RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~ 170
CURRENT ADP: ~200 overall
ANALYSIS: Luke Weaver seemed to be in the middle of a breakout before an injury halted his 2019 season. On the season, he pitched 64.1 innings in 12 starts with a 2.94 ERA and 1.07 WHIP. To further dive into this potential breakout, let’s take a look into some underlying stats. His K-BB% went from 11.0% in 2018 to 21.2% in 2019. This was due to a large spike in strikeouts while also lowering his walk rate. He simply raised his strikeout rate by creating more swing and misses and tricking batters into chasing outside of the zone. Both of his O-swing% and SwStr% were at the highest of his career!
Coming into 2020, Weaver was projected for around 130-140 innings over a full season. While the Diamondbacks could potentially hold him back for the first few starts (maybe five innings max), he should see a good chunk of starts and have no restrictions for the majority of the shortened season. All of which means that Weaver should comfortably be put into your top-50 pitchers for 2020.
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