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Fantasy Football Draft Targets and Avoids

2025 Fantasy Football Busts & Overvalued Players

Avoid draft-day mistakes with RotoBaller’s top Fantasy Football Busts and player fade picks. Our experts spotlight overvalued players, risky ADPs, and bust candidates to help you draft smarter.

Boom or Bust - Quarterback Projections for 2017

Ahhh… the question of when to draft a quarterback in fantasy football… a dilemma as old as time itself. Is it better to take a stud quarterback early on or to take your chances with depth at the position later? If you find yourself agreeing with the second option, you aren’t alone. It seems that […]


Players Who Should Be Prioritized in PPR, but Faded in Standard Leagues

PPR is one of the more intriguing fantasy formats, as it rewards players more for real-life value. While standard formats emphasize touchdowns, PPR rewards players who contribute a significant amount to their teams; however, they are hindered by their inability to find the end zone, or negatively impacted due to their role on a lower […]


Couldn’t Catch a Cold - Players to Be Wary of in PPR Leagues

One of most simple, yet undervalued pieces of fantasy advice is always “play and draft to your league settings”. Players should take this to heart especially when it comes to league scoring settings. The difference between PPR (points per reception), half PPR and standard can really go a long way in determining a team’s chances […]


10 Fantasy Football Predictions That Will Make Your Head Explode!

Fantasy football can be very unpredictable. In that way, it is a great metaphor for life. I found out this past week that a short story collection I wrote 13 years ago was politely mocked on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon this past May. Jovial Jimmy mentioned my book, Ten Tales To Make Your […]


Bear Down - Players Who Will See Market Share of Targets Decrease

Each NFL offseason is rife with changes that impact the fantasy value of various players. Whether it's the player's team changing or the player changing teams, there are many things that can affect a player's season outlook that have nothing to do with his actual ability. Opportunity is one of the most important factors in […]


Boom or Bust - Tight End Projections for 2017

Right now, there seem to be three names floating around whenever people talk about who the top fantasy tight ends will be: Rob Gronkowski, Travis Kelce, and Jordan Reed. Here's the problem with that: two of those three players tend to...umm...miss a lot of games. I really hate the idea of labeling a player as […]


Running Back Committees To Avoid In 2017

Running back committees are essentially the kiss of death for fantasy production. The unpredictability of who gets touches when is enough to drive an owner to a hair-pulling hissy fit. And that's just for the teams we can even identify as even having a committee in the first place. Considering that we haven't hit the preseason […]


The Grass Isn't Always Greener - NFL Free Agents Who Will Decrease in Value

There was major shake-up with NFL Free Agency this offseason, particularly at the running back position. When you think about team’s infuriating commitment to RBBC, all of the running backs that have been on the move in 2017 make sense. From a fantasy perspective though, it just makes it that much harder for owners to […]


Nick Mariano's Early-Round Overvalued List (Premium Content)

All other Premium Tools can be accessed on the premium dashboard. Everyone loves to talk about sleepers and which late-round fliers are going to deliver them to the promised land, but those picks can only blossom when overvalued land mines are left for others to step on. Here we'll be looking at two players per […]

PREMIUM

Let It Go - Players to Drop in Dynasty Football Leagues

Let it go, let it go Turn away and slam the door I don't care what they're going to say Let the storm rage on The cold never bothered me anyway... Before I proceed to give you my list of players that aren't worth holding onto in dynasty football, I first have to swear that […]


A Changing of the Guard - Why Winston, Mariota, and Carr will outscore Brady and Brees in 2017

After the performances of Tom Brady and Drew Brees last season, it’s hard to make an argument that they are anything but elite heading into 2017. However, seemingly every season we see an older player at the position fall from elite to mediocre or mediocre to irrelevant. In fact, there is quite a history of […]


NFL Draft Reaction - Most Improved Offenses

The dust has cleared and the picks are in. With the 2017 NFL Draft in the books, it's time to take a long look at how some of the most notable selections may impact the fantasy football landscape. Some of the effects will be immediate for current NFL players, but others may not be so […]


NFL Draft - Risers and Fallers

The dust has cleared and the picks are in. With the 2017 NFL Draft in the books, it's time to take a long look at how some of the most notable selections may impact the fantasy football landscape. Some of the effects will be immediate for current NFL players, but others may not be so […]


Do Wide Receivers Need a Top QB to Have a Dominant Fantasy Season?

Wide receiver is the premiere fantasy football position, so figuring out which WR are likely to produce at a high level is an important endeavor. One factor that could affect WR performance is quarterback play. Should we worry about receivers who are stuck with weak QBs? What if the WR or QB changes teams? Should we […]


Top MFL10 Fades and Avoids for April

The NFL Draft is still weeks away and the fantasy football draft season is even further in the distance. Not so for MFL10 players, who have been picking teams since mid-February broke. The MFL10 season is in full swing already and we will be looking at early ADP values throughout the spring and summer. After two […]


Sophomore Slumps - Breakout Rookies Who Will Underperform in Year Two

Rookies are the ultimate unknown in the NFL. Teams review hours and hours of game film, analyze enough numbers to make most banks jealous, and scout players at individual workouts, but there's still an unknown quality to rookies. It is difficult to predict how they'll perform as professionals. When they do perform well, general managers and coaches […]


Biggest Surprises of 2016 - Quarterbacks

Fantasy football is a game of controlling, rather than eliminating surprises. We spend hours trying to predict how each player will perform on any given week. We compare previous performances and delve into stats and data to avoid being surprised every week. Despite our best efforts, however, every week we find ourselves surprised. Whether our […]


Biggest Busts and Disappointments of 2016 - Tight Ends

Not every tight end had the season Kansas City’s Travis Kelce had in 2016. While Kelce caught every Alex Smith dump-off in sight on his way to a career-high 1,125 yards that topped all tight ends, many others gave their fantasy football owners a tremendous pile of garbage games, DNPs and head-scratching weeks. 2016 might go […]


Biggest Risers and Fallers of 2016: Tight Ends

We're a few days out from the Super Bowl, which means it's not long until the NFL combine. From there it's a hop, skip, and a jump to the NFL draft, and before you know it, we'll be in fantasy football draft season. To make the best plans for 2017, it helps to understand what […]


Biggest Risers and Fallers of 2016 - Running Backs

The running back position is arguably fantasy football's most volatile. Preseason expectations often go flying out the window once the season begins, and every year sees plenty of surprises, both good and bad. That never stops us from trying to make sense of what happened, with an eye toward making better prognostications next time around. […]


Biggest Busts and Disappointments of 2016 - Running Back

Welcome back to our RotoBaller offseason review series! Where we, your beloved RotoBaller fantasy football gurus/experts/shamans/soothsayers/yogis help you come to terms with the past season and slowly lull your inner football fan back into his or her offseason slumber once again. To do my part in helping guide this process along, I wanna talk running […]


Biggest Busts and Disappointments of 2016 - Wide Receivers

Wide receivers played a bigger factor than ever in fantasy football this season. Many fantasy owners went with the "Zero RB" strategy and waited until the middle rounds before even considering a quarterback. Therefore, the number of wide receivers with a first or second round ADP increased from previous years. Unfortunately, not all of these […]


Biggest Busts and Disappointments of 2016 - Quarterbacks

What a difference a year can make. Players that are viewed one year as safe bets can be viewed the very next year as shaky propositions. It's the beauty -- or, depending on how you look at it, the curse -- of fantasy football. No position is immune. Every season, there are a handful of […]


The 2016 Fantasy Football All-Bust Team

2016 was the best year of my life, as I got married to the girl of my dreams. 2016 was not as good to many others, however, especially in the NFL and in the fantasy football world. Ladies and gentlemen, boys and girls, fantasy football owners and marijuana stoners! Please allow me to introduce the […]


Biggest Risers and Fallers of 2016 - Wide Receivers

2016 wasn't exactly an exciting year for traditional rookie storylines. Unlike the emergence of Odell Beckham Jr. via one-handed grab in 2014, or the dominant arrival of guys like Amari Cooper last year. Ultimately, 2016 revealed no red carpet for the heir to the throne (though one rookie made a pretty dominant case.) Unlike the […]


Top 10 Fantasy Football Busts of 2016

We are one weekend away from knowing who will represent the AFC and NFC in this year's Super Bowl. One team will proudly hoist the trophy, while the other is destined to spiral downward in the offseason, miss the playoffs in 2017 and be rife with busts throughout their lineup (thanks for nothing, Carolina). Before we […]


Biggest Risers and Fallers of 2016 - Quarterbacks

The 2016 fantasy football season has come and gone. It is such a bitter period of time we currently reside in, as we watch great football games on television but no longer have our fantasy teams to constantly monitor and tinker with. Allow yourself to mourn, for it is natural and quite healthy. But before […]


10 Fantasy Football Lineup Busts for Divisional Playoffs

You've read about all the sleepers, waiver wire pickups and starter suggestions based on matchups. Now let me burst some bubbles and tell you who I think is going to bust big time in the Divisional playoffs this weekend. This isn't to troll or spread hate - that's what Reddit is for. Think of this as a public […]


10 Fantasy Football Lineup Busts for Wild Card Weekend

You've read about all the sleepers, waiver wire pickups and starter suggestions based on matchups. Now let me burst some bubbles and tell you who I think is going to bust big time in Wild Card weekend. This isn't to troll or spread hate - that's what Reddit is for. Think of this as a public service […]


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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kyle Tucker

Homers Twice in Win
Chris Sale

Likely to Return Next Weekend
Brian Robinson Jr.

to be RB2
Najee Harris

to be Ready Week 1?
De'Von Achane

Making Good Progress
Jaylen Wright

Considered "Week-to-Week"
Marcus Semien

Placed on Injured List
Jackson Merrill

Heads to 10-Day Injured List
Jordan Love

Says He'll Play in Week 1
Brice Turang

Absent on Saturday, "Touch-and-Go" With Wrist Injury
Chase Elliott

Despite Being Winless at Daytona, Chase Elliott is Probably the Best DFS Option
Ryan Blaney

Will Likely Lead a Lot at Daytona
Kyle Larson

a Poor DFS Option at Daytona
Christopher Bell

Consistent Enough to Consider for DFS
Chris Buescher

Now Must Win His Way Into Playoffs
Ryan Preece

Being One of the Slowest-Starting Fords Makes Ryan Preece a Strong DFS Option
Ross Chastain

Leads a Lot on Drafting Tracks
Daniel Suarez

Now in Desperation Mode With his Career on the Line
Chase Briscoe

Tendency to Finish Better Than He Runs May Reap Dividends at Daytona
Lamar Jackson

Should Practice on Monday
Carson Hocevar

Hard to Forecast Since He's Rarely Given 100 Percent at Daytona
Michael McDowell

has a Solid Drafting Record
AJ Allmendinger

A.J. Allmendinger Arguably Starting Too Well for Place-Differential Points
Austin Dillon

Will Likely Be Too Conservative for DFS Consideration
Noah Gragson

Has Place-Differential Potential as One of the Lowest-Starting Fords
Todd Gilliland

Poor Starting Position and Ford's Drafting Speed Make Todd Gilliland a Viable Option
Zane Smith

Probably Starting Too Well for DFS Play
Justin Haley

has Strong Pass-Differential Potential
Cole Custer

Daytona 500 Speed Makes Him a Solid Play
Austin Hill

Qualifies Poorly Enough for DFS Consideration
Matt Chapman

Activated and Starting on Saturday
Moses Moody

Warriors Not Interested in Trading Moses Moody
Kevin Durant

Rockets Expected to Agree on New Contract
Trey Murphy III

Warriors, Spurs Interested in Trey Murphy III
Zack Wheeler

to Undergo Season-Ending Surgery
Kyle Busch

Facing a Must-Win Situation at Daytona
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

. Could Be a Risky Pick at Daytona
Yoán Moncada

Yoan Moncada Hits a Pair of Home Runs on Friday
Willy Adames

Belts Two Solo Home Runs on Friday
CAR

Luke Kunin Joins Panthers on One-Year Deal
Auston Matthews

Says His Health is "Good" Before Start of Season
Roope Hintz

"Feeling Good" Ahead of New Season
Matthew Tkachuk

Recovering From Surgery
Marco Rossi

Wild Re-Sign Marco Rossi to Three-Year Deal
Bubba Chandler

Records Four-Inning Save in Debut
Walker Buehler

Officially Moving to Bullpen
Adolis García

Adolis Garcia to be Activated on Saturday
Tanner Scott

Activated on Friday
NBA

Malik Beasley Now Drawing Interest from Teams
Jacob Wilson

Reintated and Starting on Friday
Marcus Semien

Could be Out All Weekend, IL Stint Possible
Evan Carter

Could Miss Rest of Season With Fractured Wrist
Brian Robinson Jr.

Traded to 49ers
Samuel Basallo

Inks an Eight-Year Extension With the Orioles
Zhang Mingyang

Set For UFC Shanghai Main Event
Johnny Walker

In Dire Need Of Victory
Brian Ortega

An Underdog At UFC Shanghai
Aljamain Sterling

Set For UFC Shanghai Co-Main Event
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Sergei Pavlovich

A Favorite At UFC Shanghai
Kevin Borjas

Set for UFC Shanghai Main-Card Bout
Sumudaerji

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Kiefer Crosbie

Set To Open Up UFC Shanghai Main Card
Taiyilake Nueraji

Set For His UFC Debut
Jesús Sánchez

Jesus Sanchez Tallies Five Hits
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Diaz Dealing With Low-Grade Hamstring Strain
Marcus Semien

Leaves Thursday With Foot Contusion
Connor Ingram

Clears Player Assistance Program
Frank Nazar

Inks Seven-Year Extension With Blackhawks
Adley Rutschman

Going on Injured List With Strained Oblique
COL

Victor Olofsson Signs One-Year Deal With Avalanche
Tee Higgins

has Injury Scare on Thursday
Dallas Cowboys

Micah Parsons Expected to Play in Week 1
Chris Godwin

Expected to be Activated from the PUP List
Dru Smith

Aims to Be Healthy for Training Camp
Jayson Tatum

Provides Injury Update
RJ Barrett

Considered a Trade Candidate
Golden State Warriors

Warriors "Remain Very Confident" About Signing Al Horford
Jahmir Young

Agrees to Deal With Heat
Devaughn Vele

Traded to Saints
Demarcus Robinson

Issued Three-Game Suspension
Lamar Jackson

Dealing With Minor Foot Injury
Lamar Jackson

Suffers Apparent Hand Injury
Hideki Matsuyama

Looks to Bounce Back at Tour Championship
Corey Conners

Looking to Reverse Struggles at East Lake
Joe Mixon

Could Begin Season on PUP List
Cameron Young

Stays Hot Ahead of Tour Championship
Harris English

Aims for Complete Game at East Lake
Sepp Straka

Back in Action at East Lake
Ben Griffin

a Strong Value Play at East Lake
Rory McIlroy

Chasing Another Win at East Lake
Patrick Cantlay

Finishes Tied for 30th at BMW Championship
Ludvig Aberg

Finishes Tied For Seventh at BMW Championship
Collin Morikawa

Finishes Tied for 33rd at BMW Championship
Keegan Bradley

Finishes Tied for 17th at BMW Championship
Robert MacIntyre

Finishes Second at BMW Championship
J.J. Spaun

Finishes Tied for 23rd at BMW Championship
Scottie Scheffler

Wins BMW Championship
Brian Robinson Jr.

Not Expected to Play for Commanders This Year
Rashee Rice

Could be Facing 4-6 Game Suspension?
Harry Hall

Hot at the Right Time for Tour Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Wants to Rebound at Tour Championship
Jacob Bridgeman

has One Weakness Heading to Atlanta
Nikola Vučević

Nikola Vucevic Not Expecting to Be Moved Before the Season
Nick Taylor

a Long Shot to Win Tour Championship
Josh Giddey

Bulls Not Interested in Sign-and-Trade Deal Involving Josh Giddey
Brian Harman

Trying to Crack Top 20 at Tour Championship
Andrew Novak

Attempts to Bounce Back in Atlanta
Oscar Tshiebwe

Signs New Two-Way Deal With Jazz
Justin Rose

Seeks Even More Success at Tour Championship
Washington Wizards

Alondes Williams Joins Wizards for Training Camp
Washington Wizards

Wizards Add Skal Labissiere for Training Camp
A.J. Brown

on Track to Play in Week 1
CBJ

Brendan Smith Joins Blue Jackets on Tryout Deal
STL

Milan Lucic Joins Blues for Tryout
DET

Red Wings Pick Up Travis Hamonic
Jalen McMillan

Could be Out Through Week 9 Bye
Indiana Pacers

Pacers Coach Rick Carlisle Agrees to a Multiyear Contract Extension on Tuesday
Washington Wizards

John Wall Retires After 11 NBA Seasons
Daniel Jones

Named as Colts Starting Quarterback
Jalen McMillan

Will Not Be Ready for Season Opener
Collin Sexton

Hornets Have High Hopes for Collin Sexton
Rui Hachimura

Likely to Start Season Without Contract Extension
Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Hopes to Bounce Back in 2025-26
Stephen Curry

Ready to Go for New Season
Orlando Magic

Lester Quinones Agrees to Deal With Magic

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