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Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Betting Picks - Today's Free MLB Best Bets, Odds, Predictions (5/21)

Rodolfo Castro - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Prospects News

Today's free MLB betting picks, odds, predictions for the Pirates vs. Diamondbacks on May 21, 2023. Our best bets and top picks for moneylines, run totals and more.

Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Sunday, May 21st 2023.

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In addition to all of our other betting content and advice, we have now added daily betting analysis articles and betting recommendations for each MLB game. Every single game on the MLB schedule will have its own betting analysis, betting breakdown and betting picks, every single day! We hope you enjoy, and good luck RotoBallers.

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Today's Betting Overview - Diamondbacks vs. Pirates

The Diamondbacks take on the Pirates on Sunday, May 21st 2023 at PNC Park, Pittsburgh. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2023 season.

  • Matchup: Arizona Diamondbacks (26-20) vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (24-21)
  • Date: Sunday, May 21st 2023
  • Time: 1:35 ET
  • Venue: PNC Park, Pittsburgh

 

Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Diamondbacks vs. Pirates

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Arizona Diamondbacks - Today's MLB Betting Analysis

The Arizona Diamondbacks enter play ranked 2nd in the NL West, with an overall record of 26-20. So far, Arizona has been tough as the road team, putting together a mark of 12-10.

Arizona currently has an above .500 record against the runline. This mark has come while being favored 19 times in 46 games. The team has an over/under record of 23-21, with an average betting line of 9.

Starting for the Diamondbacks will be Merrill Kelly, with an overall record of 4-3. Leading up to the game, Merrill Kelly has an ERA of just 2.92. Currently, opponents are batting just .196 against the right-hander. So far, Kelly has given up five home runs and comes in with a WOBA allowed of .274. With a total of 21 walks, Kelly has a WHIP of 1.09.

Arizona comes into this game with a strong offensive unit, averaging 5.1 runs per game, good for 8th in the MLB. Heading into play, the Diamondbacks are the 4th-ranked unit in team batting average. Combined, the team is batting .266. The team's lineup has gone deep at toal of 51 times this season, placing them 15th in the league. Arizona's offense has done a good job getting on base, ranking 8th with an OBP of .329.

 

Pittsburgh Pirates - Today's MLB Betting Analysis

As the Pittsburgh Pirates host the Arizona Diamondbacks, they have a record of 24-21, placing them 1st in the NL Central. When playing at PNC Park, the Pirates have played well, posting a record of 11-10.

Across their 45 games, Pittsburgh has been favored 13 times, yet their record against the runline is above .500. With an average betting line of 9 runs, the team's over/under record stands at 21-23.

The Pirates will send Roansy Contreras to the mound with an overall record of 3-4. Roansy Contreras will take the mound with an ERA of 4.40. In his outings, opposing batters are hitting .266 against the right-hander. Roansy Contreras has given up four home runs leading to a WOBA allowed of .329. Contreras' WHIP of 1.44 comes along with a total of 20 walks allowed.

Pittsburgh's offense enters play with the 15th-ranked scoring offense, averaging 4.4 runs per game. The Pirates' combined batting average currently sits at .246, placing them 15th in the league. The team's lineup has gone deep a total of 42 times, good for 23rd in the league. To date, Pittsburgh has the MLB's 11th best OBP at .325.

 

Today's MLB Betting Pick - Diamondbacks vs. Pirates

Heading into today's matchup between Arizona and Pittsburgh, the Diamondbacks are the betting favorite at -127 on the moneyline. Arizona's implied win probability sits at 55.95%. The MLB predictive model shows Arizona picking up the win. For aggressive bettors, there is enough of an edge to take the Diamondbacks on the runline.

Recommended Betting Pick: Diamondbacks -1.5


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