MLB Home Run Player Prop Bets Today: Best Hitter HR Props (4/8/2026)

April 8, 2026

Thunder Dan's best MLB player prop bets for today (4/8/2026). Bet his home run props (HR props) and win money betting on MLB player props, including Dillon Dingler and more.

The pressure is on! My colleagues have been hitting these home run prop bets nearly every day, and I put up a goose egg my first time around. Today's MLB slate is stacked, with games spread across the afternoon and evening as most teams wrap up their first series of the week.

Should we chase some hot hitters, or perhaps go after some hitters who are making loud contact, but not getting the HR results just yet? It's likely to be a combination of both!

Below, you'll read about my favorite home run props from MLB games on Wednesday, April 8, 2026. Today, I'll exclusively feature odds from our partners at Novig sports prediction markets.

MLB Prop Bets - Today's Home Run Prop Picks (4/8/2026)

Here are all the hitters I'll cover for HR props on Wednesday, April 8.

Hunter Goodman OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+312 Novig)

One way to pare down the games we target is by eliminating the games with good starters. Another way to keep whittling that list down this time of year is by avoiding cold-weather games and strong winds blowing. There are quite a few frigid games on the East Coast today, so most of my targets are playing in the best hitting environments on the slate.

We start in Coors Field, where it's supposed to be sunny and 70 degrees at game time, one of the warmer games on the slate and, of course, one of the best park factors for hitters.

I'm going to attack both pitchers in this game, but I am starting with a Rockies righty, Goodman, against Cristian Javier, who has allowed 2.2 HR/9 and a massive 29.4% barrel rate to righties to start the season. Javier has shown reverse splits before, so it's not too much of a surprise to see righties teeing off on him again this year.

Goodman was slightly better against lefties last year, but still smacked 23 of his 31 home runs off right-handers. He's struggled to make contact this year so far, but Javier hasn't been missing many bats either, so it feels like a good spot for him to bust out with a long ball.

Jordan Walker OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+481 Novig)

Everyone is talking about Walker's post-(post-post)hype breakout so far this year! The Cardinals' righty is now hitting cleanup for St. Louis and smacked his fourth dinger of the season last night to help lead his team to a comeback win.

Jordan Walker is ON FIRE! 🔥

His fourth home run of the season! pic.twitter.com/Muytoy8wCW

— St. Louis Cardinals (@Cardinals) April 8, 2026

This one feels too easy. We have a young, confident, hot hitter who is facing arguably the worst pitcher on the slate, his former teammate Miles Mikolas. Poor Mikolas has already allowed three home runs to righties this season and is sporting a 20% barrel% to righties and a 55% hard contact rate - YIKES!

These odds are pretty darn good for a player with as much raw power and talent as Walker has. Let's see if he can stay hot!

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Zach Neto OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+449 Novig)

Neto is not a prototypical leadoff hitter. He doesn't walk, and he strikes out a lot. The only true leadoff hitter trait he has is speed on the basepaths, but his plate approach resembles a cleanup power hitter.

He leads the Angels with four home runs this season and a .532 SLG. He can hit both righties and lefties, so facing a righty today (Grant Holmes) doesn't bother me a bit.

What really drew me to this play is the pitch-type matchup. Holmes is very slider-dependent, throwing his slider more than his four-seamer. Neto crushes sliders and has the best numbers on the team against right-handed sliders, with Jorge Soler not too far behind.

Neto has significantly better odds than Soler on Novig and is the hotter hitter to start the season, so let's roll with him as our pick in this warm-weather, West Coast game!

Dillon Dingler OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+635 Novig)

We won't have warm temps in Minnesota tonight, but we should have a slight breeze blowing out to the center field, and the Twins are rolling out arguably their worst starter, Bailey Ober.

Ober has seen his velocity disappear in recent years, struggling to hit 90 mph with his fastball, and thus, he's very reliant on his offspeed stuff. Righties have hit him hard so far this year, as he's allowed a 43.8% hard-hit rate and 12.5 Barrel%.

Detroit dinger 🛎️ pic.twitter.com/mk8eb1k4Mo

— Detroit Tigers (@tigers) April 3, 2026

Enter Dingler, who has shown some solid power to start the season with two home runs and a 30% barrel%. As a former big-time prospect, it feels like he's on the cusp of a breakout this year, and yet we are still getting him priced as if he's a 9-hole hitter. I love the value at Novig today, and I want to try to keep getting out in front of these young hitters who are putting it together before the market catches up.

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Longshot: Joey Loperfido OVER 0.5 Home Runs (+826 Novig)

The low-hanging fruit here would be to go with Yordan Alvarez in Coors against Michael Lorenzen, but I want the big payday, and we are getting a chance four times more value with Loperfido.

I want to attack Lorenzen with lefties, and while Loperfido has yet to go yard this year, we saw him post a .539 SLG% and .211 ISO last year against righties in limited duty. Seven of his eight career home runs have come off RHP, and the threat of strikeouts doesn't bother me much as Lorenzen is a high-contact pitcher.

He's got some solid power in his bat and a nice matchup here, so I'll roll the dice on him as my top value home run today.

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