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Connelly Doan

265 articles

330 news updates

A lifelong fan of baseball and football, Connelly has played fantasy baseball and football for over a decade. He has written fantasy baseball news and analysis with RotoBaller for over seven years, with expertise in assessing underlying sabermetrics to project future player performance. Connelly's baseball analytical work has been recognized beyond the world of fantasy. He has several articles published in the Society for American Baseball (SABR)'s flagship publication, the Baseball Research Journal. He can be followed on X at @ConnellyDoan.

Articles

First Basemen Set to Bust for Fantasy Baseball

First base is typically one of fantasy baseball’s deepest positions, particularly when it comes to finding power. This makes it a great position to find relative value throughout drafts. Of course, it also provides more opportunities to draft players who won’t provide the value fantasy managers were hoping for. I will highlight three first basemen […]


Tarik Skubal - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - End of Season Review

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Every week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. I have covered both Statcast and Fangraphs metrics to help identify hidden value as well as sell-high candidates. With […]


Aaron Nola - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - SIERA For Week 26

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. As the season winds down, I'll revisit one of my favorite metrics: SIERA.  SIERA is a great metric […]


Ranger Suarez - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - Pitch Run Values For Week 25

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. This week I will focus on a stat that describes how particular pitches have performed overall: run value. Run value […]


Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - wOBA For Week 24

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! To those of you who have advanced to the fantasy playoffs or have locked up a spot, congratulations! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. This […]


Dylan Cease - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Injury News, DFS and Betting Picks

Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - Strikeout Rate For Week 23

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. This week I will focus on another broader stat that can has a direct influence on a pitcher's fantasy value: […]


Yu Darvish - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - WHIP For Week 22

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. This week I will focus on a broader stat that can influence other aspects of a pitcher's game: walks and […]


Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - Barrels/Batted-Ball Event For Week 21

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. This week I will focus on the rate of barrels per batted-ball event a pitcher allows (Brls/BBE %). Barrels are […]


Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - wOBA-xwOBA Difference For Week 20

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. This week I will focus on the difference between pitchers' weighted on-base average (wOBA) and expected wOBA (xwOBA). wOBA is […]


Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - Chase Rate For Week 19

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. This week I will focus on a metric that can have interesting implications for fantasy production: chase rate. Chase rate […]


Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - BABIP For Week 18

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. With the second half now under way, I will get back to picking specific metrics to dive into. This […]


Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - Second Half Preview

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. I have covered both Statcast and Fangraphs metrics to help identify hidden value as well as sell-high candidates. The […]


Freddy Peralta - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Pitcher Advanced Metrics Studs and Duds - Midseason Review

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I have selected an advanced stat, chosen two top performers and two under-performers, and analyzed what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. I have covered both Statcast and Fangraphs metrics to help identify hidden value as well as sell-high candidates. With […]


Trevor Rogers - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB DFS Picks, Betting Picks

Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - WAR for Week 15

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I will select an advanced stat, choose two top performers and two under-performers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. As we near the All-Star break, I thought it made sense to focus on an all-encompassing metric for […]


Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - Relievers Swinging-Strike Rate for Week 14

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I will select an advanced stat, choose two top performers and two under-performers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. In week 9, I wrote an article about starting pitchers' swinging-strike rates (SwStr%) and this week I will show […]


Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - ERA-SIERA for Week 13

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I will select an advanced stat, choose two top performers and two under-performers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. In week 6 I wrote an article about SIERA Studs and Duds and alluded to a future article […]


Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - Slider Profiles for Week 12

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I will select an advanced stat, choose two top performers and two under-performers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. For the past two weeks I have looked at pitchers' various movement profiles for curveballs and changeups using Statcast's […]


pablo lopez fantasy baseball rankings starting pitcher draft sleepers MLB injury news

Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - Changeup Profiles for Week 11

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I will select an advanced stat, choose two top performers and two under-performers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. Last week I started taking a look into pitchers' relative success of certain pitches using Statcast's pitch movement […]


Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - Curveball Profiles for Week 10

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I will select an advanced stat, choose two top performers and two under-performers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. As I mentioned last week, I am going to start taking a look into pitchers' relative success of […]


Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - Swinging-Strike Rate Analysis for Week 9

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I will select an advanced stat, choose two top performers and two under-performers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. Some metrics may seem simpler than others, but that does not mean that they are less informative. One […]


Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - HR/FB% Analysis for Week 8

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I will select an advanced stat, choose two top performers and two under-performers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. The past several weeks I have looked at metrics that are more predictive. This week I will focus on […]


Shohei Ohtani - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - xSLG Analysis for Week 7

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I will select an advanced stat, choose two top performers and two under-performers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. This week I will dive into a metric that utilizes exit velocity and launch angle (two metrics we have […]


Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - SIERA Analysis for Week 6

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I will select an advanced stat, choose two top performers and two under-performers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. Now roughly a month into the season, we are starting to gather a decent sample of data for […]


Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - Launch Angle Analysis for Week 5

Welcome back to RotoBaller’s Statcast pitcher Studs and Duds article series! Each week I will select an advanced stat, choose two top performers and two under-performers, and analyze what those stats could mean for future fantasy output. Last week I took a look at exit velocity, and this week I will look into a stat […]


nathan eovaldi fantasy baseball rankings pitchers draft sleepers MLB injury news

Statcast Pitcher Studs and Duds - Exit Velocity for Week 4

Welcome to the first edition of Statcast pitchers analysis this season! I covered this series two seasons ago and am very excited to be back at the helm. Statcast provides a ton of interesting and insightful advanced metrics that we can use to predict future fantasy performance. Each week I will select one of these […]


Connelly Doan's Bold Predictions for 2021

Welcome to the 2021 fantasy baseball season everybody! Spring Training is in full swing and fantasy drafts are well under way. One of the most satisfying things throughout the season (and in life in general) is to be right, especially when others don’t agree with you. Of course, putting your contrarian opinions out in the […]


NL Outfielders - Draft Avoids for 2021

MLB players have reported for Spring Training and plenty of big offseason moves have taken place; it's beginning to feel a lot like baseball season! Big-league players are not the only ones getting ready for the start of the season at this time, though. Fantasy players are now putting the work in to prepare for […]


Hitters Who Changed Scenes - Fantasy Impacts

Well, the 2021 off-season has finally come to life! Over the course of January, we have seen some big splashes, both in terms of pitchers and hitters on the move to new teams. There are still plenty of unsigned big-name free agents, but we have some juicy free agent hitter signings and trades to take […]


Year-In-Review: Framber Valdez

Houston Astros starting pitcher Framber Valdez has been one of the team's many intriguing prospects over the past several seasons. He first got consistent playing time (mostly in relief) in 2019 and put forth poor results with a 4-7 record, 5.86 ERA, 1.67 WHIP, and 20.7% strikeout rate over 70 2/3 inning pitched. He also pitched […]


Year-In-Review: Jesse Winker

Cincinnati Reds outfielder Jesse Winker had a 2020 season that, in many ways, reflected the arc of his career. His excellent approach allows him to get on base while also hitting for average and power. However, he also experiences stretches of unproductivity and has battled injuries and inconsistent playing time. This makes him a difficult player […]


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