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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Miami Dolphins vs. New York Jets, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, October 9th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Dolphins @ Jets
The Dolphins take on the Jets on Sunday, October 9th at MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Miami Dolphins (3-1) vs. New York Jets (2-2)
- Date: Sunday, October 9th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: MetLife Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Dolphins @ Jets
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Miami Dolphins - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into week 5, the Dolphins will look to get back in the win column, as they are coming off a 27-15 loss to the Cincinnati Bengals. In terms of betting, Miami not only lost the game but failed to cover the spread as 4.0 point underdogs. The over-under betting total going into the game was 48, which the teams did not surpass. In the losing effort, the Dolphins blew a 1 point lead heading into the 4th quarter, as Cincinnati outscored them by 13 in the final period. Through 4 games, the Dolphins have an ATS record of 3-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 1-3. This week's betting total of 44.0 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Dolphins offense is averaging 24.5 points per game, placing them 9th in the NFL. Look for the team to put together another strong offensive performance, as they are facing a Jets defense giving up 25.3 points per game. Throughout the game, Miami should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 3rd ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary. On the ground, our projections show that the Dolphins' offense will have its problems. Even though they have a decent matchup against a New York, look for Miami to come up with even fewer rush yards than their season average of 69.25.
New York Jets - NFL Betting Analysis
Heading into week 5, the Jets are looking to add another win after knocking off Pittsburgh Steelers by a score of 24-20. Not only did the Jets win the game, but they also covered the spread a 3.0 point underdogs. By the end of the game, the teams combined for 44 points, surpassing the betting line of 41. New York went into the 4th quarter of the game trailing by 3 at 13-10 but still came back to win and cover the spread as underdogs. Through 4 games, the Jets have an ATS record of 2-2. So far, they have an over-under record of 2-2. This week's betting total of 44.0 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Jets offense is averaging 19.0 points per game, placing them 20th in the NFL. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Dolphins defense giving up 22.8 points per game. Throughout the game, New York should be able to move the ball through the air, as they are the 4th ranked team in terms of passing yards. In addition, they are facing off against a defense that has been vulnerable in the secondary. On the ground, New York figure to have their fair share of problems as they come into the game as the 28th ranked team in rush yards per game. In addition, they are facing a defense that has done a good job stopping the run.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Dolphins vs. Jets
Over the last 5 matchups between Miami and New York, the Jets have won 4 of the last 5 games. The two teams have combined to average 37.2 points per game in their last 5 meetings. The Dolphins will look to build off last year's success over New York as they won both games by scores of 31-24 and 24-17.
The Miami Dolphins have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 2-1. The Dolphins' offense has averaged 24.0 points per game over the 5 most recent meetings with New York, compared to the Jets at 13.2.
Through their last 3 games, the Dolphins have a record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 2-1 while posting a 1-2 over-under mark.
Through their last 3 road games, Miami has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 20.0 points per game.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Jets have gone 2-1 straight up. In these games, they have a 2-1 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 2-1.
Through their last 3 home games, New York has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 15.0 points per game.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Dolphins -3.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 44.0
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