RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 450
CURRENT ADP: ~540 overall
ANALYSIS: I'm beating the "shift ban" drum here, but Santana is set to benefit from that as the league shifted on him in nearly all of his PAs as a lefty last year. The Pirates saw an opportunity there and scooped him up, and PNC Park does offer a short porch for left-handed pull hitters.
The counting stats are unlikely to be there, as we can see here with him failing to reach even 65 runs or RBI (although this is assuming he's not a full-time player, which he very well could be). He had a nice 9.3% barrel rate last year with a 45% hard-hit rate, so he hasn't stopped hitting the ball hard with age.
I can see a season where Santana plays 150 games, raises his batting average because of the shift ban, and hits 20 homers as a clean-up hitter. That would certainly justify a top-500 pick in fantasy leagues, and right now he's going well after that.
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