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Adam Koffler's five fantasy football bold predictions for Week 14 of the 2025 NFL season. Expert predictions for Adonai Mitchell, Quinshon Judkins, Bucky Irving, Luther Burden III, and Kyren Williams.
It's the last week of the fantasy football regular season. I hope you've already locked up a playoff spot, but for those still clawing and scratching to get in, may the force be with you.
This isn't a "start 'em, sit 'em" column per se, but my five Week 14 bold predictions might give you a lean one way or another.
Without further ado, find out why I'm high on Adonai Mitchell, Quinshon Judkins, Bucky Irving, and Luther Burden III, and low on Kyren Williams in my Week 14 bold predictions.
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Adonai Mitchell Puts Up 100+ Receiving Yards For a Second-Straight Game
On paper, this doesn't look like the best matchup for a wide receiver. The Dolphins allow the ninth-fewest fantasy points to opposing wideouts this season, and they've played well of late.
But Mitchell's talent and opportunity shouldn't go overlooked. And Week 13 probably wasn't a fluke, either.
Last season with the Colts, Mitchell ranked seventh among 116 qualified wide receivers in Fantasy Points Data's Average Separation Score.
Then he was traded to the Jets in the Sauce Gardner deal. In his last two games as a full-time player, he's averaged over 175 air yards per game and has the fifth-most expected fantasy points per game behind just Rashee Rice, CeeDee Lamb, Michael Wilson, and A.J. Brown (per Fantasy Points Data).
But it gets even better. He's averaging 0.31 targets per route run and has an elite first-read target share of 42.5% in those games.
Additionally, while a small sample size, Mitchell has torched two-high coverage while with the Jets. He's averaging 3.24 yards and 0.80 fantasy points per route run against two-high.
The Dolphins allow the third-most fantasy points per dropback in two-high coverages (0.61) this season, behind only the Cowboys and Bengals.
Quinshon Judkins Produces Season-High 125+ Rushing Yards
Since the Browns' bye in Week 9, Judkins has averaged nearly 20 carries per contest. That, despite numerous negative game scripts.
In Week 14, the Browns are four-point home favorites over the lowly, one-win Tennessee Titans. That's great news for Judkins, who will likely be leaned on heavily in what should be a positive game script.
Now, the Titans have actually been decent against the run at home recently (allowing just 86.3 rushing yards per game), but they've struggled to defend the run away from Nashville.
They're allowing 136 rushing yards per game on the road this season. They're also losing the time-of-possession battle on the road, allowing opponents to possess the football for over 32 minutes per game.
Tennessee is allowing 4.6 yards per carry this season, which is the eighth-most in the NFL.
Additionally, it doesn't look like Dylan Sampson, who has been playing well lately, will play this week after suffering a calf injury in Week 13.
Judkins has been rolling lately, and now he's officially on Pro Bowl watch. Let him cook.
King of the Wild Dawg ➡️ King of the Pro Bowl??
RT to #ProBowlVote Quinshon Judkins pic.twitter.com/QxiCFsOJq2
— Cleveland Browns (@Browns) December 3, 2025
Bucky Irving Sets New Career High for Fantasy Points in a Game
Bucky's previous career high in fantasy points is 27.5 (on 28 touches), set in Week 13 of his rookie season vs. the Carolina Panthers.
In his first game back with the Bucs after missing nearly two months of action, Irving was immediately handed 19 opportunities.
He turned those 19 opportunities into 81 total yards and a score. The burst and vision were still there, and it showed on his touchdown run.
Bucky Irving is back in the end zone!
AZvsTB on FOX/FOX Onehttps://t.co/HkKw7uXVnt pic.twitter.com/q3j5PMZoev
— NFL (@NFL) November 30, 2025
Bucky's 19 touches in his first game back after two months are even more meaningful when you consider he handled 70.4% of the RB opportunities for the Bucs.
Ahead of their Week 14 matchup with the Saints, Irving was upgraded to a full participant in practice on Thursday.
It appears as if he'll be a "full go" with no restrictions against a Saints team allowing the third-most rushing yards per game (147) on the road this season.
The Bucs are favored by 8.5 points with an implied total of 25, which should lead to a lot of work for Bucky in Week 14.
There's no better way for Irving to get back on track than to be fed the rock in a juicy matchup after two months of physical and mental adversity.
He goes over his previous career-high of 27.5 fantasy points in Week 14 vs. the Saints.
Luther Burden III Earns Double-Digit Targets
Rome Odunze (foot) has not practiced on consecutive days to start the week. If he doesn't play this week, Burden would step into a full-time role for the Bears.
The rookie's snap share and target share have both steadily climbed in the past four weeks, culminating in six targets on a 50% snap share and 61% route participation rate in Week 13. That's with Odunze active.
In Week 14, he'll face a Packers defense that plays zone coverage at the third-highest rate in the NFL (78.4%).
Burden is by far the Bears' best wideout against zone coverage, with 0.26 targets, 2.54 yards, and 0.51 fantasy points per route run (per Fantasy Points Data).
Odunze (if he even plays) and D.J. Moore both average under 0.23 targets and 1.8 yards per route run against zone coverage.
The Packers allow the fourth-fewest yards per pass attempt this season (5.7), and Burden has a low average depth of target (7.4).
It's a match made in heaven for the rookie, who will gobble up 10+ targets for the first time in his young NFL career.
Kyren Williams Scores Fewer Fantasy Points Than Blake Corum For a Second Straight Week
Despite battling through an ankle injury last week, Williams still managed to rush for 72 yards and a touchdown against the Panthers.
This week, he's been limited in practice. While Head Coach Sean McVay expects him to play in Week 14, there's a chance Kyren's workload is even more managed than in weeks past.
That would make sense, especially considering how well Blake Corum has played, and with huge upcoming matchups against the Lions and division-rival Seahawks in the weeks following this game.
Blake Corum's 7 carries vs the Panthers in yards gained:
13
6
14
6
2 (TD)
34
6zero fat in his game. no wasted movement. good player! pic.twitter.com/HxxmXeaaOV
— Josh Norris (@JoshNorris) December 2, 2025
Earlier in the season, Williams had a massive edge over Corum in terms of touches. But in the last four games, it's evened out a bit.
Williams has 51 carries, while Corum is right there with 35. While Kyren still has the edge in red zone carries (12), Corum still has eight of his own in those four games.
It wouldn't be surprising to see these two backs split work evenly in Week 14 as the Rams look to keep Williams fresh down the home stretch.
There's also the possibility that Williams doesn't run as well because of the ankle injury itself, so there's even more risk of him needing to exit the game at any point due to re-aggravation.
Either way, look for Corum to build off of his fantastic Week 13 performance and outscore Williams for a second-straight week.
