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Boom or Bust - Tight End Projections for 2017

Right now, there seem to be three names floating around whenever people talk about who the top fantasy tight ends will be: Rob Gronkowski, Travis Kelce, and Jordan Reed. Here's the problem with that: two of those three players tend to...umm...miss a lot of games. I really hate the idea of labeling a player as injury prone, but Gronk and Reed have a long history of not being healthy.

After those three, Greg Olson and Delanie Walker are good, safe bets. You know what you're getting there--solid production, not very many duds, maybe a game or two where they put up big numbers. You want Olson and Walker on your team.

What's that? Oh, you play in a league that has more than six teams? You have to look a little further down the tight end list? You're having an existential crisis as you glance at all these names, that feeling of well, guess I just have to live with that bad spot in my lineup dread welling up in your chest? Hey! Don't worry too much! There's good value there! Let's look at two players who can really bust out for you this year and one who probably will end up busting the other direction.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

Draft These Dudes

Hunter Henry, L.A. Chargers

If it feels like we've been talking about Antonio Gates replacements for years, it's because we definitely have--remember when Ladarius Green was going to take over for him? But this season and this player feel different. Gates had the lowest catch percentage of his career last season--57%--and just turned 37. As hard as it is to believe, his decline has started.

Meanwhile, Hunter Henry scored one more touchdown last season than Gates on 17 less receptions. His catch percentage was 10 points higher than Gates. The stats back it up--Henry was the best tight end on the Chargers last season.

There's still an obvious problem though: Antonio Gates. Henry is currently the best option that L.A. has at tight end, but that doesn't necessarily mean that the tight end job is his alone. A healthy Gates will cut into Henry's share of targets. You've got to just sit back and trust Henry to do big things with the balls he gets. That shouldn't be too big of an issue since he should end up getting the ball more this season than he did last season.

 

Zach Ertz, Philadelphia Eagles

Ertz ended last season on a hot streak, seeing double-digit targets in three of Philadelphia's final five games. Yes, two of his four touchdowns came in the team's final game so there's some definite concern about that, but I'm all in on Ertz this year. He tied for the team lead in red zone targets and an older and more experienced Carson Wentz should help open Ertz up even more.

Ertz struggled after coming back from injury last season, with his targets remaining fairly low until the Eagles' eighth game. After that, though, he became a consistent part of the team's offense.

The addition of Alshon Jeffery should help Ertz--with an actually good wide receiver on the field, Ertz should get a little more space in which to operate.

Even with his three game absence last season, Ertz finished as a top-10tight end. He'll do that again this season. Sprinkle in some potential injuries to the top guys and you're looking at a huge steal with Ertz.

 

But Be Careful With This Guy

Eric Ebron, Detroit Lions

I lived in the Toledo area for a couple of years, so I met a lot of Lions' fans and one thing they all had in common was severely overrating random skill position players on their team. It was little odd, then, that they all seemed (and the ones I'm still in contact with still seem) frustrated by Eric Ebron.

On the surface, Ebron looks like a player who should do big things. Ebron's athleticism and speed were big news after the NFL Combine in 2014, but it's been three years now and that buzz is still just a lot of buzz. Ebron hasn't played a 16-game season yet and hasn't finished as a top ten fantasy tight end.

The numbers last season did look stronger: a 71.8 catch percentage and 11.7 yards per reception, plus he showed his big play ability at times. But here's the big problem with Ebron: he was only targeted six times inside the 20 last season. SIX. Four Lions players had more red zone targets and three of those four--Marvin Jones, Golden Tate, and Theo Riddick--are back this year. With an improved rushing attack--Ameer Abdullah should be healthy and Matt Asiata can do damage in short yardage situations, especially around the end zone--it doesn't look like Ebron is going to be too much more involved in the red zone, which is a huge limit to his upside. Getting extra yardage in the open field is great, but you need a tight end who can do work in the end zone. Unless something changes, that isn't Ebron.

 

More Sleepers & Draft Values




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Blake Snell

Activated From Paternity List Tuesday
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Cowboys Still Expect Micah Parsons to Play in Week 1
Luis Robert Jr.

Exits Early With Hamstring Soreness
Chris Godwin

Passes Physical, Will be Activated From PUP List
Willson Contreras

Issued Six-Game Suspension
Randy Rodríguez

Randy Rodriguez Placed on Injured List
Brandon Aiyuk

49ers Officially Place Brandon Aiyuk on PUP List
Nathan Eovaldi

Likely Done for the Season
Tyreek Hill

Remains Out of Practice
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Moved to Active Roster
Yordan Alvarez

Activated and Starting on Tuesday
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Back From Injured List
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Jonah Tong Promoted to Major Leagues
Spencer Rattler

Saints Name Spencer Rattler as Starting QB
MarShawn Lloyd

Packers Leaning Toward Placing MarShawn Lloyd on Injured Reserve
Tyjae Spears

to Begin the Season on Injured Reserve
Nikola Jović

Heat Have High Hopes for Nikola Jovic
Golden State Warriors

Cody Martin Drawing Interest From Warriors
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Timberwolves Interested in Reunion With Bones Hyland
Kylor Kelley

Joins Lakers
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Links Up With Magic
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Pete Carroll Classifies Brock Bowers Among His Best Players Ever
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Lingering Calf Injury Poses Concerns for De'Von Achane
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P.J. Washington

Mavs Likely to Offer P.J. Washington a Contract Extension
Kenny Pickett

Raiders Acquire Kenny Pickett From Browns
Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals Give Trey Hendrickson a Raise
Amari Cooper

Signs One-Year Deal With Raiders
NHL

Jan Rutta Lands in Switzerland
Kirby Dach

Skates on Monday
COL

Tyson Barrie Retires From NHL
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Back in Toronto's Lineup
Joe Mixon

to Start Season on Non-Football Injury List
Jaylen Wright

Not Expected to Play in Week 1
Jakobi Meyers

Requests Trade
Jauan Jennings

Not Practicing on Monday, has Avoided IR for Now
Matthew Stafford

Taking 11-On-11 Reps on Monday
Zhang Mingyang

Suffers His First UFC Loss
Johnny Walker

Gets Back In The Win Column
Brian Ortega

Loses Back-To-Back Fights
Aljamain Sterling

Proves Too Much For Brian Ortega
Chris Sale

Penciled in to Start on Saturday
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Suffers Unanimous-Decision Loss
Sergei Pavlovich

Wins Decision At UFC Shanghai
Terry McLaurin

Signs Three-Year Extension with Commanders
Kevin Borjas

Drops Decision At UFC Shanghai
Sumudaerji

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Kiefer Crosbie

Still Winless In The UFC
Taiyilake Nueraji

Gets His First UFC Win
Ryan Blaney

Earns his Second Daytona Cup Series Win
Tyler Reddick

Locks Into the 2025 Playoffs Despite Underwhelming Daytona Performance
Erik Jones

Misses the 2025 Playoffs Despite Top-Five Run at Daytona
Justin Haley

Best Performance of 2025 Falls Short of Victory at Daytona
Chase Burns

To Throw Bullpen on Tuesday
Kyle Larson

Enters Playoffs As Co-Points Leader
Alex Bowman

Advances to Playoffs Despite Crashing at Daytona
Cole Custer

Finally Shows Signs of Life at Daytona
Daniel Suarez

Lame-Duck Daniel Suarez Delivers Clutch Second-Place Finish
Logan Gilbert

Punches Out 13 in Victory
Randy Rodríguez

Randy Rodriguez Battling Arm Soreness
Marcus Semien

Out 4-6 Weeks, Could Miss Rest of Season
Ranger Suárez

Ranger Suarez Strikes Out 11 in Win
Cal Raleigh

Sets Catcher Home Run Record
Yordan Alvarez

Likely to Return on Tuesday
Jacob deGrom

to Start on Monday
Kyle Tucker

Homers Twice in Win
Chris Sale

Likely to Return Next Weekend
Brian Robinson Jr.

to be RB2
Marcus Semien

Placed on Injured List
Chase Elliott

Despite Being Winless at Daytona, Chase Elliott is Probably the Best DFS Option
Ryan Blaney

Will Likely Lead a Lot at Daytona
Kyle Larson

a Poor DFS Option at Daytona
Christopher Bell

Consistent Enough to Consider for DFS
Chris Buescher

Now Must Win His Way Into Playoffs
Ryan Preece

Being One of the Slowest-Starting Fords Makes Ryan Preece a Strong DFS Option
Ross Chastain

Leads a Lot on Drafting Tracks
Daniel Suarez

Now in Desperation Mode With his Career on the Line
Chase Briscoe

Tendency to Finish Better Than He Runs May Reap Dividends at Daytona
Carson Hocevar

Hard to Forecast Since He's Rarely Given 100 Percent at Daytona
Michael McDowell

has a Solid Drafting Record
AJ Allmendinger

A.J. Allmendinger Arguably Starting Too Well for Place-Differential Points
Austin Dillon

Will Likely Be Too Conservative for DFS Consideration
Moses Moody

Warriors Not Interested in Trading Moses Moody
Kevin Durant

Rockets Expected to Agree on New Contract
Trey Murphy III

Warriors, Spurs Interested in Trey Murphy III
CAR

Luke Kunin Joins Panthers on One-Year Deal
Auston Matthews

Says His Health is "Good" Before Start of Season
Roope Hintz

"Feeling Good" Ahead of New Season
Matthew Tkachuk

Recovering From Surgery
Marco Rossi

Wild Re-Sign Marco Rossi to Three-Year Deal
NBA

Malik Beasley Now Drawing Interest from Teams
Zhang Mingyang

Set For UFC Shanghai Main Event
Johnny Walker

In Dire Need Of Victory
Brian Ortega

An Underdog At UFC Shanghai
Aljamain Sterling

Set For UFC Shanghai Co-Main Event
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
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Kevin Borjas

Set for UFC Shanghai Main-Card Bout
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Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
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Set To Open Up UFC Shanghai Main Card
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Set For His UFC Debut
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Clears Player Assistance Program
Frank Nazar

Inks Seven-Year Extension With Blackhawks
COL

Victor Olofsson Signs One-Year Deal With Avalanche
Dru Smith

Aims to Be Healthy for Training Camp
Jayson Tatum

Provides Injury Update
RJ Barrett

Considered a Trade Candidate
Golden State Warriors

Warriors "Remain Very Confident" About Signing Al Horford
Jahmir Young

Agrees to Deal With Heat

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