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Welcome back RotoBallers to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for the Week 10 Monday Night Football slate – Broncos vs. Bills! The 2023 NFL season is finally underway, and that means our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage of.
Our partners at PrizePicks offer some of the best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games in the industry. There are no large-field tournaments filled with sharks where you have to get lucky just to place. At PrizePicks, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the projections, and the guys at PrizePicks have worked hard to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a 100% match on your deposit up to $100.
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PrizePicks Over/Under DFS Props Contests
PrizePicks is a great DFS picks site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play.
On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Before diving into some solid fantasy score totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for "point per reception," meaning every reception is worth one point.
Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points, and passing touchdowns are worth four points. Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point.
If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now, let's get to some solid fantasy score props for this week.
NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 10 Monday Night Football
Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.
Before diving into some solid prop totals this week, we must first cover the PrizePicks scoring format. The format is PPR, which stands for "point per reception," meaning every reception is worth one point. Rushing and receiving touchdowns are worth six points and passing touchdowns are worth four points.
Each rushing or receiving yard is worth .1, meaning every 10 yards of either is worth one point. Quarterback passing yards are worth .04, which means every 25 passing yards are worth one point. If you ever have questions, you can always click the "scoring chart" option above the player selections for each contest. Now, let's get to some solid props for this week.
Russell Wilson LESS than 4.5 rushing attempts
This is currently listed as the top prop on the PrizePicks Optimizer for the Monday night game with a 54.15% chance of success. The reason this prop is atop the chart is due to the fact that most books have this listed at -137, which gives us respectable odds. Wilson has also only managed to eclipse this total twice in his previous six games and just three times all season.
James Cook MORE than 56.5 rushing yards
This has the potential to be one of the best games of the season for James Cook against this Broncos defense. On the season, Denver has allowed the third-most total rushing yards to the running back position. They have also allowed an average of 5.6 yards per carry to the position, which is absolutely absurd.
Meanwhile, Cook has eclipsed this total in two of his previous four games while barely missing it in a third game where he ran for 56 yards. He has seen an average of 12 carries per game over this span as well. The Bills are 7.5-point home favorites in this game, which should lead to added opportunities for Cook to carry the ball late in the game as the Bills salt this one away.
Josh Allen LESS than 274.5 passing yards
This number seems a tad high given the spread of this game and the aforementioned struggles of the Broncos' run defense. Allen has also only eclipsed this total in just three of nine total games this season. The Broncos have also gotten stronger against the pass in recent weeks as they have allowed an average of 242 passing yards over their previous three games as opposed to allowing an average of 264 passing yards per game on the season. Allen and the Bills should win this game handily as the spread suggests (Bills -7.5) and should not be forced to rely on Allen's arm as much in this game.
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