Articles
2026 Starting Pitcher Breakout Candidates
Last season, I was pounding the table for Kris Bubic. He logged 116 innings, with a 2.55 ERA (3.65 xERA), 1.18 WHIP, while maintaining some of his skills via his swinging-strike rate (13.5 percent) and ball rate (33 percent) in 2025. Unfortunately, Bubic missed most of the second half of the season, with a left […]
Breakouts and Sleepers That Won Championships
We're heading into Week 18, and most fantasy football leagues have finished. Congratulations if you won leagues or cashed money because it's a grind to make it to the playoffs and survive the variance of a one-week season. A reminder that we're dealing with small samples in a given season, particularly in small portions of […]
WR/CB Matchups to Target and Avoid
Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 17 of the 2025 fantasy football season. The fantasy football playoffs are here, with a large sample of the offensive and defensive advanced metrics. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected to cover them. […]
WR/CB Matchups to Target and Avoid
Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 16 of the 2025 fantasy football season. The fantasy football playoffs are here, with a large sample of the offensive and defensive advanced metrics. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected to cover them. […]
WR/CB Matchups to Target and Avoid
Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 15 of the 2025 fantasy football season. The fantasy football playoffs are here, with a large sample of the offensive and defensive advanced metrics. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected to cover them. […]
WR/CB Matchups to Target and Avoid
Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 14 of the 2025 fantasy football season. We're close to the fantasy football playoffs, with a large sample of the offensive and defensive advanced metrics. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected to cover […]
WR/CB Matchups to Target and Avoid
Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 13 of the 2025 fantasy football season. We're close to the fantasy football players, with a large sample of the offensive and defensive advanced metrics. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected to cover […]
WR/CB Matchups to Target and Avoid
Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 12 of the 2025 fantasy football season. We're in the double-digit weeks of the season, with a large sample of the offensive and defensive advanced metrics. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected to […]
WR/CB Matchups to Target and Avoid
Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 11 of the 2025 fantasy football season. We're in the double-digit weeks of the season, with a large sample of the offensive and defensive advanced metrics. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected to […]
WR/CB Matchups to Target and Avoid
Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 10 of the 2025 fantasy football season. We have a decent sample of eight weeks in the offensive and defensive advanced metrics. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected to cover them. We're using […]
WR/CB Matchups to Target and Avoid
Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 9 of the 2025 fantasy football season. We have a decent sample of eight weeks in the offensive and defensive advanced metrics. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected to cover them. We're using […]
WR/CB Matchups to Upgrade and Downgrade
Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 8 of the 2025 fantasy football season. We have a decent sample of six weeks in the offensive and defensive advanced metrics. Injuries have taken a toll on the wide receiver and cornerback positions. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide […]
WR/CB Matchups to Upgrade and Downgrade
Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 7 of the 2025 fantasy football season. We have a decent sample of six weeks in the offensive and defensive advanced metrics. Injuries have taken a toll on the wide receiver and cornerback positions. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide […]
WR/CB Matchups to Upgrade and Downgrade
Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 6 of the 2025 fantasy football season. We have a decent sample of five weeks in the offensive and defensive advanced metrics. Injuries have taken a toll on the wide receiver and cornerback positions. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide […]
WR/CB Matchups to Upgrade and Downgrade
Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 5 of the 2025 fantasy football season. We have a decent sample of four weeks in the offensive and defensive advanced metrics. Injuries have taken a toll on the wide receiver and cornerback positions. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide […]
WR/CB Matchups to Upgrade and Downgrade
Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 4 of the 2025 fantasy football season. We have a decent sample of three weeks in the offensive and defensive advanced metrics. The narratives have somewhat shifted over the past few weeks. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus […]
WR/CB Matchups to Upgrade and Downgrade
Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 3 of the 2025 fantasy football season. Don't overreact to one week of fantasy football, but we'll have a decent sample of data after four or more weeks. We saw one-week samples flip in the opposite direction from Weeks 1 to 2 based on the matchup and […]
WR/CB Matchups to Upgrade and Downgrade
Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 2 of the 2025 fantasy football season. Don't overreact to one week of fantasy football, but we'll have a decent sample of data after a few weeks. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected […]
WR/CB Matchups to Upgrade and Downgrade
Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 1 of the 2025 fantasy football season. After a long offseason, we're thrilled to be back and kick off the 2025 season! For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected to cover them. We're using […]
Team Defense Avoids: Tough Early DST Matchups
If we're targeting defenses, then there probably will be teams to fade. Take a look at my latest article if you're interested in reading about the team defenses to target as sleepers. We discussed how NFL teams break their season into quarters, and we'll do the same for targeting and starting defenses. It's rare to […]
Running Back Landmines and Bust Candidates
Everyone loves breakouts and sleepers. However, the players to avoid might be just as important as the breakouts and sleepers. We've discussed the dead zone at running back, which has evolved throughout the years. Typically, the market pushed up running backs who had projected volume to begin the season. However, drafters weren't thinking about how […]
WR3 Draft Targets with Upside
Most fantasy football leagues have flex positions, allowing players to choose from a running back, a wide receiver, and a tight end. In formats where players are rewarded for receptions and receiving points, we aim to secure the flex position, typically held by a receiver. Sometimes, receivers being priced as a WR3, meaning WR36 or […]
Running Back ZeroRB Draft Sleepers
Some drafters might be fading the ZeroRB approach because running backs were profitable in the early rounds over the past two seasons. With the juicy 2025 rookie class, many receivers and running backs landed in friendly spots, making them earlier picks in drafts. The basis for the ZeroRB draft strategy came from Shawn Siegele and […]
Early Season WR Matchups
Like any projection, we're basing our information on a relatively small sample of the previous season or multiple seasons. NFL teams discuss dividing their seasons into quarters or sections, allowing them to make adjustments. Even within those quarters or chunks, those teams will evolve and look different at various points in time. The same process […]
Team Defense (D/ST) Sleepers: Top Matchups
We love hyping up sleepers and must-have targets at various positions. However, we sometimes forget about defenses. Sometimes those team defenses can provide spike weeks, helping fantasy managers win leagues. In redraft leagues, the playoffs matter, but we need to reach that point. One way to increase our odds of reaching the fantasy football playoffs […]
Tough Early-Season WR Matchups
After examining the receiving data allowed by coverage, we projected a strength of schedule for receivers based on the first four weeks of games. This doesn’t mean we should sit all the receivers. However, we might want to downgrade or lower expectations given how the camp news and team situations shake out over the next […]
Fantasy Football Drafting Backward Strategy
In fantasy baseball, one strategy involves drafting backward or building your draft from the back. So what does that mean? Essentially, it's an attempt to find players who could provide similar production. Our goal is to find players with similar skills to those of a player who is selected earlier in drafts. Name value, recent successes […]
5 Fantasy Football Values With Upside
Best ball leagues have been taking over the world. Everyone loves drafting and then watching how the team shakes out. In a recent article, I examined the historical data for Fantasy Football Players Championship (FFPC) formats. The data uncovers where drafters scooped up potential values to win best ball leagues. Using historical data and win […]
3 Crowded Backfields in 2025
There has been research on leaning into the uncertainty and examining crowded backfields. We discussed the Giants, Vikings, and Commanders in a previous article covering a few other backfields. We're looking at team running backs with an average draft position (ADP) difference at 75 picks or lower from their team's RB1 and RB2 in the […]
Who To Draft? Nix, Fields, Maye
When fantasy managers are on the clock, whether it’s a fast or slow draft, we have important decisions to make. Sometimes, the clock winding down can make us feel the pressure to make the correct pick. That’s especially true when there are a few different players at the same position having similar profiles. We’re in […]
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