Week 13 NFL DFS Prop Picks for Sunday Night Football - Over/Under Prop Picks on Sleeper.com

December 3, 2023

Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 13 Sunday Night Football (December 3, 2023). Use Dan's NFL over/under props recommendations to win money on Sleeper.

Welcome to our Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 13 Sunday Night Football: Chiefs vs. Packers. A few tough breaks in recent weeks have put this season’s SNF picks at 11-16, with our overall prop picks record across all slates sitting at 58-49.

Sleeper offers some of the best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games in the industry. Sleeper DFS works just like regular player prop betting -- there are no large-field tournaments to get lost in. You're not playing against other people; you're just playing against the projections. Here are a few of our favorite prop picks for SNF on Sleeper DFS.

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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 13 Sunday Night Football

AJ Dillon UNDER 2.5 Receptions

Despite starting again for the Packers in Aaron Jones’ absence, Dillon’s matchup this week against the Chiefs makes his receptions prop a risky one. 

Dillon is averaging 1.73 receptions per game overall this season and 1.67 receptions in games without Aaron Jones. As QB Jordan Love continues building a rapport with receivers Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, and Jayden Reed, passes to the backfield have been diminishing. The Chiefs also allow the fifth-fewest completions in the NFL this season and are rated as the eighth-best defense overall according to DVOA.

PFF agrees with this assessment, projecting a 75.4% likelihood of Dillon’s receptions under hitting. Expect two catches or less for Dillon this week.

Isiah Pacheco OVER 13.5 Receiving Yards

With RB Jerick McKinnon out again this week, Pacheco has another opportunity to own the passing down snaps for the Chiefs backfield. Last week with McKinnon out, Pacheco was on the field for 78% of snaps and caught five passes, both career highs.

The Packers are giving up the 13th most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. Starting backs are averaging 17.7 receiving yards against the Green Bay Packers this season.

Rotoballer's Proptimizer tool agrees with this pick, giving it a 14.1% edge with a Sharp App projected line of 17.8 receiving yards.

Rashee Rice OVER 47.5 Receiving Yards

Rice enters Week 13 on a high after posting his first 100-yard game as a pro against the Raiders last week. The rookie has come on strong in the second half of the season as the leading wide receiver for the Chiefs. 

While his season average of 47.9 yards is right in line with his receiving prop, these figures have not yet up to his enhanced role in the offense. He has tallied over 47 receiving yards in four of his last six games, including 15 targets in his last two matchups alone.

His Week 13 opponent the Packers also present a great matchup for Rice. Green Bay deploys zone coverage 78.1% of the time (10th most). Rice has been among the NFL’s best receivers against zone, tallying 3.08 yards per route run (second) and 0.58 fantasy points per route run (tied for third). 

Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.

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