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Welcome to the Saturday, June 8th edition of RotoBaller's MLB Betting Picks. I will be serving up some of my top options on today's 15 game slate.
In this article, we will dive into the numbers and pick out my top recommended betting picks for today's slate. Feel free to contact me on Twitter @JoeWilliamsVI if you have any questions or if you'd like addition content and occasional gambling notes and tidbits.
Here are my picks for Saturday, June 1st. Be sure to check out all the MLB Vegas Odds and MLB Park Factors for today's slate. Good luck!
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Atlanta Braves (-130) @ Miami Marlins
O/U: 8
The Braves turn to RHP Julio Teheran, who has posted a 3-4 record with a 3.28 ERA and 69 strikeouts over 71 1/3 innings. While he might have a sub-.500 record, the Braves have cobbled together a solid 5-1 record across his past six starts, including a win on Cinco de Mayo at Marlins Park, spinning six scoreless innings with just two hits and two walks allowed while striking out four batters.
The Marlins counter with RHP Trevor Richards, and Miami hasn't had a lot of luck with him on the hill. Miami is 2-5 over his past seven starts at home, 1-4 in his past five against winning teams and 1-5 in his past six attempts against teams from the National League East. They're also 0-7 across his past seven starts in Game 2 of a series, for whatever that's worth. The Marlins are just 6-21 across the past 27 meetings against the Braves, too.
My Pick: Braves -130
New York Yankees @ Cleveland Indians (+130)
O/U: 10
The Yankees look to exact a little revenge in Saturday's game against the Indians at Progressive Field. While the Yankees are moderate favorites on the road, they might not have the right pitcher on the bump. LHP C.C. Sabathia has posted an 0-1 record and 4.70 ERA across the past four outings against the Indians, his former team, and he hasn't beaten Cleveland since June 5, 2012. His last time as a winning pitcher in this building was back on Aug. 24, 2012.
The Indians are an attractive play at plus-money, and you'll want to make a small-unit parlay bet with the 'under' (10), too. The under is 7-2-1 in New York's past 10, and 6-0-1 in Sabathia's past seven against AL Central foes. The under is also 4-0-1 in New York's past five against teams with a winning overall mark, too. For Cleveland, the under has hit in five of the past seven, and 13 of the past 18 in their building. They have RHP Adam Plutko on the bump, and the under is 8-1 in his past nine overall, including 6-0 in his past six home outings.
My Pick: Indians +130 and Under 10
St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs (-105)
O/U: OFF
The Cardinals and Cubs continue their series from the north side, and the Cubs continue to look for redemption after getting broomed at Busch last weekend by their rivals. The Cardinals have been victorious in five of their past seven games overall, but they're just 1-4 in the past five games away from home. In addition, they're 1-4 in the past five tries on the road against a left-handed starter.
The Cardinals start RHP Jack Flaherty against Cubs LHP Jon Lester. The Cards just 2-7 across Flaherty's past nine assignments on the road, while the Cubbies are 35-17 over Lester's past 52 starts, and 40-18 in his past 58 inside the division. They're also 21-9 in the past 30 games against teams with a winning record, including 16-5 across the past 21 starts at home against teams with a record over .500. Chicago is 5-1 in the past six home starts by Lester against the Cards, and 5-2 in his past seven overall against St. Louis. The Cards are just 6-20 in their previous 26 sojourns to the north side, too.
My Pick: Cubs -105
Washington Nationals @ San Diego Padres (+145)
O/U: 7.5
The Nationals turn to RHP Max Scherzer looking to turn things around in SoCal. Perhaps the third time is a charm, as the Nats have been on the short end of a pair of 5-4 losses in their first two games of the series at Petco Park. Washington is still 9-4 over the past 13 games overall, but just 6-13 in the previous 19 away from the nation's capital. They're also an inexplicable 2-8 over Scherzer's past 10 outings, including 1-5 over his past six tries against teams with a winning overall record. The Nats are also a dismal 2-9 in the past 11 road games against a left-handed starter.
The Padres have posted victories in each of the past four starts by the southpaw Lauer, while going 4-0 over his past four on a grass surface. However, the Padres are still 3-9 in the past 12 starts against a team with a losing record, and they're winless in the past five at home against teams with a losing overall mark. Despite those ugly numbers, Washington is still just 1-5 in their past six tries against San Diego, so the home side is the value play.
My Pick: Padres +145
