

Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds: Hard-Hit Rate for Week 18
Welcome back to RotoBaller’s pitchers Statcast studs and duds article series! Each week we will select an advanced stat, choose two risers and two fallers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. This stat is one that is similar to one I have written about before (exit velocity), and that stat […]

xSLG Risers - Statcast Hitter Analysis (Week 18)
Two full weeks have now passed since the Midsummer Classic. It's not a big sample size but we can look at some early second-half trends to see who is turning it up a notch after the All-Star break. Expected stats don't tell the whole story of a player's success but they often are more revealing […]

Strikeout Rate Risers and Fallers - Buy or Sell for Week 18
Welcome back to the strikeout rate risers and fallers series for Week 18! Each week we will take a look at two K% risers and two fallers, analyze what is behind those changes, and then decide if they are actionable. A pitcher can best control their fate by generating swings and misses, so this exercise […]

The Cut List (Week 18) - Time to Let Go?
Welcome to the last Cut List before the July 31 trade deadline. Emphasis on dead, because there has still been little action on the trade front. The next week should be pretty fun if things heat up. For now, however, players are on the team they're on, and judgments should be made accordingly. Stats are […]

Buy or Sell: Undervalued and Overvalued Players for Week 18
Today's piece covers a set of players who either should not be available on waivers or will return back there soon. Most of the earlier editions of this recurring buy or sell article have included several universally owned players whose values have been manipulated enough by early-season performances. Unfortunately, as we get deeper into the year, the […]

Champ or Chump: Tyler O'Neill and Ramon Laureano
This time of year, a lot of fantasy analysis is a simple reminder to look at your standings page. Trading Max Scherzer for Whit Merrifield and Mallex Smith is a terrible idea in terms of overall value, but if you stand to gain a lot of points in SB it could make sense for you. […]

Pitcher Studs and Duds - BABIP for Week 17
Welcome back to RotoBaller’s pitchers risers and fallers article series! Each week we will select an advanced stat, choose two risers and two fallers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. I wrote about this stat early in the season, but it is worth revisiting now that we have much more […]

Barrel Risers & Fallers - Statcast Hitter Analysis (Week 17)
It's been a while since we looked at the Barrel leaderboard, so let's go back to this telling metric. For a detailed explanation of what makes a Barrel so valuable, click here to revisit my first article on the matter. Many of the leaders have maintained their status, such as Gary Sanchez, Mike Trout, Joey Gallo, […]

Strikeout Rate Risers and Fallers - Buy or Sell for Week 17
Welcome back to the strikeout rate risers and fallers series for Week 17! I skipped week 16 due to the shortened week, but we now have over a full week of data since the All-Star break. Each week we will take a look at two K% risers and two fallers, analyze what is behind those […]

The Cut List (Week 17) - Time to Let Go?
With the All-Star Break now firmly in the rear view mirror, the July 31 trade deadline is the next milestone. With no more August 31 waiver deadline, even fringe players will get traded and see their valuations change. For now, rumor and conjecture rule the day, so it's not a major factor in this week's […]

Buy or Sell: Undervalued and Overvalued Players for Week 17
Today's piece covers a set of players who either should not be available on waivers or will return back there soon. Most of the earlier editions of this recurring buy or sell article have included several universally owned players whose values have been manipulated enough by early-season performances. Unfortunately, as we get deeper into the year, the […]

Champ or Chump: Lourdes Gurriel Jr. and Lorenzo Cain
The trade deadline is rapidly approaching, both for real MLB clubs and most fantasy rosters. At this point, it can be a good idea to take a deep breath and assess what you currently have on your roster and what you might need to pursue your goals. Part of this process is evaluating whether the […]

Starters WAR Studs and Duds: Week 16
Welcome back from the All-Star break to RotoBaller’s pitchers advanced stats and StatCast studs and duds article series! Each week we will select an advanced stat, choose two studs and two duds, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. This "week" has been a shorter one given the break, so I […]

Statcast First-Half Overachievers (Hitters)
The second half of the 2019 fantasy baseball season is upon us. Before we get too deep into pennant races, let's take this opportunity to reflect on some first-half performances that could be telling of future fortune, or in this case, misfortune. Last week, we looked at Expected Statistic Underachievers to try to find buy-low candidates. […]

The Cut List (Week 16) - Time to Let Go?
Not a ton has changed since last week given the one combined real game from Monday through Thursday. Friday doesn't exactly give us enough new information, either: as if Josh Bell opening the second half 0-for-4 would make anyone panic. That said, there are still decisions to be made. Fewer, given the lack of new […]

You Don't Know Jack (Flaherty)
Never a lauded prospect as he made his way through the St. Louis Cardinals' system, starting pitcher Jack Flaherty nevertheless made a splash in 2018, taking advantage of the playing time afforded to him by injuries to rotation mainstay Adam Wainwright. Part of a loaded 2018 rookie class in the National League, which included supposed […]

Champ or Chump: David Dahl and Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
With most of the All-Star festivities in the books, it's time to get back to managing our virtual fantasy baseball teams. While some owners may be starting to tune out, that only means that you can leverage their lack of focus to your own benefit. For example, maybe you can get a haul for "All-Star" […]

Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds First Half Recap
Welcome back to RotoBaller’s pitchers advanced stats and StatCast studs and duds article series! Each week we have selected an advanced stat, chosen two studs and two duds, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. We have covered both Statcast and Fangraphs metrics to help identify hidden value as well as […]

Statcast First-Half Underachievers (Hitters)
As the first half wraps up and we are left pondering who will flip the switch in the second half, it's only rational that we look at the players who have underachieved most. We've already seen examples of players who have started to turn their luck around (Danny Jansen anyone?), so there is definitely credence […]

Strikeout Rate Risers and Fallers - Buy or Sell for Week 15
Welcome back to the strikeout rate risers and fallers series for Week 15! Each week we will take a look at two K% risers and two fallers, analyze what is behind those changes, and then decide if they are actionable. A pitcher can best control their fate by generating swings and misses, so this exercise […]