Sleeper.com NFL DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for Week 10 Sunday Night Football

November 12, 2023

Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 10 Sunday Night Football (November 12, 2023). Use Dan's NFL over/under props recommendations to win money on Sleeper.

Welcome to our Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 10 Sunday Night Football: Jets vs. Raiders. This column’s SNF picks are 7-11 so far this season. 

Sleeper offers some of the best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games in the industry. Sleeper DFS works just like regular player prop betting -- there are no large-field tournaments to get lost in. You're not playing against other people; you're just playing against the projections. Here are a few of our favorite prop picks for SNF on Sleeper DFS.

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NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 10 Sunday Night Football

Tyler Conklin OVER 2.5 Receptions

The 28-year-old Jets TE has caught three or more balls in six of his eight games in 2023. He is also getting more involved in the offense, hitting 50 offensive snaps for the first time this season last week against the Chargers.

Conklin is up against the Raiders in Week 10, PFF’s seventh-best matchup for tight ends. He has been the team’s clear TE1 over C.J. Uzomah this season, out-snapping his counterpart in every game this season and far outpacing him in targets, 35 to 11.

The Proptimizer identifies a 10.5% edge on Conklin hitting over 25.5 receiving yards this week based on a Sharp App projected line of 30.5 receiving yards. 

Greg Zuerlein OVER 5.5 Kicking Points

Zuerlein has drilled two or more field goals in four straight games and has accounted for 45% of the Jets' points this season. With an implied total of 18.75 this week against the Raiders, projecting his normal share of the team’s points would put him at 8.4 kicking points -- almost three points more than his prop. 

The Jets are tied for the 10th-most kicker points per game. Six points is also a key number for kicker props, making a 5.5 over/under more valuable for active kickers like Zuerlein. Grab this bet before the line moves, although I would take it up to 6.5 kicking points.

Allen Lazard UNDER 2.5 Receptions 

Jets WR Lazard has been struggling lately, showing value in his receiving prop for Week 10. PFF projects a 64.2% likelihood of this over hitting. Lazard has a bleak 53% catch rate this season, putting him 171th of 189 eligible NFL receivers in that category.

The Raiders play zone coverage at a top-12 rate. Lazard has had a quieter 11% target rate against zone compared to 16.5% against man coverage. It is difficult to project Lazard for much volume until he can overcome this slump, particularly against a resurgent Raiders team that is playing passionate football after having shed head coach Josh McDaniels. Fade Lazard this week.

Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.

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