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Hello everybody and welcome! We hit the tri-oval at Talladega Superspeedway for the Geico 500 this week and another edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Now, that means our new friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win, and on the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where 1st nets 40 points, 2nd is worth 39, 3rd is worth 38, and so on. Every lap led equals an extra 0.01 points. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Joey Logano Over 31.5 Points. Logano starts the Geico 500 from the second position on Sunday. Though his last few results at Talladega have not been so good, the Team Penske driver is always a threat. Logano has three straight top-six finishes including a podium result last week at Richmond. Consider that the No. 22 finishes in the top ten at a rate of once every other race. He would just have to finish in ninth to hit this prop. Talladega's added risk drops plenty of the prop totals which increases value.
Denny Hamlin Over 32.5 Points. Hamlin still has somehow still not won a single race this season but has eight top-five finishes in nine races. With eighth place receiving 33 points, this looks to be the surest bet of all. Hamlin led 200+ laps last Sunday and starts from the first position on Sunday. If he races anything like the Joe Gibbs Racing driver did last week, Hamlin could again lead a considerable amount of laps. Even a finish well inside the top-ten looks to be reasonable enough on Sunday from the No. 11.
Bubba Wallace Under 24.5 Points. We would argue here to just go with the under and risk this anyway. Wallace would have to finish 18th or worse on Sunday. The 23XI Racing driver has finished 16th or worse in every race so far this season. So, this may not be that much of a stretch to see Wallace end up outside the top-20 even. At Talladega, the No. 23 has not finished inside the top ten. Also, he has crashed in two of his last four appearances there. He tends to get mired in the middle of the pack where the crashes could be more likely. Take the under.
Chase Elliott Over 31 Points. This is low for Elliott but with Talladega, there is always a risk. The Hendrick Motorsports Racing driver dropped to 12th at Martinsville last Sunday. However, the No. 9 has finished in the top ten in five of his ten appearances at the 2.66-mile superspeedway. If he just finishes tenth or better and leads a lap, that gives us the over. At some point, Elliott is going to start showing the form that led to his 2020 NASCAR Cup Series win.
Matt DiBenedetto Over 23.5 Points. DiBenedetto keeps proving pundits wrong with steady results. He has finished 16th (25 points) or better in six straight races. The Wood Brothers Racing driver starts 13th on Sunday at Talladega. If he stays close to his starting position then the over should be easy enough to hit once again. He even led the Fall race last year for ten laps. Talladega could provide an unexpected opportunity if he can survive the early wrecks.
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