Fantasy Football Rookie Spotlight: Jamari Thrash

Draft capital matters for fantasy football players, but more so early in drafts with a 0.576 correlation for top-10 picks and fantasy points per game for wide receivers over the past five seasons. For context, the correlation plummets to 0.004 for picks 11-32, with a slightly better correlation (0.131) to PPR/G for Rounds 5-7 at […]

Fantasy Football Rookie Spotlight: Audric Estimé

We've heard the phrase running backs don't matter before. That's evident in the real-life NFL Draft, with only 12 running backs going in the first round since 2014. That list includes Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Josh Jacobs, Melvin Gordon, Todd Gurley, Saquon Barkley, Sony Michel, Leonard Fournette, Christian McCaffrey, Ezekiel Elliott, Najee Harris, Bijan Robinson, and Jahmyr […]

Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitcher Arsenal Changes: Pitch Mix, Velocity, and Movement (Week 8)

Welcome back to the weekly column, where we cover a few starting pitchers and their arsenal changes via pitch mix, velocity, and movement. We're at a point where the pitch movement, arsenal, and velocity should tell us a story with a handful of starts under their belts. With more injuries likely coming soon, we'll want to […]

Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitcher Arsenal Changes: Pitch Mix, Velocity, and Movement (Week 7)

Welcome back to the weekly column, where we cover a few starting pitchers and their arsenal changes via pitch mix, velocity, and movement. We're at a point where the pitch movement, arsenal, and velocity should tell us a story with a handful of starts under their belts. With more injuries likely coming soon, we'll want to […]

Top Fantasy Baseball Stories of the Week - Jo Adell, Jack Flaherty, and Nationals' Hitters

A friend told me once that the days will be long and the years will be short. That's the case for real-life and fantasy baseball when we're looking at the top stories of the week. Most teams play six or seven games in a week, with about 25 plate appearances for most hitters. For pitchers, […]

Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitcher Arsenal Changes: Pitch Mix, Velocity, and Movement (Week 6)

Welcome back to the weekly column, where we cover a few starting pitchers and their arsenal changes via pitch mix, velocity, and movement. Last week's article examined Michael King, Ryan Feltner, and Ronel Blanco. This week, we're examining two deep-league starting pitchers who might be underrated based on their skills and early-season success. We're at […]

Fantasy Baseball Starting Pitcher Arsenal Changes: Pitch Mix, Velocity, and Movement (Week 5)

Welcome back to the weekly column where we cover a few starting pitchers and their arsenal changes via pitch mix, velocity, and movement. Last week's article examined MacKenzie Gore, Casey Mize, and Spencer Arrighetti. This week, we're examining two potential breakout pitchers, plus one pitcher playing on a team that we usually don't target for […]

Pitcher Arsenal Changes for Fantasy Baseball (Week 4): Pitch Mix, Movement, and Velocity

Injuries aside, starting pitchers have blown up the ratios. That's especially true for some higher-end starting pitchers based on ADP and expectations, including Jesus Luzardo, Luis Castillo, George Kirby, and Chris Sale. One quick way to examine whether the struggles might be luck or skill issues involves scraping the FanGraphs data over the past week […]

Starting Pitcher Arsenal Changes for Fantasy Baseball: Pitch Mix, Movement, and Velocity

We've had 16 pitchers in the top-200 picks of NFBC ADP injured in the first week or so, with Sonny Gray as the only pitcher returning from an injury. Meanwhile, seven hitters inside the top 200 in ADP have been injured to begin the season. It's been brutal and we seem to have pitchers unexpectedly […]

Starting Pitcher Arsenal Changes for Fantasy Baseball: Pitch Mix, Movement, and Velocity

We're dealing with small samples when we're only a week into the fantasy baseball season. However, the market reacts daily to any positive or negative performances. It's important to look beyond the results and understand the skills that led to the results. Since we usually can't control for the luck factors, we want to identify […]

Next Gen Stats Review: 2023 Quarterbacks and Passing Advanced Stats

We're wrapping up the Next Gen Stats review with quarterbacks after covering running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends. As someone who dives into advanced metrics often, Next Gen Stats is a free resource to look at common and slightly different stats. We often use adjusted yards per attempt, air yards, and on-target percentages for quarterbacks However, Next Gen […]

Exit Velocity Standouts (EV50) - Finding Sneaky Power Hitters for Fantasy Baseball

We have tons of access to baseball data in our fantasy analysis. Sometimes, we might have too many tools and resources because it can be overwhelming, especially in the beginning stages. One of those resources is Baseball Savant better known as Statcast data. The social media joke involves the red and blue sliders on a […]

Pitchers: Spring Training ADP Risers and Fallers for Fantasy Baseball Drafts (2024)

Last time, we examined hitter risers and fallers in ADP. Now, we'll look at pitcher risers and fallers. The ADP market is sharp, but it doesn't mean we should automatically align with a riser or faller. One quick example came from my previous article. Wyatt Langford kept climbing closer to his teammate Evan Carter in ADP, […]

Hitters: Spring Training ADP Risers and Fallers for Fantasy Baseball Drafts (2024)

We could go in a couple of directions when considering risers and fallers. One relates to which hitters have gone up or down in average draft position (ADP) over the past month by splitting it into two-week spans. Another way might involve us taking the pulse of the fantasy baseball market with some of the […]

Blake Snell Signs With the Giants - Fantasy Baseball Outlook for 2024

The joke in the fantasy baseball community involved the free agent market occurring quickly in the football world. We had tons of notable football players signed, traded, and released in the first few days of free agency before some of the top players in the baseball free-agent market.  That felt head-scratching because of the many […]

ATC Projections: Pitcher Surprises And Concerns For Fantasy Baseball Drafts

Using projections in the fantasy baseball draft process helps give us a baseline of numbers to build a balanced team. Roster construction becomes more challenging with deeper rosters. Though the ADP market pushes up pitchers in rotisserie, category, and points leagues, the projections suggest avoiding at their price. That's important because many positive pitcher surprises […]

ATC Projections: Hitter Surprises and Concerns for Fantasy Baseball Drafts

Using the ATC projections, we have a few ways to find surprising players based on the projection systems. One way is to look at the projected auction values compared to the average draft position and see which players might be value selections. Value is a tricky word since we're (usually) discussing projected value based on […]

Next Gen Stats Review: 2023 Wide Receivers and Tight Ends

A while back, we covered the Next Gen Stats for running backs, including rushing yards over expected and the percentage of plays with eight or more defenders in the box. Check out the running back review of the Next Gen Stats, as it adds a layer to player analysis. We love the advanced stats for […]

ATC Projections: Overview and How to Use Them for Fantasy Baseball

As someone who played fantasy football for a lengthier period, the roster size, league depth, and categorical balance remained challenging in fantasy baseball. The player pool becomes difficult to master and understand, especially as the league and roster size grows. Thankfully, projection systems help give us a baseline of numbers of what to expect before […]

3 Rookie Wide Receiver Sleepers Projected as Mid-Round NFL Draft Picks - Yards Per Route Run Analysis

It's tricky to find sleepers these days since the dynasty and devy community have proven to be sharp minds for NFL Draft prospects. Two metrics to look at for receivers as a starting point involve yards per route run and targets. There's somewhat of a strong correlation between yards per route run and targets per […]

Next Gen Stats Review: 2023 Running Backs

Many know Next Gen Stats for the fastest ball carriers in the NFL, which tracks a player's top speed in miles per hour (mph) on a given play. DK Metcalf had a 73-yard touchdown score that registered 22.23 mph, with Chase Brown (22.05) and Tyreek Hill (22.01) making a reception as the only three players […]