BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 140
CURRENT ADP: ~150 overall
ANALYSIS: We did see some news this spring that Rizzo has some back issues that he does not expect to ever go away, so that is concerning. However, it's not a new thing necessarily, and he seems confident that he can play through it.
Assuming that he can stay in the lineup, Rizzo is a great pick where he is getting drafted. First base is one of the few very deep positions, and he's one of my favorite ways to attack the position after I get ahead of the pack in the more shallow spots earlier on in the draft. Yankees Stadium fits Rizzo's profile perfectly. He pulls a bunch of fly balls in the air, and there is no better place to do that than where he is.
He projects for more than 25 homers, and he's basically the last name at the position that does that. A draft strategy I try to take on is to get a lot of the guys that the last player in a tier. That unlocks solid projections for lower cost, and Rizzo is a great example of a way to do that. If I do end up with Rizzo, I will probably be wanting a strong backup option just in case the back stuff causes problems.
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