RADIO
It's possible that my Week 6 GPP Value Plays have been influenced by Amazon Prime Day which was earlier this week. I didn't buy too much, but I did buy two items that were dramatically reduced. And a quick look at my Week 6 DFS value plays shows options that combined are fine cheaper than my usual suggestions.
As of time of submission, it appears that all games are systems go. There will not be any Covid-19 issues it appears this week (knock knock). So we have that going for us at least. And thank goodness because while I did make a profit last week, it was a very small one. And because Prime Day has come and gone, I need to make some money because the Mrs. and I like to have the holiday shopping at least started before Halloween and we have yet to do so. And I will be putting my money where my mouth is and everyone of the players highlighted below will be in at least one lineup of mine, if not many.
So even if didn't want to help you out, I have my own vested interests in finding week 6 GPP value picks. Here are four at each of the key positions that should put us both in position to make some dough on Sunday!
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Week 5 Quarterback DFS GPP Value Play
Gardner Minshew II vs Detroit (DraftKings $6400, FanDuel $7200)
I really haven't highlighted Minshew much this year and I need to rectify that. Let's start with something many heard about, but still not enough did. And that was his Bud Light campaign. On the chance you missed it, here it is again.
I’ve been working hard to be your first pick in fantasy this year, and @BudLight is making your decision easier. When you pick me first, tweet a screenshot of your pick with #budlightminshewdraft and #sweepstakes and you could win a case worth of Bud Light! pic.twitter.com/eG1B0yyJOr
— Gardner Minshew (@GardnerMinshew5) August 25, 2020
There are so many great things here. For one, the fact that Minshew seems to care, or at least mockingly care about his fantasy status automatically elevates him above nearly every other quarterback. So rather than focus on all of the other great things about the tweet above, let's just focus on Minshew's chance for success this weekend.
The Lions are a popular pick to score quite a bit this weekend. But if the Lions are going to be scoring a lot of points, might it be possible that the Jaguars will try and keep up? The answer is obviously yes, especially given that the Detroit Lions have allowed the ninth-most passing TDs. Minshew has thrown two or more touchdowns in four of five games this year. In addition to his TD prowess, Minshew is averaging a very respectable 288 passing yards per game. Minshew can sometimes wilt under tough opposition, but the Lions are one of the ten worst teams in preventing fantasy points to the quarterback position.
Now add the two additional layers that Minshew is likely to be low owned and is also very affordable. When it comes to the week 6 GPP DFS values, Gardner you're one of the best around.
Week 5 Running Back DFS GPP Value Play
La'Mical Perine vs. Jets (DraftKings $4000, FanDuel $4600)
Perine offers us a nice opportunity at the absolute minimum and second lowest salary on the sites respectively. Obviously when choosing players priced that low, we should keep our expectations in check. But I absolutely love Perine's upside this week. And while I'm not a Gator fan, seeing his college highlights gets me juiced for his possibilities this weekend:
Hello, Lamical Perine.
That's what we call a great run right there... pic.twitter.com/y54TMlHsMe
— Kyle Yates (@KyleYNFL) January 15, 2020
I'm making the presumption that you heard Leveon Bell was released, but that happened after the sites assigned salary, leaving Perine at a rock-bottom cost. But the Dolphins are a pretty ideal matchup. They allowed a TD less than every 16 RB touches. In addition to enabling RBs to find the endzone, Miami has allowed 4.97 yards per carry and 6.81 yards per target.
We know what we're getting with Frank Gore as he continues to be nemesis of Father Time. And unfortunately, Perine will still be playing under Adam Gase. However, that might not be the case for much longer. And whomever the Jets head coach is, even if its Adam Gase, is going to need to determine if Perine is the long term answer. Perine was not given a whole lot of opportunities even when was Bell out. But now that he is officially gone, I do expect the Jets to increase his workload. And at such minimal cost, Im willing to take a chance it's this weekend.
Week 5 Wide Receiver DFS GPP Value Play
Darnell Mooney vs Carolina (DraftKings $3000, FanDuel $5000)
I talked about this play in my GPP stacks article earlier this week:
Darnell Mooney is the Bears' No. 2 pass-game option and should've had a 50-yard TD in Week 5 pic.twitter.com/JeEeDNzqEh
— Ian Hartitz (@Ihartitz) October 14, 2020
Meanwhile, Mooney has slowly and quietly pushed Anthony Miller out of Bears' WR2 spot. He has seen 19 targets the last three weeks. If Foles can be just a little more accurate, I would not be surprised to see Mooney catch six passes for 60 yards and a touchdown this weekend. That would be the rookie's best professional game yet but my guess is that this is only the beginning.
Week 5 Tight End DFS GPP Value Play
Irv Smith Jr. vs Falcons (DraftKings $2500, FanDuel $4300)
When you go this cheap, even a couple of catches for 20 yards earns you a profit. Smith is not even priced within the Top 25 TEs this week! Yet he could easily be a top-20 play at the position this week.
Now in his second season, Smith is starting to flash some of the potential that many believe will lead to a big year next year. He might arrive earlier than expected. If he continues to run passing routes on more than 70 percent of the Vikings pass plays, like he did on Sunday night against Seattle, he'll be a fantasy asset sooner rather than later.
Add in the fact that no defense playing this week is giving up more fantasy points to TEs than Atlanta and this is an incredible buying opportunity. It is the absolute definition of a GPP value play.
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