RADIO
This weekend features an exciting Cup Series race at Bristol Motor Speedway in Bristol, Tennessee. Qualifying has already been completed at it looks like Brad Keselowski, Aric Almirola, Joey Logano, Ryan Blaney, and Martin Truex Jr. will make up the top-5 to start the race. MKF has an extremely easy fantasy point system: 0.1 points for each lap led and then a set amount of points for their position (20 for 1st place, 19 for 2nd place, 18 for 3rd, and so on).
Our friends at Monkey Knife Fight offer some of the coolest, and easiest to win, NASCAR DFS games in the industry. If you haven't checked out these games yet, you can start this weekend! There are no massive tournaments where you have to get ridiculously lucky just to cash because, at MKF, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the betting line, and the dudes at MKF have fallen all over themselves to give you really attractive opportunities to make some money. With promo code 'BALLER' you can get a $50 deposit bonus.
We'll be helping you along every day and night where there's a race, by providing you with expert prop picks all NASCAR season long here at RotoBaller.
Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!
Pick 1: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Joey Logano UNDER 18.5 Fantasy Points and Kyle Busch OVER 18.5 Fantasy Points
Joey Logano has run really well over his career at Bristol Motor Speedway. He has two career wins and two top-5 finishes over his last three races there. Kyle Busch has 12 top-5 finishes at Bristol throughout his career, which includes eight wins. Three of those wins have come in his last five outings at Bristol.
Regardless of results though, considering some numbers and theories can establish some well-developed ideas to make some money on MKF this week. First and for most, if either of these drivers finishes out of the top-10, the vast majority of the time they will be below that 18.5 fantasy point threshold.
For example, in all of Logano's top-10 finishes at Bristol Motor Speedway he averages 74.5 laps led. That translates to 7.45 fantasy points. If you combine that with a 10th- place finish, that only equals 17.45 fantasy points. However, when you do that same analysis for Busch, he averages 117.7 laps led per top-10 finish. That, combined with a top-10 finish, would put him well above the 18.5 fantasy point threshold.
Due to his recent results at Bristol and his ability to get out front for large chunks of the race, the OVER on Kyle Busch has to be the play this weekend. Siding with the UNDER on Logano stills allows him to lead for nearly 80 laps as long as he drops out of the top-10 by the end of the race. That is too good to pass up on.
Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight
Pick 2: Rapid Fire Fantasy Points (2/2)
Recommended Prop Pick: Kyle Busch (-0.5) and Kevin Harvick (+0.5)
The first part of the prop bet, Kyle Busch (-0.5), is explained in detail above.
As for Kevin Harvick vs. Martin Truex Jr., Harvick seems to be set up significantly better in this race than Truex, and he comes with a +0.5 fantasy point buffer. Over Truex's last 15 races at Bristol, he has only cracked the top-10 one time with an eighth-place finish in 2017.
Over those 15 races, he has only led a total of 214 laps. As for Harvick, he has seven top-10 finishes over his last 10 outings at Bristol, including a win and runner-up. Harvick will be starting a little farther back than Truex but there is no doubt that he has a better chance to not only finish higher by the end of the race but also to rack up some laps-led points. The +0.5 fantasy point line just sweetens the pot.
Play the Rapid Fire Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight
Pick 3: More or Less Fantasy Points (2/3)
Recommended Prop Pick: Joey Logano UNDER 18.5 Fantasy Points, Kyle Busch OVER 18.5 Fantasy Points, Kevin Harvick OVER 17.5 Fantasy Points
I have already talked about all the drivers in this prop bet. This is just more of an introduction to the different types of contests that MKF offers. This contest, rather than having to get every piece of the puzzle correct, only requires you to get two of the three correct for 1.5x your buy-in.
For those more familiar with other DFS sites, this contest is more similar to cash formats (head to heads or double-ups) and the contests above are more like tournament formats. So, moving forward, always feel free to find some lower-risk contest like this one to utilize the drivers talked about!
Play the More or Less Contest Now on Monkey Knife Fight
More NASCAR DFS
We have tons of great weekly articles, analysis, tools and DFS advice including this weekly YouTube video - be sure to tune in!
NASCAR DFS News and Driver Outlooks
More Fantasy NASCAR Analysis
The Keys to Weekly NASCAR Success
NASCAR is back, and it's time for you to win more with RotoBaller! Our NASCAR Premium Package for DFS and betting features several heavy hitters and proven winners.
Jordan McAbee anchors the team with his exclusive NASCAR DFS and betting picks, DFS projections and algorithm-predicted finishing order! Jordan had a 60+ unit betting profit in 2024 NASCAR, and a 25% average annual profit since 2018. He won the FSWA Racing Writer Of The Year award in 2023, and has been nominated for DFS Writer Of The Year in 2024.
Five-time NASCAR Racing Writer of the Year finalist and fantasy industry legend Scott "The King" Engel is also in the crew, bringing you his weekly strategies and lineup picks. Set your winning DFS lineups with our award-winning team. He has been nominated once again in 2024 for this award.
