RADIO
What's up, fellow Esports DFS enthusiasts? Welcome back to my daily LOL article, where I try to give you the most complete analysis and insight that I can into every LPL and LCK matchup.
I couldn't quite get any of the upset picks over the line yesterday, and building with Team Dynamics as a base was the way to go in every lineup. Today we won't have such an obvious play to build off of and will have to look for the best values to build our lineups. It's going to be tricky, so bear with me.
I'll be providing my League of Legends advice, analysis, and picks, for this LCK/LPL slate on DraftKings and FanDuel that locks at 4:00 AM on Saturday, June 27th, 2020. Make sure you follow me on Twitter @Mr_Malmanger as I often post starting lineups when I see them and other useful info for the slate.
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LCK Matches
4:00 AM SeolHaeOne Prince vs. Gen G (-750)
It is nice about the LCK, only having ten teams because they are always fresh in your mind. Having just seen Gen G take down DWG with a decisive baron call, and knowing that DWG is a better team than SP keeps me from wavering on some of these picks. Gen G is not performing up to their level of play in the spring split, but they should be able to hold off SP in this one. I like Gen G to sweep this match, and show that their downturn in summer is nothing more than having faced top tier competition thus far.
SP has a better first blood percentage, but Gen G has better rift herald takes and turns that into a better first turret and a better gold differential at 15 minutes. Gen G also has a much better dragon percentage and a decided vision advantage. Surprisingly, SP has the edge in baron numbers, but they have too faced much lesser competition than has Gen G. Gen G went back with Life in the support slot for their game vs. DWG, and I expect them to stay with him in this one. Luckily this is the early game for the LCK, and we will have starters announced before lock.
Top Gen G Plays
- Ruler - ADC
- Clid - JNG
- Life - SUP
- Gen G Team
7:00 AM: KT Rolster vs. DWG (-260)
DWG will be looking to get rolling again after the loss to Gen G, and KT to keep going after downing HLE. Damwon suffered their first loss of the new split but were in a good position to win that final game until they made a poor call to fight after losing baron. In this match versus KT Rolster, I like DWG to jump out to an early lead and not look back. Even in the Gen G series, we saw DWG maintain gold leads at 15 minutes. I think we see DWG 2-1 tonight, but KT is a live dog to be sure.
KT has the advantage in first blood percentage, but everything else is in favor of DWG. First turret, rift herald, drakes, barons, vision, gold generation, and damage output go over to DWG. KT is a live dog here, and on a night where I like all the favorites that could be worth a shot. I'll have some of them if they can withstand the early onslaught from DWG and get Hybrid into a position to carry late game. DWG has played very well into Aphelios with high-pressure bot lane combos, most notably Pantheon support. KT, though, has not favored the Aphelios, instead opting to ban the champion. They have played more Ezreal than anything, and Ez is very mobile and safe. It will be interesting to see how DWG reacts to KT in the draft phase, and we could even see them trying to force KT to pick Aphelios.
Top DWG Plays:
- Showmaker - MID
- Canyon - Jungle
- Beryl - SUP
- Nuguri - TOP
Top KT Plays:
- Aiming - ADC
- Tusin - SUP
- Bono - JNG
- Smeb - TOP
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LPL Matches
5:00 AM: Suning (-600) vs. Dominus
I recently had to sign an agreement with a friend of mine never EVER to recommend DMO again, and after the way that they have struggled even after the roster change that's as easily said as done. Dominus has been terrible pre and post player swaps, and while they have had some time off to try to maximize the skill set of the players, they recently promoted I don't have confidence in this coaching staff to be able to turn this season around.
Suning isn't a great early game team as a lot of their playstyle is simply getting Haunfeng to the late game and letting him carry. They have a worse first blood percentage than DMO. Everything else grades out in Suning's favor. Better gold, dragons, barons, damage output, and vastly superior vision stats. Huanfeng has gotten into a groove with Aphelios, Kaisa, and other late-game carries that suits SNG playstyle well. In spring, we saw DMO surprise SNG in week six, but that was when all SNG would play was Miss Fortune in the bot lane. A powerful pick at the time but easily outscaled. That won't be the case today, and I like SNG to sweep DMO.
Top SNG Plays:
- SofM - JNG
- Swordart - SUP
- Angel - MID
- Huanfeng - ADC
7:00 AM: Estar vs. FPX (-305)
After their loss to IG, FPX sits middle of the table. FPX will now face a streak of four winnable games until they meet TES in week six. Estar sits just behind FPX and is similarly sitting in a sweet spot in their schedule if they can get a win in this game. The stats in this game are pretty close, but I can't get over the easy narrative of coming off a loss to IG that FPX will be out for blood. Estar has a slight advantage in gold, drakes, and first turrets. FPX has the lead in first blood, damage output, barons, and rift heralds. I just can't shake the idea that none of those stats matter, and that a top tier team like FPX will not allow themselves to lose two in a row. I'll take them to win the series 2-1.
Top FPX Plays:
- Doinb - MID
- Khan - TOP
- Tian - JNG
- Lwx - SUP
Summary
- Since I like all the favorites we're going to have to troll for value on Saturday morning. DWG is too cheap on both sites, and I'll likely have a lot of them on Saturday.
- FPX and Estar have the most upside, and I'll try to cram in pieces from that match.
- Suning is your safest bet, but the matchup with DMO is built into their prices so be careful there in case they sweep and win too easily to pay off their prices.
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Another profitable night after a few break even or off nights due to trying to get too cute with lineup construction. @RotoBaller free articles remain ? as they have been. @mr_malmanger @ThunderDanDFS @grownfool pic.twitter.com/l015HO49GX
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More ESports DFS Analysis
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