Week 13 NFL DFS Prop Picks (Late Slate) - Over/Under Prop Picks on Sleeper.com

December 2, 2023

Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 13 Late Slate (December 3, 2023). Use Dan's NFL over/under props recommendations to win money on Sleeper.

Welcome to our Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 13 Sunday Late Slate. Last week’s picks for this slate finished 3-3, bringing our season record for Late Slate picks to 29-25. 

Sleeper offers some of the best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games in the industry. Sleeper DFS works just like regular player prop betting -- there are no large-field tournaments to get lost in. You're not playing against other people; you're just playing against the projections. Here are a few of our favorite prop picks for the Sunday late slate on Sleeper DFS.

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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 13 Sunday Late Slate

Jonathan Mingo OVER 25.5 Receiving Yards

The Panthers have the number one easiest matchup for receivers this week according to PFF’s strength of schedule metric, and Mingo is in a great position to take advantage. The rookie has been a full-time starter for the Panthers since Week 6. He has garnered 92% or more of the offensive snaps every week since then, including six or more targets in three straight. 

Tampa Bay has a strong run defense that will aim to force the Panthers to rely on QB Bryce Young and their passing game to keep the game competitive. Mingo will match up with Buccaneers corners Zyon McCollum and Carlton Davis III on Sunday (48.7 and 51.5 PFF defensive grades, respectively). 

Rotoballer's Proptimizer tool agrees with this pick, giving it a 20% edge with a Sharp App projected line of 36.2 receiving yards. Take advantage of a low prop for Mingo this week.

Matthew Stafford UNDER 20.5 Completions

Stafford is coming off a 229-yard, four-touchdown performance against the Cardinals last week but should be faded this week in a matchup with the Browns. Cleveland’s defense allows the fewest passing yards per game this season at 142 passing yards per game, 30 yards less than the next stingiest pass defense (Baltimore).

Stafford has only hit 21 completions or more once in his last five games. The Rams have averaged the seventh fewest completions per game (18.3) and the eighth fewest plays per game (60) over their last three games.

The 35-year-old should be faded this week in an extremely tough matchup.

Brandon Aiyuk OVER 64.5 Receiving Yards

The 49ers and Eagles face off this week in one of the most anticipated games of the season. Aiyuk holds the top matchup advantage of any receiver this week according to PFF, with a matchup advantage of 92.5 against the Philadelphia secondary. 

Philadelphia’s opponents are throwing the ball 68% of the time this season, the highest rate in NFL history through 12 weeks. The Eagles have the 13th-highest man coverage rate in the NFL. Aiyuk is in a great spot to continue producing this week, having earned 0.86 fantasy points per route run versus man thus far in 2023 (fourth among receivers).

Both teams in this matchup are in the top-four in points per game so expect a lot of points and big plays on Sunday, with Aiyuk likely to lead the way for San Francisco.

Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.

Other Recommendations:

• Joe Flacco OVER 0.5 passing touchdowns
• Miles Sanders UNDER 1.5 Receptions
• Jake Moody OVER 6.5 Kicking Points

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