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Ellis' favorite Week 7 prop bets on Sleeper. This week he has selected a prop for three tight ends, and a kicker (trust the process). Use Ellis' picks to win money on Sleeper!
We are back with prop picks from Sleeper. Last week was our best yet, finishing 3-1. The one “loss” was T.J. Hockenson, who was two yards short of the mark. Although that hurt, we’re looking to build on our 13-11 total.
In light of the MLB playoffs, if we can manage to continue hitting above 500, I’d be very happy. I’m hoping we can find some gems in this early slate of games. This week is tough as the Browns, Colts, Bears, Giants, and Raiders either have their backup QB playing or have their starter listed as questionable.
My name is Ellis Johnson, and I have been writing for RotoBaller for four years. You can catch my weekly Fantasy Pie Shop articles on RotoBaller (trust me, it’s as fun as it sounds). RotoBaller is coming out with weekly DFS plays and lots of great analysis with their DFS pass. Be sure to check it out as the team has been crushing it so far this year!
Editor's Note: Find sleeper picks, undervalued ADPs, and draft targets to help you dominate your fantasy football drafts. Try our free who to draft tool for personalized recommendations.
Mark Andrews (TE, BAL)
Over 53.5 receiving yards, DET @ BAL
Despite this offense not being the passing attack we had hoped for this offseason, Andrews has been very solid. This passing offense goes through Andrews and Zay Flowers, and this matchup is perfect for Andrews.
The Lions have arguably been the best team in football this season and support one of the most well-rounded rosters. Although their defense has been stellar, they have struggled against the TE position. So far, they are allowing the most yards (131.7) and receptions (11.3) to the TE position per game. The second-highest are the Texans, allowing 80.7 yards and 7.7 receptions. That’s a big difference. The over on Andrews’ receiving yards is an easy smash for me this week.
Cole Kmet (TE, CHI)
Under 33.5 yards, LV @ CHI
Kmet has relatively come through for fantasy with three top-12 weeks at the position. However, outside of those three games, he has yet to have more than 45 yards in a game. Last week, we saw a glimpse of what Tyson Bagent brings to the table.
In Tyson Bagent's limited play, we saw D.J. Moore have six targets while Kmet failed to record a single target. Additionally, the Raiders are middle of the league in both yards and receptions allowed to the TE position. It won’t take a lot to pass this line, but I am not banking on an undrafted free agent finding Kmet enough to surpass this line.
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Kyle Pitts (TE, ATL)
Over 32.5 yards, ATL @ TB
All of a sudden, this article has turned into a TE special. The funny thing is that this was all very unintentional. I just like where these lines are set in these matchups.
Pitts has finally stacked two decent performances on each other for what seems like the first time in his career. With six or more targets in three of his last four games and over 40 yards in those games, we might be seeing a resurgence for the talented TE.
This very well might be wishful thinking, but this offense has started to feature both Pitts and Jonnu Smith more than before. Although Smith is playing a more traditional TE role, Pitts is making up for his TE snaps by becoming a deep-threat WR. The Buccaneers are middle of the pack against TEs and I think Pitts will keep the ball rolling this week.
Brett Maher (K, LAR)
Over 1.5 Field Goals Made, PIT @ LAR (4:05 PM EST)
I know this isn’t an “early slate game," but we’ve been 3-0 on kicker props, and this is too good to pass up. Maher has hit 18 of his league-leading 20 FG attempts this season.
This week, he faces a Steelers team that thrives on grinding defensive games. Although I think Sean McVay will find a way to get this offense rolling, T.J. Watt and company will certainly find a way to slow down Matthew Stafford. I expect the Rams will find themselves in field goal range quite a few times this week, making Maher a smash pick.
Thanks for reading my article. Check out my Pie Shop and other prop selections all on RotoBaller.
Disclaimer: Please gamble responsibly. I am writing this as a thought-provoking guide that can hopefully help individuals make their own decisions.
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